IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vault-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46317:1" rel="noopener">Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a> entered into a scheme at 0.7629 GMD shares per VAU share + A$0.475 cash per share.</li>
<li>Genesis has long been rumoured to be a suitor for Vault because a combination of the two would create the dominant player in Western Australia’s most valuable gold-mining regions.</li>
<li>The key condition is Vault shareholder approval. The scheme vote is low risk due to a fair merger exchange ratio and the offer arising from a competitive bidding process.</li>
</ul>



Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU) and Genesis Minerals (GMD AU) entered into a scheme at 0.7629 GMD shares per VAU share + A$0.475 cash per share.
Genesis has long been rumoured to be a suitor for Vault because a combination of the two would create the dominant player in Western Australia’s most valuable gold-mining regions.
The key condition is Vault shareholder approval. The scheme vote is low risk due to a fair merger exchange ratio and the offer arising from a competitive bidding process.


Vault Minerals (VAU AU): Regis Walks as Genesis Emerges as the Winner

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The MV Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small-cap and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. </li>
<li>This index regularly sees double-digit changes at its semi-annual reviews, and September 2026 is shaping up that way; we expect 20+ index changes (ADDs/DELs).</li>
<li>The top 5 fixed-weight capping in this index creates interesting UP/DOWN weights, and the race for the top 5 is tight. BIG Day Counts to trade here.</li>
</ul>


The MV Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small-cap and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. 
This index regularly sees double-digit changes at its semi-annual reviews, and September 2026 is shaping up that way; we expect 20+ index changes (ADDs/DELs).
The top 5 fixed-weight capping in this index creates interesting UP/DOWN weights, and the race for the top 5 is tight. BIG Day Counts to trade here.


[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Sep26 Rebal: Changes Galore; US1.7bn+ One-Way

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Zijin Gold International / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 9 additions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-gold-miners-etf-usa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32924:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US)</a> in June. Plus, one listing switch and a whole bunch of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 6.2% and that leads to a round-trip trade of US$3.4bn. There are many stocks with multiple days of ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-gold-international-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45448:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Gold International (2259 HK)</a> has been added following an increase in free float, and the passive buying could provide short-term support for the stock.</li>
</ul>


There are 9 additions for the VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US) in June. Plus, one listing switch and a whole bunch of float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 6.2% and that leads to a round-trip trade of US$3.4bn. There are many stocks with multiple days of ADV to trade from passive trackers.

Zijin Gold International (2259 HK) has been added following an increase in free float, and the passive buying could provide short-term support for the stock.


Gold Miners ETF (GDX US) June Rebalance: 9 Adds and US$3.4bn Trade

<ul>
<li>The MV Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small-cap and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.</li>
<li>We like it because it is a little complicated and there is significant tracking. There will be no index changes for the June 2026 rebal event. It's a Mar/Sep review.</li>
<li>We expect a one-way flow of US$375mm for June 2026, which translates to a turnover of 4.3%. September will be bigger. </li>
</ul>


The MV Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small-cap and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.
We like it because it is a little complicated and there is significant tracking. There will be no index changes for the June 2026 rebal event. It's a Mar/Sep review.
We expect a one-way flow of US$375mm for June 2026, which translates to a turnover of 4.3%. September will be bigger. 


[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Jun26 Rebal Results: Limited Flows

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vault-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46317:1" rel="noopener">Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/regis-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20106:1" rel="noopener">Regis Resources (RRL AU)</a> entered into a merger through a scheme of arrangement. The consideration is 0.6937 RRL shares per VAU share.</li>
<li>The deal is largely about chasing scale rather than about operational synergies. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a>, the long-rumoured suitor for Vault, is unlikely to get involved. </li>
<li>The key condition is Vault shareholder approval. The scheme vote is low risk due to a fair merger exchange ratio and benign shareholder structure.</li>
</ul>



Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU) and Regis Resources (RRL AU) entered into a merger through a scheme of arrangement. The consideration is 0.6937 RRL shares per VAU share.
The deal is largely about chasing scale rather than about operational synergies. Genesis Minerals (GMD AU), the long-rumoured suitor for Vault, is unlikely to get involved. 
The key condition is Vault shareholder approval. The scheme vote is low risk due to a fair merger exchange ratio and benign shareholder structure.


Vault Minerals (VAU AU): Regis Resources’ Strategically Sensible Merger

Canada

Alamos Gold Inc. is a Canadian-based gold producer operating three mines in North America. The Company explores and produces gold from mines. Alamos Gold operates portfolio of development stage projects in Canada, Mexico, Turkey, and the United States.

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Alamos Gold (AGI US)

Vault Minerals (VAU AU): Regis Walks as Genesis Emerges as the Winner

The scheme vote is low risk due to a fair merger exchange ratio and the offer arising from a competitive bidding process. This is a done deal.

Arun George

[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Sep26 Rebal: Changes Galore; US1.7bn+ One-Way

The MV Junior Gold Miners Index rebal is a fave. Turnover is high on index construction; there are multiple ways to win. There are some BIG...

Travis Lundy

Gold Miners ETF (GDX US) June Rebalance: 9 Adds and US$3.4bn Trade

9 adds, float and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 6.2% and to a round-trip trade of US$3.4bn. There are many stocks with...

Brian Freitas

[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Jun26 Rebal Results: Limited Flows

The MV Junior Gold Mining Index is an interesting index by construction. It has semiannual reviews in Mar/Sep but it has interesting capping events...

Travis Lundy

Vault Minerals (VAU AU): Regis Resources’ Strategically Sensible Merger

The deal is largely about chasing scale rather than about operational synergies. The scheme vote is low risk due to a fair merger exchange ratio...

Arun George

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