AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Samsung and SK hynix are projecting $263 billion in combined net cash by year-end, intensifying pressure to move beyond 50% free-cash-flow payout targets.</li>
<li>Customer deposits and price floors underwrite new capacity, significantly improving demand visibility and weakening the traditional cycle-risk argument for holding massive excess cash.</li>
<li>While LTAs de-risk memory, capital demands remain high. Samsung’s foundry requires heavy investment, and both firms face potential supply-chain contingencies at their Chinese fabs.</li>
</ul>


Samsung and SK hynix are projecting $263 billion in combined net cash by year-end, intensifying pressure to move beyond 50% free-cash-flow payout targets.
Customer deposits and price floors underwrite new capacity, significantly improving demand visibility and weakening the traditional cycle-risk argument for holding massive excess cash.
While LTAs de-risk memory, capital demands remain high. Samsung’s foundry requires heavy investment, and both firms face potential supply-chain contingencies at their Chinese fabs.


[Memory Q2: Part 2] The Contract-Backed Cycle and the Cash Mountain

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Broadcom shares surged nearly 10% after the semiconductor and software giant announced a landmark deal with OpenAI to build and deploy 10 gigawatts of custom AI accelerators.</li><li>Under this multibillion-dollar agreement, OpenAI will design the chips while Broadcom provides connectivity and Ethernet components—a strategic collaboration set to roll out from late 2026 through 2029.</li><li>This announcement came just weeks after a broader AI spending spree by OpenAI, including contracts with Oracle, Nvidia, and AMD.</li></ul>

Broadcom shares surged nearly 10% after the semiconductor and software giant announced a landmark deal with OpenAI to build and deploy 10 gigawatts of custom AI accelerators.Under this multibillion-dollar agreement, OpenAI will design the chips while Broadcom provides connectivity and Ethernet components—a strategic collaboration set to roll out from late 2026 through 2029.This announcement came just weeks after a broader AI spending spree by OpenAI, including contracts with Oracle, Nvidia, and AMD.

Broadcom’s Landmark Deal With OpenAI Sends Shares Soaring—What’s Next?

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Anthropic faces a potential "Down Round" in its IPO slated for later this year.  The dynamics of the AI sector have deteriorated substantially since the company announced its IPO filing.</li>
<li>The private market valuation, based on funding rounds, tripled between February and May this year, adding roughly $600 billion to its market value. The company participates in AI circular financing.</li>
<li>Valuation compression, competition from Chinese open-source models, regulatory challenges, slowing token usage, and market share loss are pre-IPO challenges for the company.</li>
</ul>


Anthropic faces a potential "Down Round" in its IPO slated for later this year.  The dynamics of the AI sector have deteriorated substantially since the company announced its IPO filing.
The private market valuation, based on funding rounds, tripled between February and May this year, adding roughly $600 billion to its market value. The company participates in AI circular financing.
Valuation compression, competition from Chinese open-source models, regulatory challenges, slowing token usage, and market share loss are pre-IPO challenges for the company.


ANTHROPIC IPO: Will Investors Accept a Down Round?

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

<ul><li>(+) Chipmakers rebound, led by Broadcom, after Apple announced a USD30bn chip purchase agreement.</li><li>(±) Crude oil prices surged more than 5% after shipping through the Strait of Hormuz was disrupted.</li><li>(+) The BOI approved nine investment projects worth more than Bt66bn, spanning the food, aviation, and renewable energy industries.</li></ul>

(+) Chipmakers rebound, led by Broadcom, after Apple announced a USD30bn chip purchase agreement.(±) Crude oil prices surged more than 5% after shipping through the Strait of Hormuz was disrupted.(+) The BOI approved nine investment projects worth more than Bt66bn, spanning the food, aviation, and renewable energy industries.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>We believe the recent rally in US equities, particularly Al-related stocks, has masked signs of tightening global liquidity.</li><li>Against this backdrop, we expect a significant rotation of global capital toward Asia, which we believe is better positioned to convert Al-related CAPEX into sustained earnings growth.</li><li>Together with Thai corporate earnings that appear to have bottomed out and continued foreign fund inflows, these factors should support a valuation re-rating of the Thai equity market, underpinning our 12-month forward SET Index target of 1,705, which we expect could be achieved in 3Q26.</li></ul>

We believe the recent rally in US equities, particularly Al-related stocks, has masked signs of tightening global liquidity.Against this backdrop, we expect a significant rotation of global capital toward Asia, which we believe is better positioned to convert Al-related CAPEX into sustained earnings growth.Together with Thai corporate earnings that appear to have bottomed out and continued foreign fund inflows, these factors should support a valuation re-rating of the Thai equity market, underpinning our 12-month forward SET Index target of 1,705, which we expect could be achieved in 3Q26.

KTX Investment Outlook 3Q26: The Broken Backbone of Global Liquidity

United States

Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. The Company offers storage adapters, controllers, networking processors, motion control encoders, and optical sensors, as well as infrastructure and security software to modernize, optimize, and secure the most complex hybrid environments. Broadcom serves customers worldwide.

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Broadcom (AVGO US)

[Memory Q2: Part 2] The Contract-Backed Cycle and the Cash Mountain

As AI changes memory contracting via LTAs, the traditional cyclical excuse for hoarding cash is weakening among investors, especially as Samsung...

Mint Finance

Broadcom’s Landmark Deal With OpenAI Sends Shares Soaring—What’s Next?

Broadcom shares surged nearly 10% after the semiconductor and software giant announced a landmark deal with OpenAI to build and deploy 10...

Baptista Research

ANTHROPIC IPO: Will Investors Accept a Down Round?

Anthropic faces a potential "Down Round" in its IPO slated for later this year. The dynamics of the AI sector have deteriorated substantially...

David Mudd

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. July 9, 2026

(+) Chipmakers rebound, led by Broadcom, after Apple announced a USD30bn chip purchase agreement. (±) Crude oil prices surged more than 5% after...

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Investment Outlook 3Q26: The Broken Backbone of Global Liquidity

We believe the recent rally in US equities, particularly Al-related stocks, has masked signs of tightening global liquidity. Against this...

Krungthai XSpring

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