Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)</a> has announced plans to acquire Qatar Airways' 9.57% stake at HK$10.8374/share, or an outlay of HK$6.96bn (~US$890mn).</li>
<li>Qatar Airways acquired this stake in November 2017 at HK$13.65/share. </li>
<li>Upon approval from the SFC (mainly granting a MGO waiver), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (19 HK)</a>'s stake in Cathay increases to 47.69% (from 43.12%); and Air China’s stake to 31.78% (from 28.74%).</li>
</ul>



Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK) has announced plans to acquire Qatar Airways' 9.57% stake at HK$10.8374/share, or an outlay of HK$6.96bn (~US$890mn).
Qatar Airways acquired this stake in November 2017 at HK$13.65/share. 
Upon approval from the SFC (mainly granting a MGO waiver), Swire Pacific (19 HK)'s stake in Cathay increases to 47.69% (from 43.12%); and Air China’s stake to 31.78% (from 28.74%).


Cathay (293 HK) Takes Out Qatar Airway's Stake

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>In Custody Battles, Parental Child Abductions Test China’s Justice System On Children’s Day, 39-year-old Shi Ke wandered through People’s Park in Nanchang, Jiangxi province, hoping to see her 3-year-old son, Xiaoqing.</li><li>She wanted a few unguarded moments to talk and play with him.</li><li>She had brought him a Thomas the Tank Engine toy.</li></ul>

In Custody Battles, Parental Child Abductions Test China’s Justice System On Children’s Day, 39-year-old Shi Ke wandered through People’s Park in Nanchang, Jiangxi province, hoping to see her 3-year-old son, Xiaoqing.She wanted a few unguarded moments to talk and play with him.She had brought him a Thomas the Tank Engine toy.

CX Daily: In Custody Battles, Parental Child Abductions Test China’s Justice System 

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the war enters its second month.</li>
<li>Asian countries are highly dependent on oil and gas shipments from the Middle East, with airlines, petrochemical companies, and gas distribution companies all negatively affected.</li>
<li>Iran now controls when the flow of energy from the Middle East starts and thereby when the war stops. Gulf countries will not allow Iran to be the Straits gatekeeper.</li>
</ul>


So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the war enters its second month.
Asian countries are highly dependent on oil and gas shipments from the Middle East, with airlines, petrochemical companies, and gas distribution companies all negatively affected.
Iran now controls when the flow of energy from the Middle East starts and thereby when the war stops. Gulf countries will not allow Iran to be the Straits gatekeeper.


OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 25th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Zijin Gold Intl, Alibaba, CCB, Trip.Com, Meituan, BOC, Wuxi Apptec, Wanguo Gold Gp.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 25th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Zijin Gold Intl, Alibaba, CCB, Trip.Com, Meituan, BOC, Wuxi Apptec, Wanguo Gold Gp.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Gold Intl, Alibaba, CCB, Trip.Com, Meituan, BOC, Wuxi Apptec

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The airlines and marine transportation sectors are the most exposed to the rise in Brent oil prices caused by the current US-Iran conflicts in the Middle East.</li>
<li>For the airlines, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-eastern-airlines-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1079:1" rel="noopener">China Eastern Airlines (670 HK)</a> is the most vulnerable, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)</a> is relatively more insulated.</li>
<li>For marine transportation, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sitc-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15301:1" rel="noopener">SITC International (1308 HK)</a> is the least exposed, but <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-basin-shipping-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:929:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Basin Shipping (2343 HK)</a> looks to be more negatively affected.</li>
</ul>


The airlines and marine transportation sectors are the most exposed to the rise in Brent oil prices caused by the current US-Iran conflicts in the Middle East.
For the airlines, China Eastern Airlines (670 HK) is the most vulnerable, while Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK) is relatively more insulated.
For marine transportation, SITC International (1308 HK) is the least exposed, but Pacific Basin Shipping (2343 HK) looks to be more negatively affected.


HK Strategy: Assessing the Oil Vulnerability

Hong Kong

Cathay Pacific is a premium travel lifestyle brand offering scheduled passenger and cargo air transportation, along with low-cost travel and various lifestyle products and services. The airline connects Hong Kong, mainland China, and the world through its hub at Hong Kong International Airport. It was founded in Hong Kong in 1946.

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Cathay Pacific (293 HK)

Cathay (293 HK) Takes Out Qatar Airway's Stake

This buyback is a ~10.5% boost to Cathay's EPS. I might get some exposure to Cathay here; but it's not a high conviction trade. Elsewhere, Swire...

David Blennerhassett

CX Daily: In Custody Battles, Parental Child Abductions Test China’s Justice System

TOP STORIES In Depth: In Custody Battles, Parental Child Abductions Test China’s Justice System On Children’s Day, 39-year-old Shi Ke wandered...

Caixin Global

OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the...

David Mudd

HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Gold Intl, Alibaba, CCB, Trip.Com, Meituan, BOC, Wuxi Apptec

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 25th and highlight short interest changes in Zijin Gold Intl (2259 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Strategy: Assessing the Oil Vulnerability

Rise in Brent oil prices due to US-Iran conflicts hits airlines and marine transportation sectors as fuel and bunker costs increase, with China...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Cathay (293 HK) Takes Out Qatar Airway's Stake

This buyback is a ~10.5% boost to Cathay's EPS. I might get some exposure to Cathay here; but it's not a high conviction trade. Elsewhere, Swire...

David Blennerhassett

CX Daily: In Custody Battles, Parental Child Abductions Test China’s Justice System

TOP STORIES In Depth: In Custody Battles, Parental Child Abductions Test China’s Justice System On Children’s Day, 39-year-old Shi Ke wandered...

Caixin Global

OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the...

David Mudd

HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Gold Intl, Alibaba, CCB, Trip.Com, Meituan, BOC, Wuxi Apptec

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 25th and highlight short interest changes in Zijin Gold Intl (2259 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Strategy: Assessing the Oil Vulnerability

​Rise in Brent oil prices due to US-Iran conflicts hits airlines and marine transportation sectors as fuel and bunker costs increase, with China...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Rise in Brent oil prices due to US-Iran conflicts hits airlines and marine transportation sectors as fuel and bunker costs increase, with China...