Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

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Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The United States has imposed a 50% reciprocal tariff on Indian exports, the highest among major Asian peers, significantly above China (30%) and Vietnam (20%).
</li>
<li>This could hamper 50-100 bps India’s GDP growth, strain sectors like textile, gems, and raise risks around FPI flows as US accounts for nearly 40% of India’s FPI assets.</li>
<li>While India retains buffers through domestic absorption, trade diversification, and potential monetary easing, the tariff shock deepens trade uncertainty and capital flow sensitivity, warranting close investor monitoring. </li>
</ul>


The United States has imposed a 50% reciprocal tariff on Indian exports, the highest among major Asian peers, significantly above China (30%) and Vietnam (20%).

This could hamper 50-100 bps India’s GDP growth, strain sectors like textile, gems, and raise risks around FPI flows as US accounts for nearly 40% of India’s FPI assets.
While India retains buffers through domestic absorption, trade diversification, and potential monetary easing, the tariff shock deepens trade uncertainty and capital flow sensitivity, warranting close investor monitoring. 


Will 50% Tariffs Break India’s Export Edge?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in its latest monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting, maintained status quo on policy rates while also retaining its neutral stance</li><li>While the RBI maintained its FY26 forecast for GDP growth at 6.5%, we believe that the RBI’s forecasts are subject to downside risks unless the system sees a meaningful rebound in bank credit growth</li><li>Although asset yields have seen reasonably quick transmission by banks (71bps on fresh loans), aggregate bank credit growth has been clocking at sub-10% over the past few months</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in its latest monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting, maintained status quo on policy rates while also retaining its neutral stanceWhile the RBI maintained its FY26 forecast for GDP growth at 6.5%, we believe that the RBI’s forecasts are subject to downside risks unless the system sees a meaningful rebound in bank credit growthAlthough asset yields have seen reasonably quick transmission by banks (71bps on fresh loans), aggregate bank credit growth has been clocking at sub-10% over the past few monthsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials: Transmission Underway, Searching for Growth Catalysts

Specialist in Indian Banking and Economic Research

Hemindra Hazari

<ul>
<li>Zubin Mody, Chief Human Resources Officer (CHRO) abruptly quits <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank (IIB IN)</a>
</li>
<li>His resignation adds to the leadership vacuum at the top as the bank has no CEO or any executive directors on the board</li>
<li>Apparently the board of directors wants to reboot the bank with a clean senior executive slate</li>
</ul>


Zubin Mody, Chief Human Resources Officer (CHRO) abruptly quits Indusind Bank (IIB IN)

His resignation adds to the leadership vacuum at the top as the bank has no CEO or any executive directors on the board
Apparently the board of directors wants to reboot the bank with a clean senior executive slate


Indian Banking’s Longest-Serving, Highest-Paid HR-Head Quits IndusInd Bank

<ul>
<li>The 100bp rate cut cycle is transmitting unevenly, with Private Banks raising loan spreads to 415bp while PSBs cut more sharply, compressing margins. </li>
<li>This divergence is reshaping profitability, with NIMs under pressure through Q2–Q3 FY26 and relief delayed by slow deposit rate repricing.</li>
<li>Margin recovery now hinges on H2FY26 onwards, aided by CRR liquidity, easing funding costs, and credit cost normalization.</li>
</ul>


The 100bp rate cut cycle is transmitting unevenly, with Private Banks raising loan spreads to 415bp while PSBs cut more sharply, compressing margins. 
This divergence is reshaping profitability, with NIMs under pressure through Q2–Q3 FY26 and relief delayed by slow deposit rate repricing.
Margin recovery now hinges on H2FY26 onwards, aided by CRR liquidity, easing funding costs, and credit cost normalization.


