Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Mount Milligan to 2045, and Öksüt to fund Goldfield, Kemess, and Thompson Creek internally, with $451m cash, zero debt, and $1bn liquidity.</li>
<li>Q2 2026 lifted gold guidance to 260 to 290koz; Türkiye halves Öksüt's tax rate from 2027, and $200m of buybacks have been authorized.</li>
<li>At 0.53x P/NAV versus peers at 0.7x, FY26E EV/EBITDA of 6.0x, P/B of 1.95x and derived ROCE of 23.5%.</li>
</ul>


Mount Milligan to 2045, and Öksüt to fund Goldfield, Kemess, and Thompson Creek internally, with $451m cash, zero debt, and $1bn liquidity.
Q2 2026 lifted gold guidance to 260 to 290koz; Türkiye halves Öksüt's tax rate from 2027, and $200m of buybacks have been authorized.
At 0.53x P/NAV versus peers at 0.7x, FY26E EV/EBITDA of 6.0x, P/B of 1.95x and derived ROCE of 23.5%.


Centerra Gold Inc. (CG CN): Two Funded Mines Pay for a Four-Project North American Pipeline

<ul>
<li>We established metrics focused on high ROCE, sustainable 10-15% YoY growth, robust balance sheets, and prudent capital allocation: essential elements for identifying potential multibagger opportunities in the Philippines.</li>
<li>Our top picks are: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ginebra-san-miguel-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23029:1" rel="noopener">Ginebra San Miguel (GSMI PM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keepers-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23003:1" rel="noopener">Keepers (KEEPR PM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/international-container-terminal-services-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20001:1" rel="noopener">International Container Terminal Services (ICT PM)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippine-stock-exchange-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23182:1" rel="noopener">Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM)</a> </li>
<li>Q2FY26 earnings are out of the way, and we summarize the issues currently facing consumers in the Philippines as the country continues to grapple with inflationary pressures. </li>
</ul>


We established metrics focused on high ROCE, sustainable 10-15% YoY growth, robust balance sheets, and prudent capital allocation: essential elements for identifying potential multibagger opportunities in the Philippines.
Our top picks are: Ginebra San Miguel (GSMI PM), Keepers (KEEPR PM), International Container Terminal Services (ICT PM), and Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM) 
Q2FY26 earnings are out of the way, and we summarize the issues currently facing consumers in the Philippines as the country continues to grapple with inflationary pressures. 


Shortlist of High Conviction Philippines Equity Ideas - September 2026

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 44 adds, 1 delete and 2 listing changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-junior-gold-miners-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32845:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ US)</a> in September. There are capping and float changes too.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 15% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$3.2bn. There is a lot of stock to buy in the inclusions.</li>
<li>There are a number of adds in Asia that will have same-way flow from passive trackers of other local and global indices on the same day.</li>
</ul>


There are 44 adds, 1 delete and 2 listing changes for the VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ US) in September. There are capping and float changes too.
Estimated one-way turnover is 15% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$3.2bn. There is a lot of stock to buy in the inclusions.
There are a number of adds in Asia that will have same-way flow from passive trackers of other local and global indices on the same day.


MV Global Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) Index Rebalance: 44 Adds; 1 Delete; US$3.2bn Trade

Philippine Stock Exchange / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We established metrics focused on high ROCE, sustainable 10-15% YoY growth, robust balance sheets, and prudent capital allocation: essential elements for identifying potential multi-bagger opportunities in the Philippines.</li>
<li>Our top picks are: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ginebra-san-miguel-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23029:1" rel="noopener">Ginebra San Miguel (GSMI PM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-keepers-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23003:1" rel="noopener">The Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intl-container-term-svcs-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20001:1" rel="noopener">ICTSI (ICT PM)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippine-stock-exchange-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23182:1" rel="noopener">Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM)</a> </li>
<li>Q2 earnings for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intl-container-term-svcs-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20001:1" rel="noopener">ICTSI (ICT PM)</a> are out so far, and the rest will report earnings over the next two weeks. </li>
</ul>


We established metrics focused on high ROCE, sustainable 10-15% YoY growth, robust balance sheets, and prudent capital allocation: essential elements for identifying potential multi-bagger opportunities in the Philippines.
Our top picks are: Ginebra San Miguel (GSMI PM), The Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM), ICTSI (ICT PM), and Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM) 
Q2 earnings for ICTSI (ICT PM) are out so far, and the rest will report earnings over the next two weeks. 


Shortlist of High Conviction Philippines Equity Ideas - August 2026

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The MV Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small-cap and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. </li>
<li>This index regularly sees double-digit changes at its semi-annual reviews, and September 2026 is shaping up that way; we expect 20+ index changes (ADDs/DELs).</li>
<li>The top 5 fixed-weight capping in this index creates interesting UP/DOWN weights, and the race for the top 5 is tight. BIG Day Counts to trade here.</li>
</ul>


The MV Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small-cap and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. 
This index regularly sees double-digit changes at its semi-annual reviews, and September 2026 is shaping up that way; we expect 20+ index changes (ADDs/DELs).
The top 5 fixed-weight capping in this index creates interesting UP/DOWN weights, and the race for the top 5 is tight. BIG Day Counts to trade here.


[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Sep26 Rebal: Changes Galore; US1.7bn+ One-Way

Philippines

Apex Mining Co. Inc. is a Philippine-owned mining company primarily engaged in the exploration, development, and production of gold, silver, and other metals. The company operates the Maco Gold Mine in Davao de Oro and holds interests in other mineral properties. Apex Mining was incorporated in 1970 and is headquartered in Pasig City, Philippines.

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Apex Mining (APX PM)

Centerra Gold Inc. (CG CN): Two Funded Mines Pay for a Four-Project North American Pipeline

Debt-free mid-tier gold producer on 0.53x P/NAV, funding four North American growth projects from Mount Milligan and Öksüt cash flow, with Thompson...

Sameer Taneja

Shortlist of High Conviction Philippines Equity Ideas - September 2026

We compile our selection of small and mid-cap names with desired characteristics of high dividend yields, value, and margin of safety, and updates...

Sameer Taneja

MV Global Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) Index Rebalance: 44 Adds; 1 Delete; US$3.2bn Trade

There are 44 adds and 1 delete in Sep. Estimated one-way turnover is 15% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$3.2bn. Lots to sell in Evolution...

Brian Freitas

Shortlist of High Conviction Philippines Equity Ideas - August 2026

We compile our selection of small and mid-cap names with desired characteristics of high dividend yields, value, and margin of safety, and updates...

Sameer Taneja

[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Sep26 Rebal: Changes Galore; US1.7bn+ One-Way

The MV Junior Gold Miners Index rebal is a fave. Turnover is high on index construction; there are multiple ways to win. There are some BIG...

Travis Lundy

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