Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In June 2025, Beijing Geekplus completed an initial public offering at fixed IPO offer price of HK$16.80, raising ~HK$2.8B of net proceeds in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>A Beijing-based AMRs company announced interim results for the six months ended Jun-25 and posted strong revenue growth of ~31% y/y coupled with improving profitability. </li>
<li>The stock peaked at HK$33.90 (~14x FY25 P/S) in October and fell ~38% over the next month. The company’s cornerstone lockup will expire on January 8, 2026.</li>
</ul>


In June 2025, Beijing Geekplus completed an initial public offering at fixed IPO offer price of HK$16.80, raising ~HK$2.8B of net proceeds in Hong Kong.
A Beijing-based AMRs company announced interim results for the six months ended Jun-25 and posted strong revenue growth of ~31% y/y coupled with improving profitability. 
The stock peaked at HK$33.90 (~14x FY25 P/S) in October and fell ~38% over the next month. The company’s cornerstone lockup will expire on January 8, 2026.


Geek+ (2590.HK): Buying on Weakness As We Enter 2026 and Cornerstone Lock-Up Expiry Approaches

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we present the flows to buy and sell for each of the top 6 Hang Seng Index Family indices based on estimated tracking AUM.</li>
<li>The indices: Hang Seng Index (HSI), HS Tech Index (HSTECH), HS China Enterprise Index (HSCEI), HS HK Biotech (HSHKBIO), HS Internet &amp; Infotech (HSIII), and HS Healthcare Index (HSHCI).</li>
<li>By Quiddity calculations based on the 21 November close, there is one-way flow across these six indices of HK$26.14bn (approximately), to trade on 5 December at the close.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we present the flows to buy and sell for each of the top 6 Hang Seng Index Family indices based on estimated tracking AUM.
The indices: Hang Seng Index (HSI), HS Tech Index (HSTECH), HS China Enterprise Index (HSCEI), HS HK Biotech (HSHKBIO), HS Internet &amp; Infotech (HSIII), and HS Healthcare Index (HSHCI).
By Quiddity calculations based on the 21 November close, there is one-way flow across these six indices of HK$26.14bn (approximately), to trade on 5 December at the close.


[Quiddity Index] Dec25 Hang Seng Index Family Review; Flows for December 5 Rebal

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

<ul>
<li>HSIL adopted all six proposed HS TECH changes, five unchanged and one with modifications, and the new rules take effect on 7 Dec 2026.</li>
<li>Selection by market value and sales growth was adopted with modifications, adding a turnover floor for non-constituents and a minimum sales test for sales growth candidates.</li>
<li>The velocity test, innovation screening, weighting, caps and quarterly review are retained from the current rules.</li>
</ul>


HSIL adopted all six proposed HS TECH changes, five unchanged and one with modifications, and the new rules take effect on 7 Dec 2026.
Selection by market value and sales growth was adopted with modifications, adding a turnover floor for non-constituents and a minimum sales test for sales growth candidates.
The velocity test, innovation screening, weighting, caps and quarterly review are retained from the current rules.


HS TECH Consultation Conclusions: Retained and Refined Rules

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The appreciation of Rmb will bring benefits to some companies. With a lower USD rate and an inflow of funds to China, this trend is expected to continue into 2026.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/h-world-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33487:1" rel="noopener">H World Group (1179 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-everbright-environment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15946:1" rel="noopener">China Everbright Environment (257 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">China National Building Material (3323 HK)</a> are the most likely ones to gain the most.</li>
<li>The newly listed companies in Hong Kong are exposed due to the translation of massive HKD proceeds to Rmb, with the impact on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sicc-co-ltd-e5b2bacc-ed46-4d8e-bfb1-ff952e730eae" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45752:1" rel="noopener">SICC (2631 HK)</a> being the heaviest. </li>
</ul>


The appreciation of Rmb will bring benefits to some companies. With a lower USD rate and an inflow of funds to China, this trend is expected to continue into 2026.

H World Group (1179 HK), China Everbright Environment (257 HK), and China National Building Material (3323 HK) are the most likely ones to gain the most.
The newly listed companies in Hong Kong are exposed due to the translation of massive HKD proceeds to Rmb, with the impact on SICC (2631 HK) being the heaviest. 


China Strategy: Revisiting the Rmb Appreciation Story

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 25th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bidu (9888 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bilibili (9626 HK), Bidu (9888 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 25th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bidu (9888 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bilibili (9626 HK), Bidu (9888 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 25th): Tencent, Bidu, Xiaomi, Bosideng

China

Geekplus Technology is a global leader in autonomous mobile robot (AMR) technology, providing artificial intelligence and robotics solutions for logistics, specializing in warehouse fulfillment and industrial material transport. The company offers picking, moving, and sorting systems, robotic arms, and a comprehensive software suite for unmanned warehouse operations. It was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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Geekplus Technology (2590 HK)

Geek+ (2590.HK): Buying on Weakness As We Enter 2026 and Cornerstone Lock-Up Expiry Approaches

I revised my 2025/2026 revenue estimates for Geek+ and see a compelling entry point for long-term investors as cornerstone lockup expiry...

Andrei Zakharov

[Quiddity Index] Dec25 Hang Seng Index Family Review; Flows for December 5 Rebal

The Hang Seng Index family announced its December rebalance changes on Friday after the close. Here we show the changes and flows across 6 major...

Travis Lundy

HS TECH Consultation Conclusions: Retained and Refined Rules

HSIL adopted all six HS TECH proposals and added two new screens to constituent selection. We set out which rules are retained and which are refined.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Strategy: Revisiting the Rmb Appreciation Story

The Rmb has accelerated its appreciation this year, with a gain of 1.1% against the USD in just under 1.5 months. In 2025, it appreciated 4.3%,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 25th): Tencent, Bidu, Xiaomi, Bosideng

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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Geek+ (2590.HK): Buying on Weakness As We Enter 2026 and Cornerstone Lock-Up Expiry Approaches

​I revised my 2025/2026 revenue estimates for Geek+ and see a compelling entry point for long-term investors as cornerstone lockup expiry...

Andrei Zakharov

[Quiddity Index] Dec25 Hang Seng Index Family Review; Flows for December 5 Rebal

The Hang Seng Index family announced its December rebalance changes on Friday after the close. Here we show the changes and flows across 6 major...

Travis Lundy

HS TECH Consultation Conclusions: Retained and Refined Rules

HSIL adopted all six HS TECH proposals and added two new screens to constituent selection. We set out which rules are retained and which are refined.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Strategy: Revisiting the Rmb Appreciation Story

The Rmb has accelerated its appreciation this year, with a gain of 1.1% against the USD in just under 1.5 months. In 2025, it appreciated 4.3%,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 25th): Tencent, Bidu, Xiaomi, Bosideng

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

I revised my 2025/2026 revenue estimates for Geek+ and see a compelling entry point for long-term investors as cornerstone lockup expiry...