US IPOs and Secondary Offerings, IPO Boutique

IPO Boutique

US IPOs and Secondary Offerings

For more than 20 years, we have been providing research, analysis, commentary and ratings on US Equity Capital Markets to institutional investors (US IPOs and Secondary Offerings). Our vast network of contacts across the Equity Capital Markets and attention-to-detail sets us apart from our competitors.

Since 2012, we have achieved a successful hit rating on 89% of Buy-rated IPOs. The collective “Buy” ratings averaged a first trade of 16.3% above issue.Our Neutral Rated Deals averaged just 2% above the issue price at first trade.

Our written research includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

In addition, we provide a high-touch premium desk access which includes analyst access, as well as real time insights on US IPOs as well as secondary offerings.

IPOs and Secondary Offerings

Equity Capital Markets

Aspen Insurance Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>According to guidance that the deal is multiple-times oversubscribed with high-quality 1-on-1 conversions.</li>
<li>Aspen is selling itself at or slightly below the $30.73 per share book value of comps.</li>
<li>Apollo Global has done a fair job of cleaning up Aspen and making it increasingly more profitable while reducing exposure to reinsurance and property in vulnerable areas.</li>
</ul>


According to guidance that the deal is multiple-times oversubscribed with high-quality 1-on-1 conversions.
Aspen is selling itself at or slightly below the $30.73 per share book value of comps.
Apollo Global has done a fair job of cleaning up Aspen and making it increasingly more profitable while reducing exposure to reinsurance and property in vulnerable areas.


Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited (AHL): Valuation Entices Investors as Orders Flow into IPO

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares Russell 2000 ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We believe there is significant evidence that the broad equity market has bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. This report elaborates on this main point</li>
<li>Last week (10/31/23) we discussed how the $SPX and $QQQ did not display decisive breakdowns, and that a break above 4165-4200 and $350-$355, respectively, would be bullish, that's what happened</li>
<li>Additionally, we discussed how risk/reward favored buyers with the $IWM testing 1.5-year support at $162-$163, a logical spot for small-caps to bounce, especially when we considering persistent bullish breadth divergences.</li>
</ul>


We believe there is significant evidence that the broad equity market has bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. This report elaborates on this main point
Last week (10/31/23) we discussed how the $SPX and $QQQ did not display decisive breakdowns, and that a break above 4165-4200 and $350-$355, respectively, would be bullish, that's what happened
Additionally, we discussed how risk/reward favored buyers with the $IWM testing 1.5-year support at $162-$163, a logical spot for small-caps to bounce, especially when we considering persistent bullish breadth divergences.


Just Another Counter-Trend Rally, or Something More? DXY and Treasury Yields Breaking Key Supports

<ul>
<li>SPX is holding above its 200-day MA/3940 coinciding with its prior downtrend from 2022 near 3915; 3915-3940 remains critical support, and is the gateway to a much deeper pullback.</li>
<li>Additionally, the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is breaking back above $297, another important line in the sand for us.</li>
<li>The SPX holding at 3915-3940 could be the spark that allows another run toward YTD highs, but we continue to expect 4165-4200 to cap upside on the S&amp;P 500.</li>
</ul>


SPX is holding above its 200-day MA/3940 coinciding with its prior downtrend from 2022 near 3915; 3915-3940 remains critical support, and is the gateway to a much deeper pullback.
Additionally, the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is breaking back above $297, another important line in the sand for us.
The SPX holding at 3915-3940 could be the spark that allows another run toward YTD highs, but we continue to expect 4165-4200 to cap upside on the S&amp;P 500.


Still Expecting 4165-4200 on S&P 500 to Cap Upside; Buys Within Insurance and Steel/Metals

<ul>
<li>The SPX, $IWM, $QQQ continue to have trouble breaking above their 200-day MAs and YTD downtrends, while the DJIA has been unable to sustain a breakout above 34,280.</li>
<li>With that said, all four of these indexes are consolidating within tight ranges just below the aforementioned resistance levels, building energy for the eventual breakdown or breakout.</li>
<li>We still recommend shifting exposure to defensives (Staples,Utilities,Health Care) and/or taking profits following this rally, but we cannot rule out potential for major upside breakouts. We discuss specific levels below.</li>
</ul>


The SPX, $IWM, $QQQ continue to have trouble breaking above their 200-day MAs and YTD downtrends, while the DJIA has been unable to sustain a breakout above 34,280.
With that said, all four of these indexes are consolidating within tight ranges just below the aforementioned resistance levels, building energy for the eventual breakdown or breakout.
We still recommend shifting exposure to defensives (Staples,Utilities,Health Care) and/or taking profits following this rally, but we cannot rule out potential for major upside breakouts. We discuss specific levels below.


