Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

Topsports International Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>One of the key reasons why we are bearish on this stock (despite cheap valuations) is that the valuations may become even cheaper. </li>
<li>The CCP remains intent on maintaining its ZERO COVID policy which means continued sporadic lockdowns and social distancing measures, which is negative for sports apparel products.</li>
<li>All in all, we believe that a better time to get back into Topsports International is when the CCP becomes more vocal about finally relenting on its ZERO COVID policy. </li>
</ul>


One of the key reasons why we are bearish on this stock (despite cheap valuations) is that the valuations may become even cheaper. 
The CCP remains intent on maintaining its ZERO COVID policy which means continued sporadic lockdowns and social distancing measures, which is negative for sports apparel products.
All in all, we believe that a better time to get back into Topsports International is when the CCP becomes more vocal about finally relenting on its ZERO COVID policy. 


Topsports International: CCP's ZERO COVID Policy Has a Bigger Whopper Impact than Cheap Valuations

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Topsports International Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/topsports-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28153:1" rel="noopener">Topsports International (6110 HK)</a></strong> is trading cheap to peers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-ning-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6047:1" rel="noopener">Li Ning (2331 HK)</a>, and to partners <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nike-inc-cl-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6658:1" rel="noopener">Nike (NKE US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adidas-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21578:1" rel="noopener">Adidas AG (ADS GR)</a>.</li>
<li>Like for so many companies in China, the combination of severe lockdown restrictions and global supply chain disruptions has impacted Topsports operations.</li>
<li>Yet forward operational updates may surprise to the upside.  Management appears confident of their "<em>immersive shopping experience</em>" strategy, and recently declared a special dividend for FY22 (Feb Y/E). </li>
</ul>



Topsports International (6110 HK) is trading cheap to peers Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) and Li Ning (2331 HK), and to partners Nike (NKE US) and Adidas AG (ADS GR).
Like for so many companies in China, the combination of severe lockdown restrictions and global supply chain disruptions has impacted Topsports operations.
Yet forward operational updates may surprise to the upside.  Management appears confident of their "immersive shopping experience" strategy, and recently declared a special dividend for FY22 (Feb Y/E). 


Topsports (6110 HK): Upsizing Undervalued Sporting Goods Play

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Topsports International Holdings (TIH) is now trading close to its all time lows, after the shares corrected by 50% over the past year.</li>
<li>The company is one of the largest retailers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nike-inc-cl-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6658:1" rel="noopener">Nike (NKE US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adidas-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21578:1" rel="noopener">Adidas AG (ADS GR)</a> in China.</li>
<li>Given then on/off lockdowns the near term outlook isn't great, but the stock appears cheap for those willing to take a longer view.</li>
</ul>


Topsports International Holdings (TIH) is now trading close to its all time lows, after the shares corrected by 50% over the past year.
The company is one of the largest retailers for Nike (NKE US) and Adidas AG (ADS GR) in China.
Given then on/off lockdowns the near term outlook isn't great, but the stock appears cheap for those willing to take a longer view.


Topsports International Holdings - Is Cheap Enough to Counter Some of the Risks

Smartkarma Research Team, Smartkarma

Smartkarma Research

Smartkarma Research Team

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>For our next Webinar, we are excited to welcome Analysts <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/said-desaque" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:1107" rel="noopener">Said Desaque</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/osbert-tang-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:3879" rel="noopener">Osbert Tang, CFA</a> , who will go over China's latest potential $220 billion stimulus through a massive sale of special bonds. The Analysts will each present their views on the situation and a Q&amp;A will follow.</p>
<h3>The webinar was hosted on Wednesday, 13 July 2022, 17:00 SGT/HKT.</h3>
<p>Subscribe to our podcast feed and listen to the session on the go:</p>
<p><iframe src="https://open.spotify.com/embed/episode/5vGxVSGzl0Izwsa0swFIBi?utm_source=generator" width="100%" height="232" style="border-radius: 12px;" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen" allow="autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; fullscreen; picture-in-picture"></iframe>Said DeSaque is a professional economist with over 33 years of experience covering the global economy, with significant expertise in the US, China, Japan, and emerging markets. He worked with US investment banks for 25 years covering institutional investors in Europe, Middle East, Far East and Australia. He covers financial markets on a multi-asset basis, and has been an independent economist covering the global economy and financial markets for the past 8 years since founding DeSaque Macro Research in London.</p>
<p>Osbert Tang is an equity analyst with over 20 years of experience, focusing on China transport, infrastructure, industrials, and utilities. He has been based in Shanghai since 2003, where he accumulated more than 15 years of on-ground knowledge on the Chinese economy and financial markets, and has a wealth of contacts with China corporates and government entities.</p>

