HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

AviChina Industry & Technology H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avichina-industry-technology-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16315:1" rel="noopener">AviChina Industry &amp; Technology H (2357 HK)</a> offers unique exposure to China's aerospace and defense sector and it will ride on China's ambition to solidify its military strengths. </li>
<li>We think the key drivers are increase in civil and defense demand, commercialisation of C919 aircraft, localisation of helicopters and potential for corporate restructuring.</li>
<li>The stock is undervalued with its holdings in four listed A-shares amounted to Rmb70.6bn, against its own market cap of HK$25bn. Also, earnings multiples are cheap relative to global peers.</li>
</ul>



AviChina Industry &amp; Technology H (2357 HK) offers unique exposure to China's aerospace and defense sector and it will ride on China's ambition to solidify its military strengths. 
We think the key drivers are increase in civil and defense demand, commercialisation of C919 aircraft, localisation of helicopters and potential for corporate restructuring.
The stock is undervalued with its holdings in four listed A-shares amounted to Rmb70.6bn, against its own market cap of HK$25bn. Also, earnings multiples are cheap relative to global peers.


2023 High Conviction: AviChina Industry (2357 HK) - The Sky Is the Limit

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The winners in the tension are the defense companies including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avic-shenyang-aircraft-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12150:1" rel="noopener">Avic Shenyang Aircraft (600760 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avichina-industry-technology-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16315:1" rel="noopener">AviChina Industry &amp; Technology H (2357 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cssc-offshore-marine-engg-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5089:1" rel="noopener">Cssc Offshore &amp; Marine Engg (317 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Pelosi's Taiwan visit may ignite another round of nationalistic consumption. This will benefit <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-ning-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6047:1" rel="noopener">Li Ning (2331 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports (2020 HK)</a> but is negative to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/topsports-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28153:1" rel="noopener">Topsports International (6110 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">SMIC (981 HK)</a> is a long-term beneficiary. There may be adverse spillover effects on Taiwanese companies like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tingyi-cayman-islands-holding-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14016:1" rel="noopener">Tingyi (322 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/want-want-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:355:1" rel="noopener">Want Want (151 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uni-president-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14927:1" rel="noopener">Uni President China (220 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The winners in the tension are the defense companies including Avic Shenyang Aircraft (600760 CH), AviChina Industry &amp; Technology H (2357 HK) and Cssc Offshore &amp; Marine Engg (317 HK). 
Pelosi's Taiwan visit may ignite another round of nationalistic consumption. This will benefit Li Ning (2331 HK) and Anta Sports (2020 HK) but is negative to Topsports International (6110 HK). 

SMIC (981 HK) is a long-term beneficiary. There may be adverse spillover effects on Taiwanese companies like Tingyi (322 HK), Want Want (151 HK) and Uni President China (220 HK). 


China-US Tension Escalation: Winners and Losers on Pelosi's Taiwan Visit

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

China Huarong Asset Management / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-huarong-asset-management" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:968:1" rel="noopener">China Huarong Asset Management (2799 HK)</a>, which is expected to be in contravention of Hong Kong's public float, is contemplating the "full circulation" of some domestic shares. </li>
<li>If implemented, the conversion of these domestic shares would be largely ceremonial.</li>
<li>To date, 28 companies have sought approval to convert their domestic shares and/or unlisted foreign shares into H shares on the Hong Kong exchange. </li>
</ul>



China Huarong Asset Management (2799 HK), which is expected to be in contravention of Hong Kong's public float, is contemplating the "full circulation" of some domestic shares. 
If implemented, the conversion of these domestic shares would be largely ceremonial.
To date, 28 companies have sought approval to convert their domestic shares and/or unlisted foreign shares into H shares on the Hong Kong exchange. 


China Huarong (2799 HK)'s Full Circulation

<div>
<p data-v-da61000a="" data-v-294dc056="">This is the latest update in a series dating back to <em><a href="https://skr.ma/c7hcH" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Legend's Conversion of Domestic Shares</a></em> in June 2018.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p data-v-da61000a="" data-v-294dc056="">To date, 28 companies have sought approval to convert their domestic shares and/or unlisted foreign shares into H shares, which would then be eligible to be listed and traded on Hong Kong's stock exchange.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p data-v-da61000a="" data-v-294dc056="">16 companies have now been given CSRC and Hong Kong listing approval to convert such shares. Five of those have seen various degrees of movement in the converted shares.</p>
<p data-v-da61000a="" data-v-294dc056=""><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-languang-justbon-service-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28337:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Languang Justbon Service Group (2606 HK)</a> received approval late last year but did not convert - and was subsequently subject to an Offer. </p>
</div>
<div>
<p data-v-da61000a="" data-v-294dc056="">To date, two companies have withdrawn their application to convert their domestic shares.  Both of these companies have now been subject to Offers.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p data-v-da61000a="" data-v-294dc056="">As always, more below the fold. </p>
</div>


This is the latest update in a series dating back to Legend's Conversion of Domestic Shares in June 2018.


