Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, DZT Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

Yangtze Optical Fibre & Cable / Index Rebalance

Yangtze Optical Fibre & Cable (601869 CH)

<ul>
<li>MSCI announced the quarterly review results on 12 May 2026. As the cycle enters implementation, this note updates the stock setup.</li>
<li>ADD weakness is broad, with CH Mid-vel and CH Low-vel both failing to build bridge support.</li>
<li>DELETEs already sold off, but HK High-vel DELETE still has the weakest first-week implementation profile.</li>
</ul>


MSCI announced the quarterly review results on 12 May 2026. As the cycle enters implementation, this note updates the stock setup.
ADD weakness is broad, with CH Mid-vel and CH Low-vel both failing to build bridge support.
DELETEs already sold off, but HK High-vel DELETE still has the weakest first-week implementation profile.


MS-China June 2026 Rebalance: Pre-Implementation Update

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), RHB Invest

RHB Invest

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

RHB Investment Bank is one of the leading capital market players in Malaysia. Supported by an award-winning research team of experienced product specialists, RHB Group Investment Banking offers a full range of investment banking products and services covering primary markets, such as advisory (corporate & debt restructuring, mergers and acquisitions, takeovers), fundraising via both equity and debt instruments, and secondary markets including securities trading for both institutional and retail clients. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Technical Analysis

AviChina Industry & Technology / Technical Analysis

<ul><li>COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation’s bullish trajectory should be extended after it breached the resistance on strong volume.</li><li>The stock printed a long bullish candlestick and closed above the HKD6.50 resistance, showing that the underlying momentum was bullish.</li><li>Riding on the strong momentum, the counter is likely to continue moving upwards to testthe HKD7.35 point, followed by HKD8. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation’s bullish trajectory should be extended after it breached the resistance on strong volume.The stock printed a long bullish candlestick and closed above the HKD6.50 resistance, showing that the underlying momentum was bullish.Riding on the strong momentum, the counter is likely to continue moving upwards to testthe HKD7.35 point, followed by HKD8. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Retail Research - Trading Stocks (Hong Kong): 16 June 2025

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>For 1H25, the companies under our coverage will report a 16.8% earnings growth. Breaking down by quarter, 2Q25 growth will accelerate to 30.8%, from 14.1% in 1Q25. </li>
<li>The best growth rates are at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">China National Building Material (3323 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">CICC (3908 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-international-airport-bcia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10626:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Intl Airport (694 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel (780 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sitc-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15301:1" rel="noopener">SITC Intl (1308 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>The worst ones are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-travel-international-investment-hong-kong" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3879:1" rel="noopener">China Travel Intl (308 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-energy-tran-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:646:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Energy Transp (1138 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-southern-airlines-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1078:1" rel="noopener">China Southern Airlines (1055 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36229:1" rel="noopener">CTG Duty Free (1880 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-basin-shipping-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:929:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Basin (2343 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


For 1H25, the companies under our coverage will report a 16.8% earnings growth. Breaking down by quarter, 2Q25 growth will accelerate to 30.8%, from 14.1% in 1Q25. 
The best growth rates are at China National Building Material (3323 HK), CICC (3908 HK), Beijing Capital Intl Airport (694 HK), Tongcheng Travel (780 HK), and SITC Intl (1308 HK). 
The worst ones are China Travel Intl (308 HK), Cosco Shipping Energy Transp (1138 HK), China Southern Airlines (1055 HK), CTG Duty Free (1880 HK), and Pacific Basin (2343 HK). 


China & HK Strategy: 1H25 Preview - Where Are the Upside and Downside Surprises?

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the post-announcement return pattern of MSCI China June 2026 rebalance stocks, separating A-share (CH) and H-share (HK) cohorts within both ADD and DELETE groups.</li>
<li>DELETE: pre announcement was positive, but CH and HK High-vel history still supports shorts.</li>
<li>ADD: CH High-vel was stretched; bridging window's history is positive but inconsistent.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the post-announcement return pattern of MSCI China June 2026 rebalance stocks, separating A-share (CH) and H-share (HK) cohorts within both ADD and DELETE groups.
DELETE: pre announcement was positive, but CH and HK High-vel history still supports shorts.
ADD: CH High-vel was stretched; bridging window's history is positive but inconsistent.


MS-China June 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Trading Pattern Analysis

<ul>
<li>China's defense budget will reach Rmb1.55trn in 2023, a 7.2% YoY increase and up from 7.1% in 2022. This also equals to 1.22% of GDP, vs. 1.2% in 2022. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avichina-industry-technology-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16315:1" rel="noopener">AviChina Industry &amp; Technology H (2357 HK)</a> has the most direct exposure to China's aerospace and defense developments given its holdings in A-share defense stocks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avic-shenyang-aircraft-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12150:1" rel="noopener">Avic Shenyang Aircraft (600760 CH)</a> will benefit from its unique position as the key manufacturer of aircraft, parts and components for China's combat fighter fleet.</li>
</ul>


China's defense budget will reach Rmb1.55trn in 2023, a 7.2% YoY increase and up from 7.1% in 2022. This also equals to 1.22% of GDP, vs. 1.2% in 2022. 

AviChina Industry &amp; Technology H (2357 HK) has the most direct exposure to China's aerospace and defense developments given its holdings in A-share defense stocks.

Avic Shenyang Aircraft (600760 CH) will benefit from its unique position as the key manufacturer of aircraft, parts and components for China's combat fighter fleet.


China Aerospace & Defense Industry: Ways to Play the Rise in Defense Spending

China

AviChina Industry & Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of civil aviation products. The company operates through segments including Aviation Entire Aircraft, Aviation Ancillary System and Related Business, and Aviation Engineering Services, offering products such as helicopters, trainer aircraft, regional jets, and aero-parts. It was founded on April 30, 2003, and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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AviChina Industry & Technology (2357 HK)

MS-China June 2026 Rebalance: Pre-Implementation Update

MSCI China enters implementation phase on June 1st. We provides an update to stock's performance and discussed implementation trades.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Retail Research - Trading Stocks (Hong Kong): 16 June 2025

COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation’s bullish trajectory should be extended after it breached the resistance on strong volume.

RHB Invest

China & HK Strategy: 1H25 Preview - Where Are the Upside and Downside Surprises?

The companies under our coverage are expected to report 16.8% earnings growth for 1H25, with 2Q25 accelerating to 30.8%. Top performers include...

Osbert Tang, CFA

MS-China June 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Trading Pattern Analysis

Following MSCI May 2026 announcement, we a look at the trading pattern of affected stocks for MSCI-China from historical perspective by overlaying...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Aerospace & Defense Industry: Ways to Play the Rise in Defense Spending

China's 7.2% YoY increase in defense spending budget will filter through to the business prospects of AviChina and AVIC Shenyang, given the rise in...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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