Global Commodities, Mint Finance

Srinidhi Raghavendra

Global Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>SMRs enable decarbonization of electricity through low carbon heat and hydrogen production. Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) are advanced nuclear reactors.</li>
<li>SMRs are not new. They have been in design phase for long and not deployed at scale with cost being the primary hurdle.</li>
<li>By 2026 data centres are expected to hog &gt;1,000 TWh of electricity which is equivalent to the electricity consumption of Japan.</li>
</ul>


SMRs enable decarbonization of electricity through low carbon heat and hydrogen production. Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) are advanced nuclear reactors.
SMRs are not new. They have been in design phase for long and not deployed at scale with cost being the primary hurdle.
By 2026 data centres are expected to hog &gt;1,000 TWh of electricity which is equivalent to the electricity consumption of Japan.


Energy Transition Requires Betting Big on Nuclear Starting Small with SMRs

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Carote is a global kitchenware brand in the online marketplace.</li><li>It has a presence in around 19 countries/ regions (key markets include China, the US, etc.), selling its kitchenware in about 19 online marketplaces (Amazon, Walmart, Tmall, etc.).</li><li>Thanks to the Company’s nearly two decades of industry experience and consumer insights, and its focus on the online channel and the asset-light model (cooperation with contract manufacturers), it generated RMB 1.58bn sales/ RMB 237mn net profit in FY23 and managed to deliver an impressive CAGR of 53%/ 173% during FY21-23.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Carote is a global kitchenware brand in the online marketplace.It has a presence in around 19 countries/ regions (key markets include China, the US, etc.), selling its kitchenware in about 19 online marketplaces (Amazon, Walmart, Tmall, etc.).Thanks to the Company’s nearly two decades of industry experience and consumer insights, and its focus on the online channel and the asset-light model (cooperation with contract manufacturers), it generated RMB 1.58bn sales/ RMB 237mn net profit in FY23 and managed to deliver an impressive CAGR of 53%/ 173% during FY21-23.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Carote Ltd (2549 HK) - Global Quality & Affordable Kitchenware Brand

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In my opinion, this week’s big news in the semiconductor industry is the ramp of Trainium. It’s a bit subtle, but I will walk you through the secondary impacts and then give you an idea.</li><li>Let’s start at the source and walk backward from there. Amazon finally woke up. <a href="https://www.semianalysis.com/p/amazons-cloud-crisis-how-aws-will" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SemiAnalysis’s piece on why Amazon will lose the future of AI</a> has pretty much turned out correct.</li><li>AWS has a fundamentally different view of how to run infrastructure, and most of it is driven by effectively pursuing Amazon basics at scale for their AWS property.</li></ul>

In my opinion, this week’s big news in the semiconductor industry is the ramp of Trainium. It’s a bit subtle, but I will walk you through the secondary impacts and then give you an idea.Let’s start at the source and walk backward from there. Amazon finally woke up. SemiAnalysis’s piece on why Amazon will lose the future of AI has pretty much turned out correct.AWS has a fundamentally different view of how to run infrastructure, and most of it is driven by effectively pursuing Amazon basics at scale for their AWS property.

<ul><li>Amazon released (1 Nov HKT) 3Q24 results: revenue was US$158.9bn, up 11% YoY (3Q23: 13%), and was 2%/1% better than our estimates/Bloomberg consensus, while total operating profit was US$17.4bn, up 56% YoY, 18/16% better than our estimates/consensus, driven by an all-round OPM margin beat for all three business segments (North America, International, and AWS).</li><li>Management guided for US$181.5bn-188.5bn revenue for 4Q24E, implying 7- 11% YoY growth, and US$16.0-20.0bn operating profit (consensus: US$17.5bn).</li><li>We believe Amazon’s structural YoY margin expansion trend is on track, aided by the continued improvement in cost to serve, as well as increase in revenue contribution from relatively high-margin ads and AWS businesses. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Amazon released (1 Nov HKT) 3Q24 results: revenue was US$158.9bn, up 11% YoY (3Q23: 13%), and was 2%/1% better than our estimates/Bloomberg consensus, while total operating profit was US$17.4bn, up 56% YoY, 18/16% better than our estimates/consensus, driven by an all-round OPM margin beat for all three business segments (North America, International, and AWS).Management guided for US$181.5bn-188.5bn revenue for 4Q24E, implying 7- 11% YoY growth, and US$16.0-20.0bn operating profit (consensus: US$17.5bn).We believe Amazon’s structural YoY margin expansion trend is on track, aided by the continued improvement in cost to serve, as well as increase in revenue contribution from relatively high-margin ads and AWS businesses. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Amazon (AMZN US) - Structural Margin Improvement Trend Intact

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Amazon.com reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2024, presenting a mix of strong revenue growth and improvements in various operational domains, alongside ongoing heavy investments, particularly in technology and infrastructure, which could imply different trajectories in terms of immediate profitability and long term growth.</li><li>Revenues increased to $158.9 billion, marking an 11% rise year-over-year, which suggests solid growth albeit against the backdrop of global economic uncertainties.</li><li>This growth appears well-supported by an increase in Worldwide operating income by 56% year-over-year to $17.4 billion, notably the company's highest quarterly operating income on record.</li></ul>

Amazon.com reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2024, presenting a mix of strong revenue growth and improvements in various operational domains, alongside ongoing heavy investments, particularly in technology and infrastructure, which could imply different trajectories in terms of immediate profitability and long term growth.Revenues increased to $158.9 billion, marking an 11% rise year-over-year, which suggests solid growth albeit against the backdrop of global economic uncertainties.This growth appears well-supported by an increase in Worldwide operating income by 56% year-over-year to $17.4 billion, notably the company's highest quarterly operating income on record.

AMZN US - Amazon’s Secret Profit Playbook: How AWS, Prime, and Ads Are Transforming the Future!

United States

Amazon.com, Inc. is an online retailer that offers a wide range of products. The Company's products include books, music, videotapes, computers, electronics, home and garden, and numerous other products.  Amazon offers personalized shopping services, Web-based credit card payment, and direct shipping to customers.

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Amazon (AMZN US)

Energy Transition Requires Betting Big on Nuclear Starting Small with SMRs

SMRs are critical to energy transition. Not new. Just not deployed at scale yet. Keen to secure exposure to nuclear power industry. Tread...

Mint Finance

Carote Ltd (2549 HK) - Global Quality & Affordable Kitchenware Brand

It has a presence in around 19 countries/ regions (key markets include China, the US, etc.), selling its kitchenware in about 19 online...

CMB International

The Rise of Amazon's Trainium 2

In my opinion, this week’s big news in the semiconductor industry is the ramp of Trainium. It’s a bit subtle, but I will walk you through the...

Fabricated Knowledge

Amazon (AMZN US) - Structural Margin Improvement Trend Intact

Amazon released (1 Nov HKT) 3Q24 results: revenue was US$158.9bn, up 11% YoY (3Q23: 13%), and was 2%/1% better than our estimates/Bloomberg consensus

CMB International

AMZN US - Amazon’s Secret Profit Playbook: How AWS, Prime, and Ads Are Transforming the Future!

Amazon.com reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2024, presenting a mix of strong revenue growth and improvements in various...

Baptista Research

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