IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> is a speciality manufacturer of semiconductor production equipment. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; (KKR US)</a> seeks to raise about US$745 million through listing Kokusai.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kokusai-electric-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:113787" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kokusai-electric-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:114152" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Kokusai is fully valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,890 per share. We would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) is a speciality manufacturer of semiconductor production equipment. KKR &amp; (KKR US) seeks to raise about US$745 million through listing Kokusai.
We previously discussed the IPO in Kokusai Electric IPO: The Bull Case and Kokusai Electric IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Kokusai is fully valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,890 per share. We would pass on the IPO.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> is a speciality manufacturer of semiconductor production equipment. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; (KKR US)</a> seeks to raise about US$750 million through listing Kokusai.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kokusai-electric-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:113787" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on a declining revenue trend, a challenging near-term growth target, high China revenue risk, margins on a downward trend, increasing inventory days and deteriorating FCF.</li>
</ul>



Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) is a speciality manufacturer of semiconductor production equipment. KKR &amp; (KKR US) seeks to raise about US$750 million through listing Kokusai.
In Kokusai Electric IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on a declining revenue trend, a challenging near-term growth target, high China revenue risk, margins on a downward trend, increasing inventory days and deteriorating FCF.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> is a speciality manufacturer of semiconductor production equipment. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; (KKR US)</a> seeks to raise about US$750 million through listing Kokusai.   </li>
<li>Kokusai has the leading market share in the batch deposition equipment market and the second largest market share in the treatment equipment market, according to TechInsights and Gartner.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on a leading market share, strong IP, healthy forward revenue indicators, increasing recurring service revenue, solid gross margin trends and modest leverage.</li>
</ul>



Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) is a speciality manufacturer of semiconductor production equipment. KKR &amp; (KKR US) seeks to raise about US$750 million through listing Kokusai.   
Kokusai has the leading market share in the batch deposition equipment market and the second largest market share in the treatment equipment market, according to TechInsights and Gartner.
The key elements of the bull case rest on a leading market share, strong IP, healthy forward revenue indicators, increasing recurring service revenue, solid gross margin trends and modest leverage.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>KKR is looking to raise around US$750m via selling a stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> (KE) in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


KKR is looking to raise around US$750m via selling a stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) (KE) in its Japan IPO.
KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Kokusai Electric Pre-IPO - The Positives - Well Established with High Market Share

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Applied Materials delivered an all-around beat in the most recent quarterly result.</li><li>Applied Materials's strategic focus on the IoT AI era yielded substantial growth and innovation within the semiconductor industry.</li><li>This transition aligns with Applied's strengths in materials engineering and allows the company to offer comprehensive solutions to manage complexity.</li></ul>

Applied Materials delivered an all-around beat in the most recent quarterly result.Applied Materials's strategic focus on the IoT AI era yielded substantial growth and innovation within the semiconductor industry.This transition aligns with Applied's strengths in materials engineering and allows the company to offer comprehensive solutions to manage complexity.

Applied Materials Inc.: Is The Recent Uptick In Financials Enough To Warrant A 'Buy' Rating? - Major Drivers

United States

Applied Materials, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment and related spare parts for the worldwide semiconductor industry.  The Company's customers include semiconductor wafer and integrated circuit manufacturers, flat panel liquid crystal displays, solar photovoltaic cells and modules and other electronic devices manufacturers.

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Applied Materials (AMAT US)

Kokusai Electric IPO: Valuation Insights

Our analysis suggests that Kokusai is fully valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,890 per share. We would pass on the IPO.

Arun George

Kokusai Electric IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on a declining revenue trend, a challenging near-term growth target, high China revenue risk, margins on a downward trend,...

Arun George

Kokusai Electric IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on a leading market share, strong IP, healthy forward revenue indicators, increasing recurring service...

Arun George

Applied Materials Inc.: Is The Recent Uptick In Financials Enough To Warrant A 'Buy' Rating? - Major Drivers

Applied Materials delivered an all-around beat in the most recent quarterly result. Applied Materials's strategic focus on the IoT AI era yielded...

Baptista Research

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Kokusai Electric IPO: Valuation Insights

Our analysis suggests that Kokusai is fully valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,890 per share. We would pass on the IPO.

Arun George

Kokusai Electric IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on a declining revenue trend, a challenging near-term growth target, high China revenue risk, margins on a downward trend,...

Arun George

Kokusai Electric IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on a leading market share, strong IP, healthy forward revenue indicators, increasing recurring service...

Arun George

Kokusai Electric Pre-IPO - The Positives - Well Established with High Market Share

KKR is looking to raise around US$750m via selling a stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) (KE) in its Japan IPO. In this note we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Applied Materials Inc.: Is The Recent Uptick In Financials Enough To Warrant A 'Buy' Rating? - Major Drivers

Applied Materials delivered an all-around beat in the most recent quarterly result. Applied Materials's strategic focus on the IoT AI era yielded...

Baptista Research