Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Massive capex numbers from TSMC set to propel JP SPE to new highs today.</li>
<li>Softbank is likely to continue to lag as ARM fails to catch a bid despite being -42% from recent highs.</li>
<li>The hottest momo names in JP last year have cooled, but there should be more upside yet.</li>
</ul>


Massive capex numbers from TSMC set to propel JP SPE to new highs today.
Softbank is likely to continue to lag as ARM fails to catch a bid despite being -42% from recent highs.
The hottest momo names in JP last year have cooled, but there should be more upside yet.


Japan Morning Connection: SOX Closes at New Highs After TSMC Numbers and Capex Beat Ests

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jx-advanced-metals-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44346:1" rel="noopener">JX Advanced Metals (5016)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capcom-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1459:1" rel="noopener">Capcom Co Ltd (9697)</a> replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/konica-minolta-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17287:1" rel="noopener">Konica Minolta (4902)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/archion-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47577:1" rel="noopener">Archion (543A)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kanadevia-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14969:1" rel="noopener">Kanadevia (7004)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 Index</a>.</li>
<li>With the new methodology, the index committee appears to be focused on adding stocks with high liquidity and restoring sector balance to align the index with the methodology.</li>
<li>With sector imbalance still rife, there could be 3 more changes for the index in March with more inclusions from the Information and Communications sector likely.</li>
</ul>



JX Advanced Metals (5016), Kokusai Electric (6525) and Capcom Co Ltd (9697) replace Konica Minolta (4902), Archion (543A) and Kanadevia (7004) in the Nikkei 225 Index.
With the new methodology, the index committee appears to be focused on adding stocks with high liquidity and restoring sector balance to align the index with the methodology.
With sector imbalance still rife, there could be 3 more changes for the index in March with more inclusions from the Information and Communications sector likely.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: Capcom (9697 JP) Gets a Boss-Level Upgrade

<ul>
<li>Dell bouncing in regular trading after initial weakness after-mkt on numbers the day before.</li>
<li>Semi-Cap names strong led by Teradyne and ASML sets a good tone for Japan SPE overall.</li>
<li>Homebuilders follow through with more gains on rate outlook, watch Shin Etsu on PVC.</li>
</ul>


Dell bouncing in regular trading after initial weakness after-mkt on numbers the day before.
Semi-Cap names strong led by Teradyne and ASML sets a good tone for Japan SPE overall.
Homebuilders follow through with more gains on rate outlook, watch Shin Etsu on PVC.


Japan Morning Connection: Kioxia Weakness Unlikely to Last with Bain's 36m Shs Sale a Blip at Best

<ul>
<li>Sandisk -20% on news that Samsung, and SK Hynix are look to expand NAND capacity.</li>
<li>Meltdown in the face of solid numbers from NVDA points to extreme upside exhaustion.</li>
<li>JP-China spat escalating with the US now weighing in means risk-off bid for rails may fade.</li>
</ul>


Sandisk -20% on news that Samsung, and SK Hynix are look to expand NAND capacity.
Meltdown in the face of solid numbers from NVDA points to extreme upside exhaustion.
JP-China spat escalating with the US now weighing in means risk-off bid for rails may fade.


Japan Morning Connection: Market Meltdown as AI Wobble Turns into Freefall

<ul>
<li>MS downgrades PC makers on risk high memory prices eat into margins.</li>
<li>China angst against Takaichi TW comments will cause JP rails, hotels etc. to fall further.</li>
<li>Advantest CEO meeting yesterday unlikely enough to appease investor demands after huge run.</li>
</ul>


MS downgrades PC makers on risk high memory prices eat into margins.
China angst against Takaichi TW comments will cause JP rails, hotels etc. to fall further.
Advantest CEO meeting yesterday unlikely enough to appease investor demands after huge run.


Japan Morning Connection: Tech Skittish Ahead of NVDA but Memory Continues to Run

Japan

ADVANTEST CORPORATION produces semiconductor testing devices and electronic measuring instruments.  The Company's products include large-scale integration (LSI) test systems, memory test systems, dynamic test handlers, network analyzers, electronic meters, optical testing devices, and signal sources.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Advantest Corp (6857 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: SOX Closes at New Highs After TSMC Numbers and Capex Beat Ests

Likely for Kioxia to hit new highs today with memory names trading well. Strong tone for JP SPE after US tarrifs on Taiwan were lowered.

Andrew Jackson

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: Capcom (9697 JP) Gets a Boss-Level Upgrade

The Nikkei225 Index rebalances at the close today. Positioning has increased in nearly all adds/deletes since announcement of the changes. JX...

Brian Freitas

Japan Morning Connection: Kioxia Weakness Unlikely to Last with Bain's 36m Shs Sale a Blip at Best

Big moves up from semi-cap names bodes well for Japan SPE, with Ibiden as a dip buying candidate. Kioxia may find support trading close to its 50...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Market Meltdown as AI Wobble Turns into Freefall

Japan's outsized AI rally yesterday is expected to reverse sharply with previous big winners Advantest, Ibiden and Disco having a long way to fall....

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Tech Skittish Ahead of NVDA but Memory Continues to Run

JP SPE rebound momentum likely to drop out following the shaky lead overnight. JR rails and hotel names may trade down following tensions with...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)