HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Statistics supported "Sell in May, go away" for the HSI. Since 2013, the average return for May is -2%, and is negative in 8 out of the last 12 years.</li>
<li>On average, May is the worst month since 2020, too. This even eclipsed the month of Oct, which is widely believed to be normally the worst month.</li>
<li>If a weak May happens, the heavily weighted yet strongly performed constituents like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> are to suffer. </li>
</ul>


Statistics supported "Sell in May, go away" for the HSI. Since 2013, the average return for May is -2%, and is negative in 8 out of the last 12 years.
On average, May is the worst month since 2020, too. This even eclipsed the month of Oct, which is widely believed to be normally the worst month.
If a weak May happens, the heavily weighted yet strongly performed constituents like BYD (1211 HK), Alibaba Group (9988 HK), and Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) are to suffer. 


HK Strategy: Sell in May, Go Away? The History Says Yes!

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 18/Apr, U.S. crude inventories rose by 0.2m barrels (vs. expectations of a 0.7m barrel fall). Gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell more than expected.</li>
<li>Henry Hub is headed for a fourth straight weekly decline. U.S. natural gas inventories rose by 88 Bcf, exceeding analyst expectations of a 69 Bcf build.</li>
<li>Analysts cut price targets for Exxon, Chevron, Occidental, and Halliburton. Activist investor Elliott raised its stake in BP to just over 5% via derivative contracts.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 18/Apr, U.S. crude inventories rose by 0.2m barrels (vs. expectations of a 0.7m barrel fall). Gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell more than expected.
Henry Hub is headed for a fourth straight weekly decline. U.S. natural gas inventories rose by 88 Bcf, exceeding analyst expectations of a 69 Bcf build.
Analysts cut price targets for Exxon, Chevron, Occidental, and Halliburton. Activist investor Elliott raised its stake in BP to just over 5% via derivative contracts.


[ETP 2025/17] WTI Tumbles Amid U.S. Trade Policy Uncertainty, Henry Hub Continues to Slide

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>300750 SZ/1211 HK: CATL launched 2nd generation Shenxing LFP battery, surprassing BYD in fast charging (///)</li>
<li>ATAT US : Hotel RevPAR Decline Narrows Marginally  (+ /+)</li>
<li>NIO US: ONVO L90 Appears in MIIT's New Vehicle List(+)</li>
</ul>


300750 SZ/1211 HK: CATL launched 2nd generation Shenxing LFP battery, surprassing BYD in fast charging (///)
ATAT US : Hotel RevPAR Decline Narrows Marginally  (+ /+)
NIO US: ONVO L90 Appears in MIIT's New Vehicle List(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 SZ/1211 HK/ATAT US/NIO US

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Tariffs /In Depth: China’s export machine stalls under Trump’s new trade blitz</li><li>Hong Kong /: Hong Kong stock market rides tech fever to bumper first quarter</li><li>Jewelry /In Depth: For Laopu Gold, the jewelry isn’t the only thing that’s expensive</li></ul>

Tariffs /In Depth: China’s export machine stalls under Trump’s new trade blitzHong Kong /: Hong Kong stock market rides tech fever to bumper first quarterJewelry /In Depth: For Laopu Gold, the jewelry isn’t the only thing that’s expensive

CX Daily: China’s Export Machine Stalls Under Trump’s New Trade Blitz 

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>The logic behind the tariff is not just a slap in the face for a lot of other nations but also net imports over exports. </li>
<li>Companies benefitting from the globalization will suffer, and the ones with domestic-centric businesses with real assets in proximity may be less hurt. </li>
<li>This could accelerate the forming of new trading bloc that may change the current world order. </li>
</ul>


The logic behind the tariff is not just a slap in the face for a lot of other nations but also net imports over exports. 
Companies benefitting from the globalization will suffer, and the ones with domestic-centric businesses with real assets in proximity may be less hurt. 
This could accelerate the forming of new trading bloc that may change the current world order. 


China

BYD Company Limited manufactures automotive products. The Company produces ordinary passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and other products. BYD also operates battery making, rail transportation construction, and other businesses.

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BYD (002594 CH)

HK Strategy: Sell in May, Go Away? The History Says Yes!

Statistics show "Sell in May, go away" holds true for HSI with negative returns in May since 2013, making it the worst one, even surpassing Oct....

Osbert Tang, CFA

[ETP 2025/17] WTI Tumbles Amid U.S. Trade Policy Uncertainty, Henry Hub Continues to Slide

US crude inventories rose unexpectedly, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell. Analysts lowered price targets for major oil companies,...

Mint Finance

[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 SZ/1211 HK/ATAT US/NIO US

CATL surpasses BYD in fast charging with 2nd generation Shenxing LFP battery. Hotel RevPAR decline narrows slightly. ONVO L90 from NIO appears in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CX Daily: China’s Export Machine Stalls Under Trump’s New Trade Blitz

TOP STORY Tariffs / In Depth: China’s export machine stalls under Trump’s new trade blitz Chinese manufacturers are scrambling to respond after...

Caixin Global

Tariff: New World Order?

Tariffs could shift global trade dynamics, favoring domestic-focused companies and potentially leading to the formation of new trading blocs.

Henry Soediarko

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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HK Strategy: Sell in May, Go Away? The History Says Yes!

​Statistics show "Sell in May, go away" holds true for HSI with negative returns in May since 2013, making it the worst one, even surpassing Oct....

Osbert Tang, CFA

[ETP 2025/17] WTI Tumbles Amid U.S. Trade Policy Uncertainty, Henry Hub Continues to Slide

​US crude inventories rose unexpectedly, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell. Analysts lowered price targets for major oil companies,...

Mint Finance

[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 SZ/1211 HK/ATAT US/NIO US

​CATL surpasses BYD in fast charging with 2nd generation Shenxing LFP battery. Hotel RevPAR decline narrows slightly. ONVO L90 from NIO appears in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CX Daily: China’s Export Machine Stalls Under Trump’s New Trade Blitz

TOP STORY Tariffs / In Depth: China’s export machine stalls under Trump’s new trade blitz Chinese manufacturers are scrambling to respond after...

Caixin Global

Tariff: New World Order?

​Tariffs could shift global trade dynamics, favoring domestic-focused companies and potentially leading to the formation of new trading blocs.

Henry Soediarko

Statistics show "Sell in May, go away" holds true for HSI with negative returns in May since 2013, making it the worst one, even surpassing Oct....

US crude inventories rose unexpectedly, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell. Analysts lowered price targets for major oil companies,...

CATL surpasses BYD in fast charging with 2nd generation Shenxing LFP battery. Hotel RevPAR decline narrows slightly. ONVO L90 from NIO appears in...

Tariffs could shift global trade dynamics, favoring domestic-focused companies and potentially leading to the formation of new trading blocs.