For our next Webinar, we are excited to welcome Analysts Said Desaque and Osbert Tang, CFA , who will go over China's latest potential $220 billion stimulus through a massive sale of special bonds. The Analysts will each present their views on the situation and a Q&amp;A will follow.
The webinar was hosted on Wednesday, 13 July 2022, 17:00 SGT/HKT.
Subscribe to our podcast feed and listen to the session on the go:
Said DeSaque is a professional economist with over 33 years of experience covering the global economy, with significant expertise in the US, China, Japan, and emerging markets. He worked with US investment banks for 25 years covering institutional investors in Europe, Middle East, Far East and Australia. He covers financial markets on a multi-asset basis, and has been an independent economist covering the global economy and financial markets for the past 8 years since founding DeSaque Macro Research in London.
Osbert Tang is an equity analyst with over 20 years of experience, focusing on China transport, infrastructure, industrials, and utilities. He has been based in Shanghai since 2003, where he accumulated more than 15 years of on-ground knowledge on the Chinese economy and financial markets, and has a wealth of contacts with China corporates and government entities.

Smartkarma Webinar | Understanding China's Latest Stimulus

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>China may bring ahead quota for special purpose bond issuance in 2023 to 2H22. This may potentially at Rmb1.5trn (US$220bn), which will provide big boost to the economy.</li>
<li>For 5M22, the three most important areas of spending of local government bond proceeds are urban construction and industrial park, social services and transport infrastructure.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-state-construction-int-l-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10038:1" rel="noopener">China State Construction Int'l (3311 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anhui-conch-cement-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:159:1" rel="noopener">Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-group-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:264:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Group (390 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-conch-venture-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19943:1" rel="noopener">China Conch Venture (586 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports (2020 HK)</a> are the top picks.</li>
</ul>


China may bring ahead quota for special purpose bond issuance in 2023 to 2H22. This may potentially at Rmb1.5trn (US$220bn), which will provide big boost to the economy.
For 5M22, the three most important areas of spending of local government bond proceeds are urban construction and industrial park, social services and transport infrastructure.

China State Construction Int'l (3311 HK), Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK), China Railway Group (390 HK), China Conch Venture (586 HK) and Anta Sports (2020 HK) are the top picks.


China Stimulus: These Are the Key Beneficiaries

China

ANTA Sports Products Limited designs, develops, manufactures, and markets sportswear, including sports footwear and apparel for professionals and the general public.

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Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)

Topsports International: CCP's ZERO COVID Policy Has a Bigger Whopper Impact than Cheap Valuations

The CCP remains intent on maintaining its ZERO COVID policy which means continued sporadic lockdowns and social distancing measures, which is...

Douglas Kim

Topsports (6110 HK): Upsizing Undervalued Sporting Goods Play

Topsorts is inexpensive versus peers and with to its historical metrics. Provided China does not implement another round of stringent lockdowns,...

David Blennerhassett

Topsports International Holdings - Is Cheap Enough to Counter Some of the Risks

Topsports International Holdings (TIH) is now trading close to its all time lows, after the shares corrected by 50% over the past year.

Sumeet Singh

Smartkarma Webinar | Understanding China's Latest Stimulus

On 13 July, 5pm SGT, join our Webinar on China's latest potential stimulus, featuring Analysts Said Desaque and Osbert Tang.

Smartkarma Research

China Stimulus: These Are the Key Beneficiaries

Potential massive special purpose bond issuance by local governments in 2H22 (brought forward from 2023) will provide a much-needed boost to the...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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