Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

As we head into Q4 earnings season we remain bullish on the broad market. Our bullish outlook is supported by the themes highlighted in this report.  In addition, we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Discretionary and Technology: Casinos &amp; Gaming, Large-Cap, Semiconductors, Mid-Cap, Semiconductors, Small-Cap, Software, Design Solutions.

As we head into Q4 earnings season we remain bullish on the broad market. Our bullish outlook is supported by the themes highlighted in this report.  In addition, we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Discretionary and Technology: Casinos &amp; Gaming, Large-Cap, Semiconductors, Mid-Cap, Semiconductors, Small-Cap, Software, Design Solutions.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Growth Surging Relative to Value

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Monthly chip revenues declined slightly in November, according to the SIA.  This SmartKarma Insight examines recently-reported industry revenues to see how they compare with the long-term trend and to understand whether or not the current uptick is likely to continue.  The conclusion is that today's market is higher than it would be if the China-US trade war were not a concern.  A mid-2020 collapse is more than likely.

Monthly chip revenues declined slightly in November, according to the SIA.  This SmartKarma Insight examines recently-reported industry revenues to see how they compare with the long-term trend and to understand whether or not the current uptick is likely to continue.  The conclusion is that today's market is higher than it would be if the China-US trade war were not a concern.  A mid-2020 collapse is more than likely.

November Semiconductor Stats Good, But China Inventory Build May Be Misleading

In today’s report we reiterate our bullish U.S. investment thesis, recap significant technical levels across indexes, and highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Health Care and Technology: Biotech, Mid-Cap, Biotech, Small-Cap, Semiconductors, Large-Cap, and Semiconductors, Mid-Cap..

In today’s report we reiterate our bullish U.S. investment thesis, recap significant technical levels across indexes, and highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Health Care and Technology: Biotech, Mid-Cap, Biotech, Small-Cap, Semiconductors, Large-Cap, and Semiconductors, Mid-Cap..

MSCI ACWI, STOXX 600 Breaking Out, Adding Fuel for Further U.S. Equity Market Rally

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">Nvidia's</a> CY Q32019 was the company's second quarter in a row of solid recovery from the troughs of their two-quarter long down cycle, triggered by a combination of their so-called cryptocurrency overhang and the bursting of the semiconductor inventory bubble in Q4 2018.  While all segments with the exception of Automotive registered solid QoQ growth, only the Professional Visualization segment delivered a modest YoY increase. Of particular note was NVIDIA's outlook for CY Q4 2019, down 2% sequentially. The fourth quarter has historically been the the company's strongest, largely due to the seasonal impact of graphics card purchases for gaming. What do these latest results and outlook imply for NVIDIA's recovery? Here's what we think...

Nvidia's CY Q32019 was the company's second quarter in a row of solid recovery from the troughs of their two-quarter long down cycle, triggered by a combination of their so-called cryptocurrency overhang and the bursting of the semiconductor inventory bubble in Q4 2018.  While all segments with the exception of Automotive registered solid QoQ growth, only the Professional Visualization segment delivered a modest YoY increase. Of particular note was NVIDIA's outlook for CY Q4 2019, down 2% sequentially. The fourth quarter has historically been the the company's strongest, largely due to the seasonal impact of graphics card purchases for gaming. What do these latest results and outlook imply for NVIDIA's recovery? Here's what we think...

NVIDIA. Robust Rebound Tempered By A Seasonally Uncharacteristic, Tepid Outlook

Advanced Micro Devices / Equity Bottom-Up

As <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-micro-devices" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19009:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Micro Devices</a> share price continues its latest in a series of remarkable bull runs, we sound a cautionary note based on two key observations. Firstly, during Q3 2019 when Intel's revenues exceeded guidance by $1.2 billion, why did AMD not experience a similar uplift? Secondly, why has AMD been either unable or unwilling to capitalize on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel</a>'s highly publicized supply shortages, which have now persisted since Q3 2018, in order to accelerate its desktop market share growth? Here's what we think.

As Advanced Micro Devices share price continues its latest in a series of remarkable bull runs, we sound a cautionary note based on two key observations. Firstly, during Q3 2019 when Intel's revenues exceeded guidance by $1.2 billion, why did AMD not experience a similar uplift? Secondly, why has AMD been either unable or unwilling to capitalize on Intel's highly publicized supply shortages, which have now persisted since Q3 2018, in order to accelerate its desktop market share growth? Here's what we think. 

AMD. A Cautionary Note As Share Price Bounces Around Record Highs.

United States

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) produces semiconductor products and devices. The Company offers products such as microprocessors, embedded microprocessors, chipsets, graphics, video and multimedia products and supplies it to third-party foundries, as well as provides assembling, testing, and packaging services. AMD serves customers worldwide.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Growth Surging Relative to Value

As we head into Q4 earnings season we remain bullish on the broad market. Our bullish outlook is supported by the themes highlighted in this...

Vermilion Research

November Semiconductor Stats Good, But China Inventory Build May Be Misleading

Monthly chip revenues declined slightly in November, according to the SIA. This SmartKarma Insight examines recently-reported industry revenues to...

Jim Handy

MSCI ACWI, STOXX 600 Breaking Out, Adding Fuel for Further U.S. Equity Market Rally

In today’s report we reiterate our bullish U.S. investment thesis, recap significant technical levels across indexes, and highlight attractive...

Vermilion Research

NVIDIA. Robust Rebound Tempered By A Seasonally Uncharacteristic, Tepid Outlook

Nvidia's CY Q32019 was the company's second quarter in a row of solid recovery from the troughs of their two-quarter long down cycle, triggered by...

William Keating

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Growth Surging Relative to Value

As we head into Q4 earnings season we remain bullish on the broad market. Our bullish outlook is supported by the themes highlighted in this...

Vermilion Research

November Semiconductor Stats Good, But China Inventory Build May Be Misleading

Monthly chip revenues declined slightly in November, according to the SIA. This SmartKarma Insight examines recently-reported industry revenues to...

Jim Handy

MSCI ACWI, STOXX 600 Breaking Out, Adding Fuel for Further U.S. Equity Market Rally

In today’s report we reiterate our bullish U.S. investment thesis, recap significant technical levels across indexes, and highlight attractive...

Vermilion Research

NVIDIA. Robust Rebound Tempered By A Seasonally Uncharacteristic, Tepid Outlook

Nvidia's CY Q32019 was the company's second quarter in a row of solid recovery from the troughs of their two-quarter long down cycle, triggered by...

William Keating

AMD. A Cautionary Note As Share Price Bounces Around Record Highs.

As Advanced Micro Devices share price continues its latest in a series of remarkable bull runs, we sound a cautionary note based on two key...

William Keating