Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Agricultural Bank Of China / Event-Driven

This is a new H/A Spread monitor project offering a brief look at recent changes in H-Share and A-Share spreads, Southbound flow and impact, and where the spreads are trading within their own historical ranges.
Main notes this week are:
<ul>
<li>HK$13.5bn of net buying by Southbound flows, which was 1.46% of HKEx Turnover - about in line with the previous four full weeks of trading. </li>
<li>Net buying since the last net selling day has been HK$48.8bn, which is not an unusual streak. </li>
<li>Southbound flows in the…</li>
</ul>

This is a new H/A Spread monitor project offering a brief look at recent changes in H-Share and A-Share spreads, Southbound flow and impact, and where the spreads are trading within their own historical ranges.
Main notes this week are:

HK$13.5bn of net buying by Southbound flows, which was 1.46% of HKEx Turnover - about in line with the previous four full weeks of trading. 
Net buying since the last net selling day has been HK$48.8bn, which is not an unusual streak. 
Southbound flows in the…


Quiddity Weekly H/A: Discounts & Southbound Flows 20180126

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul><li>Global mining stocks offer an attractive, mid-cycle pullback opportunity. From steel to copper and aluminum stocks, retracements over the past three months have stabilized at support, which we view as timely entry points that will lead to upside resumptions.  This report highlights actionable charts, sorted by market capitalization.</li></ul>

Global mining stocks offer an attractive, mid-cycle pullback opportunity. From steel to copper and aluminum stocks, retracements over the past three months have stabilized at support, which we view as timely entry points that will lead to upside resumptions.  This report highlights actionable charts, sorted by market capitalization.

Pullback Opportunities in Global Metals & Mining Stocks

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs. MSCI EM), we see these trends continuing well into 2018.  Elsewhere, Russia is on the cusp of a breakout. The Philippines is breaking out. And Korea, a market that broke out earlier this year from a 6-year base, is a buy on weakness.  Today’s report includes a complete summary of our EM views as well as a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs. MSCI EM), we see these trends continuing well into 2018.  Elsewhere, Russia is on the cusp of a breakout. The Philippines is breaking out. And Korea, a market that broke out earlier this year from a 6-year base, is a buy on weakness.  Today’s report includes a complete summary of our EM views as well as a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

EM Outlook: Bullish, Led by BRIC and Asia

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

It is time to look at copper again. Our recent long from 288 was sold at 320 and a well behaved pulled has followed. China A shares have powered higher but left H shares in the dust primarily due to narrowing breadth, a weaker materials sector and banks trading sideways. When looking at copper we see a positive chart pattern that is expected to put a floor in the decline in metal shares which in turn may help mend the breadth issues plagued the HSCEI.Copper's bull wedge noted in the daily cycle…

It is time to look at copper again. Our recent long from 288 was sold at 320 and a well behaved pulled has followed. China A shares have powered higher but left H shares in the dust primarily due to narrowing breadth, a weaker materials sector and banks trading sideways. When looking at copper we see a positive chart pattern that is expected to put a floor in the decline in metal shares which in turn may help mend the breadth issues plagued the HSCEI.Copper's bull wedge noted in the daily cycle…

Copper Rally to Help Mend H Share Breadth

There are some real under currents in terms of price action compared to supply trends in steel, Aluminum and copper in China. Our macro base case remains bullish for material sectors linked to our bullish China view assuming the Shanghai composite holds 3,300 pivot support but the tactical stance turned bearish starting with Jiangxi Copper followed by Maanshan Iron.We take a look at charts in Iron Ore and Copper from and see opposing tactical trends at this stage.Iron Ore, as shown below, just…

There are some real under currents in terms of price action compared to supply trends in steel, Aluminum and copper in China. Our macro base case remains bullish for material sectors linked to our bullish China view assuming the Shanghai composite holds 3,300 pivot support but the tactical stance turned bearish starting with Jiangxi Copper followed by Maanshan Iron.We take a look at charts in Iron Ore and Copper from and see opposing tactical trends at this stage.Iron Ore, as shown below, just…

China

Aluminum Corporation of China Limited, also known as Chalco, is a producer of alumina and primary aluminum in China. The Company refines bauxite into alumina and smelts alumina to produce primary aluminum.

Price Gauge
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Aluminum Corporation Of China (2600 HK)

Quiddity Weekly H/A: Discounts & Southbound Flows 20180126

This is a new H/A Spread monitor project offering a brief look at recent changes in H-Share and A-Share spreads, Southbound flow and impact, and...

Travis Lundy

Pullback Opportunities in Global Metals & Mining Stocks

Global mining stocks offer an attractive, mid-cycle pullback opportunity. From steel to copper and aluminum stocks, retracements over the past...

Vermilion Research

EM Outlook: Bullish, Led by BRIC and Asia

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs....

Vermilion Research

Iron Ore, Copper and H Material Fallout

There are some real under currents in terms of price action compared to supply trends in steel, Aluminum and copper in China. Our macro base case...

Thomas Schroeder

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Weekly H/A: Discounts & Southbound Flows 20180126

This is a new H/A Spread monitor project offering a brief look at recent changes in H-Share and A-Share spreads, Southbound flow and impact, and...

Travis Lundy

Pullback Opportunities in Global Metals & Mining Stocks

Global mining stocks offer an attractive, mid-cycle pullback opportunity. From steel to copper and aluminum stocks, retracements over the past...

Vermilion Research

EM Outlook: Bullish, Led by BRIC and Asia

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs....

Vermilion Research

Copper Rally to Help Mend H Share Breadth

It is time to look at copper again. Our recent long from 288 was sold at 320 and a well behaved pulled has followed. China A shares have powered...

Thomas Schroeder

Iron Ore, Copper and H Material Fallout

There are some real under currents in terms of price action compared to supply trends in steel, Aluminum and copper in China. Our macro base case...

Thomas Schroeder