Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Q1 saw record quarterly inflows by SOUTHBOUND investors at HK$435bn, beating the previous record of Q1 2021 by more than HK$100bn. This week was +HK$37bn.</li>
<li>That's decent net buying still. Keeping that pace would mean a new record. It IS possible this excess flow is state-managed (or state-insisted as insurers up equity investment ratios).</li>
<li>Included is a summary of important China Stocks-relevant news as I saw it this week, but tariffs, retaliation, US growth prospects, etc will all matter more. </li>
</ul>


Q1 saw record quarterly inflows by SOUTHBOUND investors at HK$435bn, beating the previous record of Q1 2021 by more than HK$100bn. This week was +HK$37bn.
That's decent net buying still. Keeping that pace would mean a new record. It IS possible this excess flow is state-managed (or state-insisted as insurers up equity investment ratios).
Included is a summary of important China Stocks-relevant news as I saw it this week, but tariffs, retaliation, US growth prospects, etc will all matter more. 


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 28 Mar 2025); Banks and Divs Bought Again

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium was 85.0% as of Mar 28th. The average A-H premium changed by 1.8ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Great Wall Motor, China Oilfield Services, Tsingtao Brewery, Cmoc, Xinhua Winshare Publishing And Media.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week.
The average A-H premium was 85.0% as of Mar 28th. The average A-H premium changed by 1.8ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Great Wall Motor, China Oilfield Services, Tsingtao Brewery, Cmoc, Xinhua Winshare Publishing And Media.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 28th): Great Wall Motor, China Oilfield Services, Tsingtao Brewery, Cmoc

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 28th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Xiaomi, CMB, Meituan, Ke, Li Auto, Tencent, BYD Electronic, SMIC, HKEx, Alibaba.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 28th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Xiaomi, CMB, Meituan, Ke, Li Auto, Tencent, BYD Electronic, SMIC, HKEx, Alibaba.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Mar 28th): Xiaomi, CMB, Meituan, Ke, Li Auto, Tencent, BYD Electronic, SMIC

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 21st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Trip.Com, Zto Express, Wuxi Apptec, Anta Sports, Midea.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 21st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Trip.Com, Zto Express, Wuxi Apptec, Anta Sports, Midea.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Trip.Com, Zto Express, Wuxi Apptec, Anta Sports, Midea

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-port-holdings-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15155:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Port (144 HK)</a> may potentially play a role in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)</a>'s port portfolio disposal should the mainland government want to step in. </li>
<li>While CMPH's size is small relative to the port portfolio, its parent China Merchants Group and sister <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd-3388a037-4214-4997-b45d-520518cfdb57" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10987:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK)</a> can easily facilitate such a transaction.</li>
<li>Having the portfolio in the hands of mainland company is desirable to the Chinese government. Even if CMPH has no role, its 7.6x PER and 6% yield are attractive.</li>
</ul>



China Merchants Port (144 HK) may potentially play a role in CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)'s port portfolio disposal should the mainland government want to step in. 
While CMPH's size is small relative to the port portfolio, its parent China Merchants Group and sister China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK) can easily facilitate such a transaction.
Having the portfolio in the hands of mainland company is desirable to the Chinese government. Even if CMPH has no role, its 7.6x PER and 6% yield are attractive.


China Merchants Port (144 HK): Will It Have a Role in CKH's Port Sale?

China

China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd. operates as a commercial bank. The Company provides deposits, loans, wealth management, asset custody, finance leasing, investment banking, and other banking services. China Merchants Bank conducts businesses domestically and internationally.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 28 Mar 2025); Banks and Divs Bought Again

Chinese banks get their expected capital injection and the world awaits tariffs but SOUTHBOUND investors continue to buy, making for a record...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 28th): Great Wall Motor, China Oilfield Services, Tsingtao Brewery, Cmoc

We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Great Wall Motor, China Oilfield Services, Tsingtao Brewery, Cmoc, Xinhua Winshare Publishing And...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Mar 28th): Xiaomi, CMB, Meituan, Ke, Li Auto, Tencent, BYD Electronic, SMIC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Xiaomi, CMB, Meituan, Ke, Li Auto, Tencent, BYD...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Trip.Com, Zto Express, Wuxi Apptec, Anta Sports, Midea

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 21st and highlight short interest changes in Trip.Com, Zto Express,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Merchants Port (144 HK): Will It Have a Role in CKH's Port Sale?

China Merchants Port may play a role in CK Hutchison's port portfolio disposal if the government intervenes. A mainland ownership of the ports is...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 28 Mar 2025); Banks and Divs Bought Again

Chinese banks get their expected capital injection and the world awaits tariffs but SOUTHBOUND investors continue to buy, making for a record...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 28th): Great Wall Motor, China Oilfield Services, Tsingtao Brewery, Cmoc

We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Great Wall Motor, China Oilfield Services, Tsingtao Brewery, Cmoc, Xinhua Winshare Publishing And...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Mar 28th): Xiaomi, CMB, Meituan, Ke, Li Auto, Tencent, BYD Electronic, SMIC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Xiaomi, CMB, Meituan, Ke, Li Auto, Tencent, BYD...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Trip.Com, Zto Express, Wuxi Apptec, Anta Sports, Midea

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 21st and highlight short interest changes in Trip.Com, Zto Express,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Merchants Port (144 HK): Will It Have a Role in CKH's Port Sale?

​China Merchants Port may play a role in CK Hutchison's port portfolio disposal if the government intervenes. A mainland ownership of the ports is...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Merchants Port may play a role in CK Hutchison's port portfolio disposal if the government intervenes. A mainland ownership of the ports is...