Bayon Financial

Graeme Cunningham

Independent Insight Provider

Bayon Financial provides industry and company analysis focusing on mid and small cap equity research coverage across a range of sectors including mining, financials and telecoms.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The copper price has stagnated for four months, struggling to maintain new highs, and recently slumped on reports that the U.S. maybe wavering on implementing more tariffs of the metal</li>
<li>BHP's price implies very aggressive copper price targets which we view as insufficiently incorporating the risks of a weakening AI-boom, low to no additional US tariffs and broader economic cyclicality </li>
<li>There is still significant downside not just to our valuation, which sits at a pre-AI-boom-inventory-imbalance-driven-parabolic-copper-surge level, but even to a moderate midpoint between our conservative outlook and the market price </li>
</ul>


The copper price has stagnated for four months, struggling to maintain new highs, and recently slumped on reports that the U.S. maybe wavering on implementing more tariffs of the metal
BHP's price implies very aggressive copper price targets which we view as insufficiently incorporating the risks of a weakening AI-boom, low to no additional US tariffs and broader economic cyclicality 
There is still significant downside not just to our valuation, which sits at a pre-AI-boom-inventory-imbalance-driven-parabolic-copper-surge level, but even to a moderate midpoint between our conservative outlook and the market price 


BHP: Risk In A Time Of Heroic Copper Assumptions

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Discussion of major gold news in the market, including departures at Barrick and Newmont and China's involvement</li><li>Interview with Jeff Quartermain about Perseus's journey in the gold market and his decision to step down</li><li>Comparison of valuation landscape during Quartermain's tenure at Perseus with current challenges in acquiring projects at a reasonable cost</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Discussion of major gold news in the market, including departures at Barrick and Newmont and China's involvementInterview with Jeff Quartermain about Perseus's journey in the gold market and his decision to step downComparison of valuation landscape during Quartermain's tenure at Perseus with current challenges in acquiring projects at a reasonable costThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Gold Soars & China Corners BHP (Jeff Quartermaine)

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently eight pairtrade opportunities persist across three markets and five sectors.
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently eight pairtrade opportunities persist across three markets and five sectors.


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (28 Sep 2026)

Iron Ore, Copper, Equities, Mint Finance

Umang Agrawal

Iron Ore, Copper, Equities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Iron ore miners lift output guidance, signalling confidence despite China’s property slump and slowing steel demand.</li>
<li>India emerges as a critical growth driver yet cannot offset China’s structural steel demand weakness.</li>
<li>Rising supply from Simandou and peers heightens downside risk, keeping the iron ore outlook cautiously bearish.</li>
</ul>


Iron ore miners lift output guidance, signalling confidence despite China’s property slump and slowing steel demand.
India emerges as a critical growth driver yet cannot offset China’s structural steel demand weakness.
Rising supply from Simandou and peers heightens downside risk, keeping the iron ore outlook cautiously bearish.


Iron Ore Giants Stay Bullish on India, China Demand Wobbles

Providing investors with a balanced perspective, Massif Capital

Massif Capital Research

Providing investors with a balanced perspective

Massif Capital

Research focused on providing investors with a balanced perspective on the environmental and economic realities of achieving a carbon-neutral economy for businesses within the Energy, Basic Materials and Industrial industries.

The Massif Capital Real Asset Strategy is a global long/short equity strategy built around bottom-up stock picking. We are focused on creating a portfolio of businesses from within the Energy, Basic Materials and Industrial sectors that balance the environmental and economic realities of achieving a carbon-neutral economy.

<h3>This Week's Key Take Aways</h3>
<ul>
<li>Lithium stock run may already be out of steam</li>
<li>Like Oil, the Natural Gas markets appear well supplied and are showing near-term weakness.</li>
<li>No love for North American lumber</li>
<li>Copper continues to have us on edge, love the long-term story, but we have got to survive the short and medium term to get there.</li>
<li>Renewable tax credit qualification has a new physical work standard; the race is on to build.</li>
</ul>

This Week's Key Take Aways

Lithium stock run may already be out of steam
Like Oil, the Natural Gas markets appear well supplied and are showing near-term weakness.
No love for North American lumber
Copper continues to have us on edge, love the long-term story, but we have got to survive the short and medium term to get there.
Renewable tax credit qualification has a new physical work standard; the race is on to build.


Real Asset Chartbook Week #18: Lithium Blinks, Gas Slips, Copper Stalls—Who Survives the Grind?

Australia

BHP Group Ltd operates as an international resources company. The Company offers mineral exploration and production, including coal, iron ore, gold, titanium, ferroalloys, nickel, and copper concentrate, as well as petroleum exploration, production, and refining. BHP Group serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
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BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)

BHP: Risk In A Time Of Heroic Copper Assumptions

We believe that BHP's current level assumes aggressive copper prices which insufficiently account for risks of an AI-boom slowdown, global copper...

Graeme Cunningham

Gold Soars & China Corners BHP (Jeff Quartermaine)

This week's gold news includes departures at Barrick and Newmont, China's involvement in the market, and a discussion of Perseus CEO Jeff...

Money of Mine

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (28 Sep 2026)

Discover eight pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Iron Ore Giants Stay Bullish on India, China Demand Wobbles

Iron ore giants stay bullish on output, betting India’s steel boom offsets China’s slowdown, property drag, and mounting protectionist headwinds.

Mint Finance

Real Asset Chartbook Week #18: Lithium Blinks, Gas Slips, Copper Stalls—Who Survives the Grind?

This Week's Key Take Aways Lithium stock run may already be out of steam Like Oil, the Natural Gas markets appear well supplied and are showing...

Massif Capital Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

BHP: Risk In A Time Of Heroic Copper Assumptions

We believe that BHP's current level assumes aggressive copper prices which insufficiently account for risks of an AI-boom slowdown, global copper...

Graeme Cunningham

Gold Soars & China Corners BHP (Jeff Quartermaine)

This week's gold news includes departures at Barrick and Newmont, China's involvement in the market, and a discussion of Perseus CEO Jeff...

Money of Mine

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (28 Sep 2026)

​Discover eight pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Iron Ore Giants Stay Bullish on India, China Demand Wobbles

Iron ore giants stay bullish on output, betting India’s steel boom offsets China’s slowdown, property drag, and mounting protectionist headwinds.

Mint Finance

Real Asset Chartbook Week #18: Lithium Blinks, Gas Slips, Copper Stalls—Who Survives the Grind?

This Week's Key Take Aways Lithium stock run may already be out of steam Like Oil, the Natural Gas markets appear well supplied and are showing...

Massif Capital Research

Discover eight pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.