Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The Trump administration is funding 10 new nuclear reactors to support rising electricity demand from data centers.</li><li>In transportation, Washington is tightening rules on China-linked EVs, with Polestar facing a US sales ban.</li><li>New York has finished a major transmission upgrade that should improve grid reliability and help move more renewable power.</li></ul>

The Trump administration is funding 10 new nuclear reactors to support rising electricity demand from data centers.In transportation, Washington is tightening rules on China-linked EVs, with Polestar facing a US sales ban.New York has finished a major transmission upgrade that should improve grid reliability and help move more renewable power.

Sustainable Investing Surveyor : Focus on Alto Ingredients (ALTO) - 29 June 2026

<div><ul><li>Alto is monetizing CO2 today at its Columbia facility in Oregon. </li><li>The plant produces food-grade CO2 sold to industrial gas companies serving the West and Pacific Northwest, regions where most supply is shipped from the Midwest or Gulf, giving Alto a local logistics advantage.</li><li>Alto is also capturing low-carbon values through the sale of its ethanol.</li></ul></div>

Alto is monetizing CO2 today at its Columbia facility in Oregon. The plant produces food-grade CO2 sold to industrial gas companies serving the West and Pacific Northwest, regions where most supply is shipped from the Midwest or Gulf, giving Alto a local logistics advantage.Alto is also capturing low-carbon values through the sale of its ethanol.

Alto CEO Bryon McGregor on How Carbon Went from Waste Stream to Growth Driver

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><ul><li>The liquid renewable fuels sector has entered 2H26 in the strongest position it has occupied in years. </li><li>Margins across renewable diesel (RD), biodiesel, sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), and low-carbon ethanol are running near multi-year highs, balance sheets are healthier, and carbon credit revenue is maturing into a durable earnings stream that stands apart from physical fuel.</li><li>In this report, we walk through the five most resounding themes from companies’ interim results and recent WTR events, illustrated with company-level evidence and near-term catalysts with our thoughts on what we’re watching in the coming weeks for investors to follow.</li></ul></div>

The liquid renewable fuels sector has entered 2H26 in the strongest position it has occupied in years. Margins across renewable diesel (RD), biodiesel, sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), and low-carbon ethanol are running near multi-year highs, balance sheets are healthier, and carbon credit revenue is maturing into a durable earnings stream that stands apart from physical fuel.In this report, we walk through the five most resounding themes from companies’ interim results and recent WTR events, illustrated with company-level evidence and near-term catalysts with our thoughts on what we’re watching in the coming weeks for investors to follow.

WTR Circular Carbon Focus Report : Five Key Themes Driving Liquid Renewable Fuels

<div><ul><li>The Circular Carbon and Environmental Solutions sector offers investors a structural, multi-decade opportunity set.</li><li>This is driven by tightening clean fuel mandates, domestic energy and resource security priorities, and mandatory environmental remediation.</li><li>After a 2024–25 period defined by oversupply, policy uncertainty, and capital discipline, the industry has surfaced in 2026 with a structurally improved setup. </li></ul></div>

The Circular Carbon and Environmental Solutions sector offers investors a structural, multi-decade opportunity set.This is driven by tightening clean fuel mandates, domestic energy and resource security priorities, and mandatory environmental remediation.After a 2024–25 period defined by oversupply, policy uncertainty, and capital discipline, the industry has surfaced in 2026 with a structurally improved setup. 

Primer: Energy Transition : Circular Carbon and Environmental Solutions - 17 June 2026

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook as of our (3/3/26 Compass) remains near-term neutral on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), after being bullish for all but one week since 4/22/25 (we went neutral 11/19/25-11/25/25).</li>
<li>The local low from 3/9/26 still holds, but we are increasingly concerned about potential support violations.</li>
<li>Crucial supports (and downside triggers) are $245 on the Russell 2000(IWM), the 200-day MA (currently 6613) and 6480-6520 on SPX, and 6-month support at 24,000 on Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ)</li>
</ul>


Our outlook as of our (3/3/26 Compass) remains near-term neutral on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), after being bullish for all but one week since 4/22/25 (we went neutral 11/19/25-11/25/25).
The local low from 3/9/26 still holds, but we are increasingly concerned about potential support violations.
Crucial supports (and downside triggers) are $245 on the Russell 2000(IWM), the 200-day MA (currently 6613) and 6480-6520 on SPX, and 6-month support at 24,000 on Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ)


At a Crossroads; Downgrading Transportation; Significant Downside Air Pocket Risk

United States

Alto Ingredients, Inc. produces specialty alcohols and essential ingredients. The Company offers alcohols for the food, beverage, health, and ingredients markets. Alto Ingredients focuses on transformation of corn into feed, pet food, and renewable fuel.

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Alto Ingredients (ALTO US)

Sustainable Investing Surveyor : Focus on Alto Ingredients (ALTO) - 29 June 2026

The Trump administration is funding 10 new nuclear reactors to support rising electricity demand from data centers. In transportation, Washington...

Water Tower Research

Alto CEO Bryon McGregor on How Carbon Went from Waste Stream to Growth Driver

The plant produces food-grade CO2 sold to industrial gas companies serving the West and Pacific Northwest, regions where most supply is shipped...

Water Tower Research

WTR Circular Carbon Focus Report : Five Key Themes Driving Liquid Renewable Fuels

Margins across renewable diesel (RD), biodiesel, sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), and low-carbon ethanol are running near multi-year highs, balance...

Water Tower Research

Primer: Energy Transition : Circular Carbon and Environmental Solutions - 17 June 2026

After a 2024–25 period defined by oversupply, policy uncertainty, and capital discipline, the industry has surfaced in 2026 with a structurally...

Water Tower Research

At a Crossroads; Downgrading Transportation; Significant Downside Air Pocket Risk

Significant Downside Air Pocket Risk; Downgrading Transportation $IYT $XTN to Market Weight; Crucial supports/downside triggers: $245 on $IWM, the...

Vermilion Research

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