To date, 28 companies have sought approval to convert their domestic shares and/or unlisted foreign shares into H shares, which would then be eligible to be listed and traded on Hong Kong's stock exchange.


16 companies have now been given CSRC and Hong Kong listing approval to convert such shares. Five of those have seen various degrees of movement in the converted shares.
Sichuan Languang Justbon Service Group (2606 HK) received approval late last year but did not convert - and was subsequently subject to an Offer. 


To date, two companies have withdrawn their application to convert their domestic shares.  Both of these companies have now been subject to Offers.


As always, more below the fold. 


Full Circulation Of H-Shares: July 2021 Update

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

<p>On 3 June, President Biden amended Executive Order 13959 with respect to the threat posed by the military-industrial complex of the People’s Republic of China, and expanded the list of companies to include entities that operate in the defense and related materiel sector or the surveillance technology sector in China, or own, or are owned, or are controlled by persons that operate in the above sectors.</p><p>There were a few entities that appeared in Trump's list that were dropped while there were new entities that were added to the current list.</p><p>Some major changes were that the name of the list was changed from Communist Chinese Military Companies (CCMC) to Chinese Military-Industrial Complex Companies (CMIC), the list would be maintained by the Treasury Department as opposed to the Defense Department, and restrictions on subsidiaries would apply only if the subsidiary was explicitly named in the list.</p><p>It has been reported in the media, quoting senior officials, that the list will be updated on a rolling basis. As we were typing out the Insight, Reuters published an article that says <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-biden-china-investment/analysis-more-chinese-companies-could-fall-under-bidens-broader-investment-ban-idUSL2N2NM13H" target="_blank" rel="noopener">more Chinese companies could be added to the investment ban</a>.</p><p>In this Insight, we try to identify some of the subsidiaries of companies that could be added to the CMIC list where the parent entity is already included on the list.</p>

On 3 June, President Biden amended Executive Order 13959 with respect to the threat posed by the military-industrial complex of the People’s Republic of China, and expanded the list of companies to include entities that operate in the defense and related materiel sector or the surveillance technology sector in China, or own, or are owned, or are controlled by persons that operate in the above sectors.There were a few entities that appeared in Trump's list that were dropped while there were new entities that were added to the current list.Some major changes were that the name of the list was changed from Communist Chinese Military Companies (CCMC) to Chinese Military-Industrial Complex Companies (CMIC), the list would be maintained by the Treasury Department as opposed to the Defense Department, and restrictions on subsidiaries would apply only if the subsidiary was explicitly named in the list.It has been reported in the media, quoting senior officials, that the list will be updated on a rolling basis. As we were typing out the Insight, Reuters published an article that says more Chinese companies could be added to the investment ban.In this Insight, we try to identify some of the subsidiaries of companies that could be added to the CMIC list where the parent entity is already included on the list.

POTUS Executive Order: Potential Additions to the CMIC List

China

AviChina Industry & Technology Co Ltd manufactures and sells aviation tools and aero-parts. The Company's main products include helicopters, regional aircrafts, trainers, general aircrafts, aero-parts and components and aero-electrical products.

AviChina Industry & Technology H (2357 HK)

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AviChina Industry & Technology H (2357 HK)

2023 High Conviction: AviChina Industry (2357 HK) - The Sky Is the Limit

AviChina is cheap against global peers and key drivers are increase in civil and defense demand, commercialisation of C919 aircraft, localisation...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China-US Tension Escalation: Winners and Losers on Pelosi's Taiwan Visit

Chinese defense companies are the major winners in the escalation of the China-US tension following Pelosi's visit to Taiwan. We think Topsports,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Huarong (2799 HK)'s Full Circulation

China Huarong Asset Management, which is expected to be in breach of Hong Kong's public float, is contemplating "full circulation" of some domestic...

David Blennerhassett

Full Circulation Of H-Shares: July 2021 Update

CSRC circulation approval is an endorsement of the existing internal framework of the company. There also does appear to be some degree of...

David Blennerhassett

POTUS Executive Order: Potential Additions to the CMIC List

There could be more entities added to Biden's Executive Order if US-China relations continue to worsen. Defense & surveillance stocks, plus subs of...

Brian Freitas

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