Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Belle International / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Belle Fashion (BF) aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong listing, which would mark its return to the stock market after five years.</li>
<li>Belle Fashion is the largest China-based fashion footwear and apparel group based on 2020 retail sales value, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S). </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Belle Fashion (BF) aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong listing, which would mark its return to the stock market after five years.
Belle Fashion is the largest China-based fashion footwear and apparel group based on 2020 retail sales value, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S). 
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Belle Fashion Pre-IPO - The Positives - Try Walking in My Shoes

Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Bytedance doesn’t need a whole lot of introduction as it runs one of the most popular global apps, TikTok, and one of the largest domestic apps in China, Douyin.</li>
<li>The company undertook a funding round in Dec 2020, which valued the company at around US$180bn. Its valuation has touched US$425 bn in June 2021 in private market transactions. </li>
<li>Rumours about listing have been doing the rounds since as far back as 2019. Although there are no confirmed listing plans.</li>
</ul>


Bytedance doesn’t need a whole lot of introduction as it runs one of the most popular global apps, TikTok, and one of the largest domestic apps in China, Douyin.
The company undertook a funding round in Dec 2020, which valued the company at around US$180bn. Its valuation has touched US$425 bn in June 2021 in private market transactions. 
Rumours about listing have been doing the rounds since as far back as 2019. Although there are no confirmed listing plans.


Bytedance Tearsheet - Doesn't Need Much of an Introduction

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Event-Driven

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI 2022 dividend futures are trading around our fair value. Larger than expected special dividends from oil and telecom companies could provide some upside.</li>
<li>The HSCEI 2022/23 div steepener has dropped from -5 to -15 since our last Insight. We see further downside here and would look to add to shorts in the spread.</li>
<li>With rising interest rates, higher inflation, higher oil prices, a slowdown could lead to a rapid repricing of dividends and there will be opportunities to buy back the spread lower.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI 2022 dividend futures are trading around our fair value. Larger than expected special dividends from oil and telecom companies could provide some upside.
The HSCEI 2022/23 div steepener has dropped from -5 to -15 since our last Insight. We see further downside here and would look to add to shorts in the spread.
With rising interest rates, higher inflation, higher oil prices, a slowdown could lead to a rapid repricing of dividends and there will be opportunities to buy back the spread lower.


HSCEI Dividend Futures: Stay Short the 2022/23 Steepener

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> is expected to release fourth quarter and full-year 2021 results on 23rd March 2022.</li>
<li>We expect fourth quarter 2021 earnings to be soft driven by slowdown in online advertising and online games revenues.</li>
<li>In our 3Q2021 earnings note, we highlighted that weakness in Tencent’s earnings have begun to show up and we expect further declines in 4Q2021E.</li>
</ul>



Tencent (700 HK) is expected to release fourth quarter and full-year 2021 results on 23rd March 2022.
We expect fourth quarter 2021 earnings to be soft driven by slowdown in online advertising and online games revenues.
In our 3Q2021 earnings note, we highlighted that weakness in Tencent’s earnings have begun to show up and we expect further declines in 4Q2021E.


Tencent: 4Q2021 Earnings to Soften with Decelerating Games Growth and Weak Ad Revenue

<ul>
<li>Bilibili launched a shopping cart feature (Xiaohuangche) recently on its livestreaming platform which enables users to purchase goods while watching a live-stream.</li>
<li>This comes at a time; China’s common prosperity crackdown has set its eyes on livestreaming e-commerce.</li>
<li>Bilibili has been looking at ways to improve its monetisation to reduce losses, but we think the new initiative will likely add further pressure on deteriorating margins.</li>
</ul>


Bilibili launched a shopping cart feature (Xiaohuangche) recently on its livestreaming platform which enables users to purchase goods while watching a live-stream.
This comes at a time; China’s common prosperity crackdown has set its eyes on livestreaming e-commerce.
Bilibili has been looking at ways to improve its monetisation to reduce losses, but we think the new initiative will likely add further pressure on deteriorating margins.


Bilibili Makes a Late Entry into Livestreaming E-Commerce; Timing Is Not Just Right

China

Beijing Douyin Information Service Co. Ltd. provides online information and contents. The Company develops and operates short video platform, original short video community, news platform, and other related products. Beijing Douyin Information Service offers services worldwide.

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ByteDance (1439927D CH)

Belle Fashion Pre-IPO - The Positives - Try Walking in My Shoes

Belle Fashion (BF) aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong listing, which would mark its return to the stock market after five years.

Sumeet Singh

Bytedance Tearsheet - Doesn't Need Much of an Introduction

Bytedance doesn’t need a whole lot of introduction as it runs one of the most popular global apps, TikTok, and one of the largest domestic apps in...

Sumeet Singh

HSCEI Dividend Futures: Stay Short the 2022/23 Steepener

We see the HSCEI 2022 div futures trading in line with our estimates while there could be more downside to the 2022/23 div spread. We'd look to get...

Brian Freitas

Tencent: 4Q2021 Earnings to Soften with Decelerating Games Growth and Weak Ad Revenue

We expect Tencent’s 4Q2021E results to show up further weaknesses in the company’s earnings driven by decelerating growth in online games and...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Bilibili Makes a Late Entry into Livestreaming E-Commerce; Timing Is Not Just Right

Bilibili launched a shopping cart feature on its livestreaming platform. This comes at a time China’s common prosperity crackdown has set its eyes...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

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52-week Range

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