Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Global indexes remain overwhelmingly positive which is supported by the fact that there is a dearth of breakdowns. Overall our big picture view remains unchanged; overhead longer-term resistance on the MSCI EM, EAFE, and ACWI ex-US indexes (all priced in local currency) is something to be aware of, however if the ACWI-US is above $70 our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish and we suggest buying any dips. In today's report we highlight attractive charts within defensives (Consumer Staples &amp; Utilities), cyclicals (Consumer Discretionary, Energy, Financial, &amp; Materials), and in-between Sectors (Communications, Services, &amp; Health Care)

Global indexes remain overwhelmingly positive which is supported by the fact that there is a dearth of breakdowns. Overall our big picture view remains unchanged; overhead longer-term resistance on the MSCI EM, EAFE, and ACWI ex-US indexes (all priced in local currency) is something to be aware of, however if the ACWI-US is above $70 our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish and we suggest buying any dips. In today's report we highlight attractive charts within defensives (Consumer Staples &amp; Utilities), cyclicals (Consumer Discretionary, Energy, Financial, &amp; Materials), and in-between Sectors (Communications, Services, &amp; Health Care)

Global Equity Strategy: Stick With Technology

Video game stocks have been a major focus of ours for several months with the space outperforming the broad market amid the coronavirus pandemic. The stay at home theme remains in full force and with most of the space breaking out simultaneously, it gives us added confidence that price and RS appreciation is likely just getting started. In today’s report we highlight our favorite technical setups, all offering compelling and timely opportunities to add exposure at current levels. Buy: SE-US (our favorite setup), EA-US, ATVI-US, ZNGA-US, CDR-PL, UBI-FR, and 9697-JP

Video game stocks have been a major focus of ours for several months with the space outperforming the broad market amid the coronavirus pandemic. The stay at home theme remains in full force and with most of the space breaking out simultaneously, it gives us added confidence that price and RS appreciation is likely just getting started. In today’s report we highlight our favorite technical setups, all offering compelling and timely opportunities to add exposure at current levels. Buy: SE-US (our favorite setup), EA-US, ATVI-US, ZNGA-US, CDR-PL, UBI-FR, and 9697-JP

Video Game Stocks Breaking Out; Buy SE-US, EA-US, ATVI-US, ZNGA-US, CDR-PL, UBI-FR, and 9697-JP

We continue to believe global equities (ACWI-US) are likely to test the recent low made on March 23, with an undercut of roughly 10% also in the cards. This expectation is supported by price action during prior major waterfall declines in past recessionary periods. With the global economy likely headed for a recession (or worse) we believe it is important to stay with the Sectors that have been outperforming amid the COVID-19 pandemic as we believe they are likely to continue outperforming. That means we are sticking primarily with Staples, Health Care, and Technology. We are also expanding our recommendations to include bottom-up ideas within several other Sectors.

We continue to believe global equities (ACWI-US) are likely to test the recent low made on March 23, with an undercut of roughly 10% also in the cards. This expectation is supported by price action during prior major waterfall declines in past recessionary periods. With the global economy likely headed for a recession (or worse) we believe it is important to stay with the Sectors that have been outperforming amid the COVID-19 pandemic as we believe they are likely to continue outperforming. That means we are sticking primarily with Staples, Health Care, and Technology. We are also expanding our recommendations to include bottom-up ideas within several other Sectors.

Global Equities (ACWI-US) Likely to Retest the March Low

Despite recent weakness across global markets, our weight of the evidence approach continues to lead us to the same conclusions as we posited in our 1/24/20 and 1/30/20 Int’l Compass reports: we continue to believe this is a bull market until proven otherwise, and a “buy the dip” strategy remains warranted. In our February International Strategy, we highlight various themes which lead to our bullish outlook, and offer several attractive opportunities we are seeing in the global health care and technology sectors..

Despite recent weakness across global markets, our weight of the evidence approach continues to lead us to the same conclusions as we posited in our 1/24/20 and 1/30/20 Int’l Compass reports: we continue to believe this is a bull market until proven otherwise, and a “buy the dip” strategy remains warranted. In our February International Strategy, we highlight various themes which lead to our bullish outlook, and offer several attractive opportunities we are seeing in the global health care and technology sectors..

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In early May, as with many months before, I had written about the nature of the Nikkei 25 rebal prediction decision tree. A week later, a branch, well... branched.</li>
<li>The third ADD changed in mid-month last month. Now, the first DELETE has changed. It likely isn't an auto-delete anymore. </li>
<li>Given the rankings of tech stocks, that may mean only two ADDs and two DELETES and it changes the calculus on the DELETEs as a whole.</li>
</ul>


In early May, as with many months before, I had written about the nature of the Nikkei 25 rebal prediction decision tree. A week later, a branch, well... branched.
The third ADD changed in mid-month last month. Now, the first DELETE has changed. It likely isn't an auto-delete anymore. 
Given the rankings of tech stocks, that may mean only two ADDs and two DELETES and it changes the calculus on the DELETEs as a whole.


[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep26 Rebal - Changing Horses on the Top DELETE

Japan

CAPCOM CO., LTD. develops consumer video game software.  The Company also develops, manufactures, markets, and leases arcade game machines.  Capcom also operates amusement facilities.

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Capcom Co Ltd (9697 JP)

Global Equity Strategy: Stick With Technology

Global indexes remain overwhelmingly positive which is supported by the fact that there is a dearth of breakdowns. Overall our big picture view...

Vermilion Research

Video Game Stocks Breaking Out; Buy SE-US, EA-US, ATVI-US, ZNGA-US, CDR-PL, UBI-FR, and 9697-JP

Video game stocks have been a major focus of ours for several months with the space outperforming the broad market amid the coronavirus pandemic....

Vermilion Research

Global Equities (ACWI-US) Likely to Retest the March Low

We continue to believe global equities (ACWI-US) are likely to test the recent low made on March 23, with an undercut of roughly 10% also in the...

Vermilion Research

Global Equity Strategy: Buy the Dips

Despite recent weakness across global markets, our weight of the evidence approach continues to lead us to the same conclusions as we posited in...

Vermilion Research

[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep26 Rebal - Changing Horses on the Top DELETE

Volume traded has removed the Top Delete candidate from the likely delete list for Sep26. That changes the calculus. I was leaning to 3 adds 3...

Travis Lundy

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