Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The ADDs/DELs for the ASX index family for the September 2026 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 4th September 2026.</li>
<li>There are 24 ADDs and 21 DELs collectively for ASX 20, ASX 50, ASX 100, ASX 200 and ASX 300.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for each of these confirmed index changes.</li>
</ul>


The ADDs/DELs for the ASX index family for the September 2026 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 4th September 2026.
There are 24 ADDs and 21 DELs collectively for ASX 20, ASX 50, ASX 100, ASX 200 and ASX 300.
In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for each of these confirmed index changes.


Quiddity ASX Sep26 Results: 92% of Predictions Correct; More Changes for ASX 300 than We Expected

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There could be 2 changes for the ASX50, 1 for the ASX100, 6 for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and 16 adds/11 deletes for the ASX300 in September.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the ASX200 and ASX300 indices.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months, but outperformance has reduced for the ASX50/ASX200 indices and has increased for the ASX100/ASX300 indices.</li>
</ul>


There could be 2 changes for the ASX50, 1 for the ASX100, 6 for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and 16 adds/11 deletes for the ASX300 in September.
Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the ASX200 and ASX300 indices.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months, but outperformance has reduced for the ASX50/ASX200 indices and has increased for the ASX100/ASX300 indices.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we present our final expectations for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 for the September 2026 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect two changes for ASX 50, one change for ASX 100, and five changes for ASX 200. Separately, we see 13 ADDs and 10 DELs for ASX 300.</li>
<li>The Vault minerals deal could trigger index changes after the September 2026 index review.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we present our final expectations for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 for the September 2026 index rebal event.
We expect two changes for ASX 50, one change for ASX 100, and five changes for ASX 200. Separately, we see 13 ADDs and 10 DELs for ASX 300.
The Vault minerals deal could trigger index changes after the September 2026 index review.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep26: Final Expectations; Many High-Impact Names

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the September 2026 index rebal event.</li>
<li>There are several ADDs/DELs expected across these indices with some names still close to the border.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vault-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46317:1" rel="noopener">Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU)</a> - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a> deal is likely to trigger a wide range of passive flows across multiple index families.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the September 2026 index rebal event.
There are several ADDs/DELs expected across these indices with some names still close to the border.
The Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU) - Genesis Minerals (GMD AU) deal is likely to trigger a wide range of passive flows across multiple index families.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep26: Vault-Genesis Index Implications & Many Regular High-Impact Changes

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

The MSCI ACWI index (USD) is breaking out to all-time highs while the MSCI EM index (local) is breaking above its prior highs from January. This is bullish and will continue to be as long as there is an absence of breakdowns. On the other hand, Europe’s EURO STOXX 50 and Japan’s TOPIX have struggled to break above resistance and their RS remains near the lows -- be selective. In addition to covering important technical levels across all markets, we highlight additional ideas in the following Sectors: Services, Communications, Industrials, and Transportation.

The MSCI ACWI index (USD) is breaking out to all-time highs while the MSCI EM index (local) is breaking above its prior highs from January. This is bullish and will continue to be as long as there is an absence of breakdowns. On the other hand, Europe’s EURO STOXX 50 and Japan’s TOPIX have struggled to break above resistance and their RS remains near the lows -- be selective. In addition to covering important technical levels across all markets, we highlight additional ideas in the following Sectors: Services, Communications, Industrials, and Transportation.

Global Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact

Australia

Codan Limited develops rugged and electronics solutions for international government, corporate, NGO and consumer markets. The company's line of business includes provision of radio communications, metal detection and tracking solutions.

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Codan (CDA AU)

Quiddity ASX Sep26 Results: 92% of Predictions Correct; More Changes for ASX 300 than We Expected

Most of the confirmed index changes have multiple days of volume to trade. The ASX 300 ADDs/DELs have comparatively insignificant flow sizes.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact

There could be 45 changes across the ASX family of indices in Sept. Passive trackers need to trade a lot of stock in many names. Short interest is...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep26: Final Expectations; Many High-Impact Names

The ADDs/DELs for the September 2026 index rebalance will be confirmed after market close on 4th September 2026 and the Inclusion/Exclusion events...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep26: Vault-Genesis Index Implications & Many Regular High-Impact Changes

We see 43 index changes for the ASX family during the regular index review in September 2026. Most of these index changes have decent flow size and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Global Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact

The MSCI ACWI index (USD) is breaking out to all-time highs while the MSCI EM index (local) is breaking above its prior highs from January. This is...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity ASX Sep26 Results: 92% of Predictions Correct; More Changes for ASX 300 than We Expected

Most of the confirmed index changes have multiple days of volume to trade. The ASX 300 ADDs/DELs have comparatively insignificant flow sizes.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact

There could be 45 changes across the ASX family of indices in Sept. Passive trackers need to trade a lot of stock in many names. Short interest is...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep26: Final Expectations; Many High-Impact Names

The ADDs/DELs for the September 2026 index rebalance will be confirmed after market close on 4th September 2026 and the Inclusion/Exclusion events...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep26: Vault-Genesis Index Implications & Many Regular High-Impact Changes

We see 43 index changes for the ASX family during the regular index review in September 2026. Most of these index changes have decent flow size and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Global Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact

The MSCI ACWI index (USD) is breaking out to all-time highs while the MSCI EM index (local) is breaking above its prior highs from January. This is...

Vermilion Research

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact