IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a> has received a revised Potentia off-market takeover offer at A$2.00 per share, an 11.1% premium to its previous offer and in line with Alludo’s offer.</li>
<li>By bumping its offer, adding a scrip alternative and signalling a potentially higher price on due diligence access, Potentia has ramped up the pressure on the Board.</li>
<li>Potentia/Alludo offer remains at the low end of the IE’s valuation range. Alludo would have anticipated this move and likely will have factored in the need to raise its offer.</li>
</ul>



Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU) has received a revised Potentia off-market takeover offer at A$2.00 per share, an 11.1% premium to its previous offer and in line with Alludo’s offer.
By bumping its offer, adding a scrip alternative and signalling a potentially higher price on due diligence access, Potentia has ramped up the pressure on the Board.
Potentia/Alludo offer remains at the low end of the IE’s valuation range. Alludo would have anticipated this move and likely will have factored in the need to raise its offer.


Nitro Software (NTO AU): Potentia Raises to A$2.00 as the Battle Heats Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a> has entered into a binding agreement with Alludo at A$2.00 per share via a scheme or an off-market takeover, with a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition.</li>
<li>This is a good move by the Board to force Potentia to improve its off-market takeover bid of A$1.80 per share. Alludo can leverage synergies to support a higher bid.</li>
<li>The shares are trading through Alludo’s terms as there is an expectation of Potentia returning with improved terms. The break fee implies that Potentia needs to offer at least A$2.02.</li>
</ul>



Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU) has entered into a binding agreement with Alludo at A$2.00 per share via a scheme or an off-market takeover, with a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition.
This is a good move by the Board to force Potentia to improve its off-market takeover bid of A$1.80 per share. Alludo can leverage synergies to support a higher bid.
The shares are trading through Alludo’s terms as there is an expectation of Potentia returning with improved terms. The break fee implies that Potentia needs to offer at least A$2.02.


Nitro (NTO AU)’s Binding Offer from Alludo to Force Potentia’s Hand?

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to gain, with the resistance at 1,630/1,649 points and the support at 1,612 points (200-day EMA)/1,607 points (50-day EMA).</li><li>Today's momentum is positive after the US reported October's CPI at +7.7% YoY, below the consensus estimate of 7.9% YoY, while the Republican Party is likely to gain a majority of seats in the House of Representatives.</li><li>The latest Fed Watch Tool shows an 80.6% probability of the Fed hiking interest rates by just 50 bps in the upcoming meeting in December.</li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to gain, with the resistance at 1,630/1,649 points and the support at 1,612 points (200-day EMA)/1,607 points (50-day EMA).Today's momentum is positive after the US reported October's CPI at +7.7% YoY, below the consensus estimate of 7.9% YoY, while the Republican Party is likely to gain a majority of seats in the House of Representatives.The latest Fed Watch Tool shows an 80.6% probability of the Fed hiking interest rates by just 50 bps in the upcoming meeting in December.

Recommendation: Buy on Weakness, Sell on Strength

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a> has received a competing proposal from Alludo. The offer is A$2.00 via a scheme or an off-market takeover at A$2.00, with a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition.</li>
<li>Unsurprisingly, the Board rejected Potentia’s A$1.80 per share off-market takeover offer. Potentia has three options - lift its offer, do nothing or sell into Alludo’s offer. </li>
<li>While Alludo’s offer is 11.1% above Potentia’s offer, it is far from a knockout bid. Therefore, there is a good chance that Potentia returns with improved terms.</li>
</ul>



Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU) has received a competing proposal from Alludo. The offer is A$2.00 via a scheme or an off-market takeover at A$2.00, with a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition.
Unsurprisingly, the Board rejected Potentia’s A$1.80 per share off-market takeover offer. Potentia has three options - lift its offer, do nothing or sell into Alludo’s offer. 
While Alludo’s offer is 11.1% above Potentia’s offer, it is far from a knockout bid. Therefore, there is a good chance that Potentia returns with improved terms.


Nitro Attracts a Competing Offer from KKR's Alludo

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a> entered a trading halt in response to Potentia’s off-market takeover offer of A$1.80 per share, a 13.9% premium to its previous rejected offer of A$1.58.</li>
<li>Potentia will block rival schemes and not accept competing takeover offers. This move will make it hard for the Board to convince a rival bidder to table an offer.</li>
<li>Potentia wants a friendly offer and placed majority Board support as a condition. The offer is unattractive but Potentia has hinted at improved terms if provided due diligence access. </li>
</ul>



Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU) entered a trading halt in response to Potentia’s off-market takeover offer of A$1.80 per share, a 13.9% premium to its previous rejected offer of A$1.58.
Potentia will block rival schemes and not accept competing takeover offers. This move will make it hard for the Board to convince a rival bidder to table an offer.
Potentia wants a friendly offer and placed majority Board support as a condition. The offer is unattractive but Potentia has hinted at improved terms if provided due diligence access. 


Nitro’s Carrot-And-Stick A$1.80 Takeover Offer from Potentia

United States

Adobe Systems Incorporated develops, markets, and supports computer software products and technologies.  The Company's products allow users to express and use information across all print and electronic media.  Adobe offers a line of application software products, type products, and content for creating, distributing, and managing information.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Adobe Systems (ADBE US)

Nitro Software (NTO AU): Potentia Raises to A$2.00 as the Battle Heats Up

The shares are trading through Potentia’s improved terms. Alludo has the benefit of synergies and KKR’s ownership to support a higher bid. Alludo...

Arun George

Nitro (NTO AU)’s Binding Offer from Alludo to Force Potentia’s Hand?

The shares are trading through Alludo’s terms as there is an expectation of Potentia returning with improved terms. The break fee implies that...

Arun George

Recommendation: Buy on Weakness, Sell on Strength

The SET Index is expected to gain, with the resistance at 1,630/1,649 points and the support at 1,612 points (200-day EMA)/1,607 points (50-day...

Krungthai XSpring

Nitro Attracts a Competing Offer from KKR's Alludo

While Alludo’s offer is 11.1% above Potentia’s offer, it is far from a knockout bid. Therefore, there is a good chance that Potentia returns with...

Arun George

Nitro’s Carrot-And-Stick A$1.80 Takeover Offer from Potentia

The offer is unattractive but Potentia has hinted at improved terms if provided due diligence access. An offer of around A$2.00 per share should...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)