Today's Fed Day to Determine Next Big Market Move? SPX Key Levels: 4100 and 3910

Selected Quarterly & Annual Newsletters from Funds, Fund Newsletters

Fund Newsletters

Selected Quarterly & Annual Newsletters from Funds

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Baron is an asset management firm focused on delivering growth equity investment solutions known for long-term, fundamental, active approach to growth investing.</li>
<li>We expect additional, substantial appreciation for Tesla and SpaceX.</li>
<li>84.3% of our assets are NOT invested in Tesla and SpaceX, but rather are invested in other exceptionally attractive growth companies.</li>
<li>We have always believed that any recessions or declines in the value of our growth business holdings would not be long-lasting.</li>
<li>Think long term about everything, guard your reputation zealously, make sure your balance sheet is as close to impregnable as possible.</li>
</ul>


Baron is an asset management firm focused on delivering growth equity investment solutions known for long-term, fundamental, active approach to growth investing.
We expect additional, substantial appreciation for Tesla and SpaceX.
84.3% of our assets are NOT invested in Tesla and SpaceX, but rather are invested in other exceptionally attractive growth companies.
We have always believed that any recessions or declines in the value of our growth business holdings would not be long-lasting.
Think long term about everything, guard your reputation zealously, make sure your balance sheet is as close to impregnable as possible.


Baron Funds Q3 2022 Report - Letter From Ron

United States

Arch Capital Group Ltd. is a Bermuda-based insurance and financial services company that provides reinsurance and insurance products on a worldwide basis.

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Arch Capital (ACGL US)

Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited (AHL): Valuation Entices Investors as Orders Flow into IPO

Aspen's deal is oversubscribed with high-quality conversions, selling below book value, and Apollo Global has improved profitability by reducing...

IPO Boutique

Just Another Counter-Trend Rally, or Something More? DXY and Treasury Yields Breaking Key Supports

Just Another Counter-Trend Rally, or Something More?; $DXY and Treasury Yields $TNX $TYX Breaking Key Supports, several other reasons why we...

Vermilion Research

Still Expecting 4165-4200 on S&P 500 to Cap Upside; Buys Within Insurance and Steel/Metals

The $SPX holding at 3915-3940 could be the spark that allows another run toward YTD highs, but we continue to expect 4165-4200 to cap upside and...

Vermilion Research

Today's Fed Day to Determine Next Big Market Move? SPX Key Levels: 4100 and 3910

4100 is clear resistance to watch on the $SPX, while support continues to be at 3910; this has been the range for a month. We lean breakdown below...

Vermilion Research

Baron Funds Q3 2022 Report - Letter From Ron

Baron is an asset management firm focused on delivering growth equity investment solutions known for long-term, fundamental, active approach to...

Fund Newsletters

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited (AHL): Valuation Entices Investors as Orders Flow into IPO

​Aspen's deal is oversubscribed with high-quality conversions, selling below book value, and Apollo Global has improved profitability by reducing...

IPO Boutique

Just Another Counter-Trend Rally, or Something More? DXY and Treasury Yields Breaking Key Supports

Just Another Counter-Trend Rally, or Something More?; $DXY and Treasury Yields $TNX $TYX Breaking Key Supports, several other reasons why we...

Vermilion Research

Still Expecting 4165-4200 on S&P 500 to Cap Upside; Buys Within Insurance and Steel/Metals

The $SPX holding at 3915-3940 could be the spark that allows another run toward YTD highs, but we continue to expect 4165-4200 to cap upside and...

Vermilion Research

Today's Fed Day to Determine Next Big Market Move? SPX Key Levels: 4100 and 3910

4100 is clear resistance to watch on the $SPX, while support continues to be at 3910; this has been the range for a month. We lean breakdown below...

Vermilion Research

Baron Funds Q3 2022 Report - Letter From Ron

Baron is an asset management firm focused on delivering growth equity investment solutions known for long-term, fundamental, active approach to...

Fund Newsletters

Aspen's deal is oversubscribed with high-quality conversions, selling below book value, and Apollo Global has improved profitability by reducing...