Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 28th November, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avjennings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12578:1" rel="noopener">AVJennings Ltd (AVJ AU)</a>, a reputable home builder in Australia/New Zealand, <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20241128/pdf/06bywtrktl1j89.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">entered into a deed</a> granting the AVID consortium exclusive confirmatory due diligence.</li>
<li>The AVID consortium, comprising Proprium Capital Partners and AVID Property Group, pitched an NBIO (by way of a Scheme) of A$0.67/share. Singapore's SC Global (54.5% shareholder) was supportive.</li>
<li>In what appeared to be clean deal, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ho-bee-land-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18298:1" rel="noopener">Ho Bee Land Ltd (HOBEE SP)</a> then acquired a <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20241227/pdf/06d2p7fykvslm6.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">5.39% stake</a> on the 23rd December. Now they've made their own <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250115/pdf/06dk238wkx2778.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NBIO at A$0.70/share</a>. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 28th November, AVJennings Ltd (AVJ AU), a reputable home builder in Australia/New Zealand, entered into a deed granting the AVID consortium exclusive confirmatory due diligence.
The AVID consortium, comprising Proprium Capital Partners and AVID Property Group, pitched an NBIO (by way of a Scheme) of A$0.67/share. Singapore's SC Global (54.5% shareholder) was supportive.
In what appeared to be clean deal, Ho Bee Land Ltd (HOBEE SP) then acquired a 5.39% stake on the 23rd December. Now they've made their own NBIO at A$0.70/share. 


AVJennings (AVJ AU): Ho Bee's Superior Proposal

<ul>
<li>After wealth manager <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insignia-financial-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia Financial (IFL AU)</a> announced - and subsequently rejected  Bain's A$4.00/share Offer, CC Capital waded in on the 6th January with its own A$4.30/share NBIO.</li>
<li>IFL have yet to reach an opinion on CC Capital bid. And to make things interesting, Bain has  sweetened its Offer to $4.30/share, matching CC Capital's terms.</li>
<li>What now? Either, IFL opens the data room to both parties. Or rejects both. I think they should engage.</li>
</ul>


After wealth manager Insignia Financial (IFL AU) announced - and subsequently rejected  Bain's A$4.00/share Offer, CC Capital waded in on the 6th January with its own A$4.30/share NBIO.
IFL have yet to reach an opinion on CC Capital bid. And to make things interesting, Bain has  sweetened its Offer to $4.30/share, matching CC Capital's terms.
What now? Either, IFL opens the data room to both parties. Or rejects both. I think they should engage.


Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bain Calls CC Capital's $4.30/Share NBIO

<ul>
<li>Ahead of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-henlius-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27888:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)</a>'s EGM and Court Meeting on the 22 January, the focus has shifted to Loyal Valley Capital (LVC)'s continued buying in the market.</li>
<li>After the close of market last Friday, LVC held <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0110/2025011000368.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">7.8295%</a>, above the 7.826% blocking stake. That % was as at 9th January. I assume LVC are still buying.</li>
<li>Yet if you analyse how LVC has traded in and out of Henlius, they are not in it to block. They're in for the back-end scrip option.  </li>
</ul>


Ahead of Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)'s EGM and Court Meeting on the 22 January, the focus has shifted to Loyal Valley Capital (LVC)'s continued buying in the market.
After the close of market last Friday, LVC held 7.8295%, above the 7.826% blocking stake. That % was as at 9th January. I assume LVC are still buying.
Yet if you analyse how LVC has traded in and out of Henlius, they are not in it to block. They're in for the back-end scrip option.  


Henlius (2696 HK): LVC Won't Block. Buy Here & On Weakness

<ul>
<li>Back on the 6th January, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smart-share-global-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32217:1" rel="noopener">Smart Share Global (EM US)</a>, the largest provider of mobile device charging services in China, <a href="https://app.quotemedia.com/data/downloadFiling?webmasterId=90423&amp;ref=318826893&amp;type=PDF&amp;symbol=EM&amp;cdn=92fc68ff7b8532b8b229f6ee242a0168&amp;companyName=Smart+Share+Global+Limited&amp;formType=6-K&amp;formDescription=Report+of+foreign+private+issuer+pursuant+to+Rule+13a-16+or+15d-16+under+the+Securities+Exchange+Act+of+1934&amp;dateFiled=2025-01-06" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a preliminary non-binding proposal.</li>
<li>A consortium led by Mars Guangyuan Cai, Chairman and CEO,  collectively holding 63.4% of the voting rights, have made an Offer at US$0.625/share (US$1.25/ADS), a 74.8% premium to last close. </li>
<li>Should a definitive agreement be inked, this is done. The risk to the trade, as with many US-listed China plays, is one of timing. Trading at a 26.6% gross spread.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 6th January, Smart Share Global (EM US), the largest provider of mobile device charging services in China, announced a preliminary non-binding proposal.
A consortium led by Mars Guangyuan Cai, Chairman and CEO,  collectively holding 63.4% of the voting rights, have made an Offer at US$0.625/share (US$1.25/ADS), a 74.8% premium to last close. 
Should a definitive agreement be inked, this is done. The risk to the trade, as with many US-listed China plays, is one of timing. Trading at a 26.6% gross spread.


Shinko Electric Industries / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>One new deal was discussed this week: CC Capital's NBIO for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insignia-financial-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia Financial (IFL AU)</a>. </li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcadium-lithium-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40438:1" rel="noopener">Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities (H) (6837 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
One new deal was discussed this week: CC Capital's NBIO for Insignia Financial (IFL AU). 
Key updates/news took place on: Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU), CPMC Holdings (906 HK), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK), Haitong Securities (H) (6837 HK), and Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Insignia Financial, Arcadium, CPMC, GAPack, Haitong Sec., Shinko Electric

Thailand

Advanced Info Service is Thailand's largest telecommunications and technology company, providing mobile phone services, including prepaid, postpaid, and 5G network services, along with mobile devices. The company also offers high-speed home broadband services under the AIS Fibre and 3BB brands, as well as digital services such as cloud solutions, IoT, digital payments, and enterprise solutions. Headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand, the company was founded in 1986.

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Advanced Info Service (ADVANC-R TB)

AVJennings (AVJ AU): Ho Bee's Superior Proposal

Although terms are indicative, buy a tick or three below Ho Bee's terms. You could also consider buying the Singaporean leg (quoted in AUD), and...

David Blennerhassett

Henlius (2696 HK): LVC Won't Block. Buy Here & On Weakness

Trading wide at a 11.8% gross spread (using today's opening print) with expected payment around the third week of Feb. That's a buy here. I'd pay...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Insignia Financial, Arcadium, CPMC, GAPack, Haitong Sec., Shinko Electric

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

AVJennings (AVJ AU): Ho Bee's Superior Proposal

Although terms are indicative, buy a tick or three below Ho Bee's terms. You could also consider buying the Singaporean leg (quoted in AUD), and...

David Blennerhassett

Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bain Calls CC Capital's $4.30/Share NBIO

Both Offers are non-binding. IFL may hold out for more, but they should engage here. However, I'm still not confident Tanarra is willing to kick...

David Blennerhassett

Henlius (2696 HK): LVC Won't Block. Buy Here & On Weakness

Trading wide at a 11.8% gross spread (using today's opening print) with expected payment around the third week of Feb. That's a buy here. I'd pay...

David Blennerhassett

Smart Share Global (EM US)'s MBO NBIO

Should a defintive agreement be inked, this is done. The risk to the trade, as with many US-listed China plays, is one of timing. Trading at a...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Insignia Financial, Arcadium, CPMC, GAPack, Haitong Sec., Shinko Electric

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett