Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Gan & Lee Pharmaceuticals / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment</li>
<li>Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US continue to be $132 (testing now), $130, $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50. All signs point to the ACWI-US uptrend continuing for the foreseeable future.</li>
<li>Upgrading China to Overweight; Europe Breaking Out; Japan Also Remains Attractive. Buys in Consumer Discretionary (primarily autos/parts), Industrials, Services, Health Care, Materials, Financials, and Real Estate</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment
Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US continue to be $132 (testing now), $130, $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50. All signs point to the ACWI-US uptrend continuing for the foreseeable future.
Upgrading China to Overweight; Europe Breaking Out; Japan Also Remains Attractive. Buys in Consumer Discretionary (primarily autos/parts), Industrials, Services, Health Care, Materials, Financials, and Real Estate


Upgrading China to Overweight; Europe Breaking Out

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Tata Capital Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-capital-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45653:1" rel="noopener">Tata Capital Limited (TATACAP IN)</a> is the third-largest non-banking financial company (NBFC) in India. It is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion. </li>
<li>On 8 May 2025, Tata Capital merged with Tata Motors Finance Solutions Limited (TMFL) through the issue of 183.9 million shares.</li>
<li>The fundamentals are mixed. Positives include large size, high growth rates, low opex ratio and good asset quality. Negatives include below peer average NIM, interest spread and ROE. </li>
</ul>



Tata Capital Limited (TATACAP IN) is the third-largest non-banking financial company (NBFC) in India. It is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion. 
On 8 May 2025, Tata Capital merged with Tata Motors Finance Solutions Limited (TMFL) through the issue of 183.9 million shares.
The fundamentals are mixed. Positives include large size, high growth rates, low opex ratio and good asset quality. Negatives include below peer average NIM, interest spread and ROE. 


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Kaynes Technology India / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kaynes-technology-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36436:1" rel="noopener">Kaynes Technology India (KAYNES IN)</a> is looking to raise around US$185m in its upcoming qualified institutional placement (QIP).</li>
<li>In an announcement released on Jan 22, 2025, Kaynes had mentioned its board’s approval to raise up to INR16bn via a QIP. Since then, the shares have corrected 8.6%.</li>
<li>The deal would not be a large one to digest at 4.3 days of three month ADV. The company’s last fundraise did well.</li>
</ul>



Kaynes Technology India (KAYNES IN) is looking to raise around US$185m in its upcoming qualified institutional placement (QIP).
In an announcement released on Jan 22, 2025, Kaynes had mentioned its board’s approval to raise up to INR16bn via a QIP. Since then, the shares have corrected 8.6%.
The deal would not be a large one to digest at 4.3 days of three month ADV. The company’s last fundraise did well.


Kaynes Technology QIP Early Look - QIP to Fund Global Expansion Plans

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

Aditya Birla Capital Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Aditya Birla Capital (ABCAP)’s 2QFY25 consolidated revenue grew 36% YoY to ~INR120b and consolidated PAT grew 42% YoY to ~INR10b.</li><li>1HFY25 PAT grew ~30% YoY and we expect 2HFY25 PAT to grow ~24% YoY.</li><li>During 2QFY25, the company sold its entire stake of ~50% in Aditya Birla Insurance Brokers and recognized a gain of ~INR2b (~INR1.7b, net of tax).</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Aditya Birla Capital (ABCAP)’s 2QFY25 consolidated revenue grew 36% YoY to ~INR120b and consolidated PAT grew 42% YoY to ~INR10b.1HFY25 PAT grew ~30% YoY and we expect 2HFY25 PAT to grow ~24% YoY.During 2QFY25, the company sold its entire stake of ~50% in Aditya Birla Insurance Brokers and recognized a gain of ~INR2b (~INR1.7b, net of tax).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Aditya Birla Capital - Strengthening All Its Key Businesses; Credit Costs Remain Benign

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A special call auction shall be held on October 28, 2024 by BSE &amp; NSE to discover hidden value in Investment Holding Companies.</li>
<li>BSE and NSE came out with the list of 8-9 Companies that are eligible for this special session. </li>
<li>We calculated the upside left in these companies using the Current price with 30% discount: 3 Companies with more than 100% upside.</li>
</ul>


A special call auction shall be held on October 28, 2024 by BSE &amp; NSE to discover hidden value in Investment Holding Companies.
BSE and NSE came out with the list of 8-9 Companies that are eligible for this special session. 
We calculated the upside left in these companies using the Current price with 30% discount: 3 Companies with more than 100% upside.


Event Driven: Special Call Auction in Indian Holding Companies

India

Aditya Birla Capital Limited (ABCL) provides financial services. The Company offers life and health insurance, private equity, corporate lending, structured finance, asset and wealth management, currency and commodity brokerage, online personal finance management, housing finance, pension funds, and other financial services. ABCL serves customers in India.

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Aditya Birla Capital Ltd (ABCAP IN)

Upgrading China to Overweight; Europe Breaking Out

Upgrading China to Overweight. Europe Breaking Out. Japan Remains Attractive. All signs point to the $ACWI uptrend continuing for the foreseeable...

Vermilion Research

Tata Capital IPO: The Investment Case

Tata Capital has begun investor roadshows for an IPO to raise US$2.0 billion. In this note, I examine the fundamentals of the business.

Arun George

Kaynes Technology QIP Early Look - QIP to Fund Global Expansion Plans

Kaynes Technology (KAYNES IN) has launched an upto INR16bn (US$185m) QIP of around 2.85m shares in a INR5,344.50–Rs5,612/share range, a 0%–4.8%...

Akshat Shah

Aditya Birla Capital - Strengthening All Its Key Businesses; Credit Costs Remain Benign

Aditya Birla Capital (ABCAP)’s 2QFY25 consolidated revenue grew 36% YoY to ~INR120b and consolidated PAT grew 42% YoY to ~INR10b. 1HFY25 PAT grew...

Motilal Oswal

Event Driven: Special Call Auction in Indian Holding Companies

BSE & NSE to hold special call auction on Oct 28, 2024 for Investment Holding Companies, 8-9 eligible, 3 with over 100% upside potential.

Nimish Maheshwari

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

Upgrading China to Overweight; Europe Breaking Out

Upgrading China to Overweight. Europe Breaking Out. Japan Remains Attractive. All signs point to the $ACWI uptrend continuing for the foreseeable...

Vermilion Research

Tata Capital IPO: The Investment Case

Tata Capital has begun investor roadshows for an IPO to raise US$2.0 billion. In this note, I examine the fundamentals of the business.

Arun George

Kaynes Technology QIP Early Look - QIP to Fund Global Expansion Plans

Kaynes Technology (KAYNES IN) has launched an upto INR16bn (US$185m) QIP of around 2.85m shares in a INR5,344.50–Rs5,612/share range, a 0%–4.8%...

Akshat Shah

Aditya Birla Capital - Strengthening All Its Key Businesses; Credit Costs Remain Benign

Aditya Birla Capital (ABCAP)’s 2QFY25 consolidated revenue grew 36% YoY to ~INR120b and consolidated PAT grew 42% YoY to ~INR10b. 1HFY25 PAT grew...

Motilal Oswal

Event Driven: Special Call Auction in Indian Holding Companies

​BSE & NSE to hold special call auction on Oct 28, 2024 for Investment Holding Companies, 8-9 eligible, 3 with over 100% upside potential.

Nimish Maheshwari

BSE & NSE to hold special call auction on Oct 28, 2024 for Investment Holding Companies, 8-9 eligible, 3 with over 100% upside potential.