Bank Margins Under Pressure: Navigating the Rate Cut Ripple

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>With CPI inflation at 2.1%YoY in Jun'25, the real policy rate is +3.4% -- higher than in Jan'25 (+2.19%) before the 100bp of repo rate cuts. </li>
<li>Despite a shift to a larger rate cut (accompanied by reductions in CRR), the RBI is still a bit behind the curve. We expect another 100bp of cuts by Feb'26. </li>
<li>Vegetable deflation will persist through H2CY25, so we expect headline CPI inflation to average 2.9% in FY26, obliging more rate cuts, enabling real GDP growth of 8.5%+ in FY26. </li>
</ul>


With CPI inflation at 2.1%YoY in Jun'25, the real policy rate is +3.4% -- higher than in Jan'25 (+2.19%) before the 100bp of repo rate cuts. 
Despite a shift to a larger rate cut (accompanied by reductions in CRR), the RBI is still a bit behind the curve. We expect another 100bp of cuts by Feb'26. 
Vegetable deflation will persist through H2CY25, so we expect headline CPI inflation to average 2.9% in FY26, obliging more rate cuts, enabling real GDP growth of 8.5%+ in FY26. 


India: More Rate Cuts Likely as Inflation Edges to the Bottom of RBI's Target Range

India

Axis Bank Limited provides a full range of banking services throughout India. The Group's activities include retail banking, investment management, merchant banking, treasury and NRI services, cash and credit management services, and ATM facilities.

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Axis Bank Ltd (AXSB IN)

Will 50% Tariffs Break India’s Export Edge?

US imposes 50% tariff on Indian exports, highest in Asia, may slow GDP growth, strain sectors, and impact FPI flows. India has buffers but faces...

Nimish Maheshwari

Leveraged Financials: Transmission Underway, Searching for Growth Catalysts

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in its latest monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting, maintained status quo on policy rates while also retaining...

HDFC Securities

Indian Banking’s Longest-Serving, Highest-Paid HR-Head Quits IndusInd Bank

Indusnd Bank's CHRO exit adds to the leadership vacuum in the bank and though it demonstrates a clean senior executive slate it heightens concerns...

Hemindra Hazari

Bank Margins Under Pressure: Navigating the Rate Cut Ripple

Private Banks raise loan spreads while PSBs cut more, reshaping profitability and compressing margins, with margin recovery expected in H2FY26.

Nimish Maheshwari

India: More Rate Cuts Likely as Inflation Edges to the Bottom of RBI's Target Range

Despite faster easing, RBI is still behind the curve with real policy rate at +3.4%. Vegetable deflation to persist Jul-Dec'25, prompting 100bp...

Prasenjit K. Basu

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Market Cap (USDm)

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Will 50% Tariffs Break India’s Export Edge?

​US imposes 50% tariff on Indian exports, highest in Asia, may slow GDP growth, strain sectors, and impact FPI flows. India has buffers but faces...

Nimish Maheshwari

Leveraged Financials: Transmission Underway, Searching for Growth Catalysts

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in its latest monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting, maintained status quo on policy rates while also retaining...

HDFC Securities

Indian Banking’s Longest-Serving, Highest-Paid HR-Head Quits IndusInd Bank

Indusnd Bank's CHRO exit adds to the leadership vacuum in the bank and though it demonstrates a clean senior executive slate it heightens concerns...

Hemindra Hazari

Bank Margins Under Pressure: Navigating the Rate Cut Ripple

​Private Banks raise loan spreads while PSBs cut more, reshaping profitability and compressing margins, with margin recovery expected in H2FY26.

Nimish Maheshwari

India: More Rate Cuts Likely as Inflation Edges to the Bottom of RBI's Target Range

​Despite faster easing, RBI is still behind the curve with real policy rate at +3.4%. Vegetable deflation to persist Jul-Dec'25, prompting 100bp...

Prasenjit K. Basu

US imposes 50% tariff on Indian exports, highest in Asia, may slow GDP growth, strain sectors, and impact FPI flows. India has buffers but faces...

Private Banks raise loan spreads while PSBs cut more, reshaping profitability and compressing margins, with margin recovery expected in H2FY26.

Despite faster easing, RBI is still behind the curve with real policy rate at +3.4%. Vegetable deflation to persist Jul-Dec'25, prompting 100bp...