Financial News, Analysis and Data, FNArena

FNArena

Financial News, Analysis and Data

Online financial media company focused on Australian equities, with a global perspective

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Growth is so rapacious for Codan, management has upgraded interim FY27 guidance some six weeks after FY26 results, as demand for unmanned aircraft systems surges.</li><li> Defence demand drives another major earnings upgrade for Codan Global drone and autonomous systems investment underpins Communications growth Forecasts rise as Codan benefits from structural growth tailwinds More upgrades still a possibility</li></ul>

Growth is so rapacious for Codan, management has upgraded interim FY27 guidance some six weeks after FY26 results, as demand for unmanned aircraft systems surges. Defence demand drives another major earnings upgrade for Codan Global drone and autonomous systems investment underpins Communications growth Forecasts rise as Codan benefits from structural growth tailwinds More upgrades still a possibility

Codan's Growth Goes (Even More) Exponential

Smartkarma AI Primers, Smartkarma

αSK Primers

Smartkarma AI Primers

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

<ul>
 <li>
<a href="https://smartkarma.com/entities/codan-ltd-australia">Codan</a> is a diversified technology company with leading positions in niche global markets for communications and metal detection. Its dual-business model provides resilience, with different demand drivers for each segment.</li>
 <li>The company is well-positioned to benefit from long-term growth in global defense and security spending, as well as the continued demand for gold, which drives its consumer and professional metal detection business.</li>
 <li>A key risk is the 'lumpy' nature of large government and military contracts in the Communications division, which can lead to revenue volatility. The company's growth strategy includes strategic acquisitions to expand its technology portfolio and market reach.</li>
</ul>This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


  
Codan is a diversified technology company with leading positions in niche global markets for communications and metal detection. Its dual-business model provides resilience, with different demand drivers for each segment.
  The company is well-positioned to benefit from long-term growth in global defense and security spending, as well as the continued demand for gold, which drives its consumer and professional metal detection business.
  A key risk is the 'lumpy' nature of large government and military contracts in the Communications division, which can lead to revenue volatility. The company's growth strategy includes strategic acquisitions to expand its technology portfolio and market reach.
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:803:1" rel="noopener">Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU)</a>'s holding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boral-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1487:1" rel="noopener">Boral Ltd (BLD AU)</a> continues to increase and that could lead to an index change at the June rebalance, if not earlier.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silver-lake-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6529:1" rel="noopener">Silver Lake Resources (SLR AU)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/red-5-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7940:1" rel="noopener">Red 5 Ltd (RED AU)</a> merger could lead to an index change early June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cie-de-saint-gobain" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21547:1" rel="noopener">Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP)</a>'s acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csr-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17380:1" rel="noopener">CSR Ltd (CSR AU)</a> could lead to another index change just ahead of the regular June rebalance.</li>
</ul>



Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU)'s holding in Boral Ltd (BLD AU) continues to increase and that could lead to an index change at the June rebalance, if not earlier.
The Silver Lake Resources (SLR AU)/ Red 5 Ltd (RED AU) merger could lead to an index change early June.

Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP)'s acquisition of CSR Ltd (CSR AU) could lead to another index change just ahead of the regular June rebalance.


ASX200 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes Prior to the June Rebalance

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 5th October, published on the 9th October.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.7bn into "Metals &amp; Mining"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.03bn out of "Coal". Net shorts increased A$2.5bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wesfarmers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1104:1" rel="noopener">Wesfarmers (WES AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northern-star-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4243:1" rel="noopener">Northern Star Resources (NST AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pinnacle-investment-management" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20624:1" rel="noopener">Pinnacle Investment Management (PNI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alcoa-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45100:1" rel="noopener">Alcoa Corporation (AAI AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lynas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20374:1" rel="noopener">Lynas Corp (LYC AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 5th October, published on the 9th October.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.7bn into "Metals &amp; Mining"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.03bn out of "Coal". Net shorts increased A$2.5bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Wesfarmers (WES AU), Northern Star Resources (NST AU), Pinnacle Investment Management (PNI AU), Alcoa Corporation (AAI AU), and Lynas Corp (LYC AU).


Aussie Shorts [5th Oct 2026]: Wesfarmers , Northern Star Res., Pinnacle Investment, Alcoa, Lynas

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 2nd (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD50.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Alcoa, Wesfarmers, Brambles, Suncorp.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 2nd (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD50.5bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Alcoa, Wesfarmers, Brambles, Suncorp.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 2nd): Northern Star Resources, Alcoa, Wesfarmers, Brambles, Suncorp

Australia

Codan Limited develops rugged and electronics solutions for international government, corporate, NGO and consumer markets. The company's line of business includes provision of radio communications, metal detection and tracking solutions.

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Codan (CDA AU)

Codan's Growth Goes (Even More) Exponential

Growth is so rapacious for Codan, management has upgraded interim FY27 guidance some six weeks after FY26 results, as demand for unmanned aircraft...

FNArena

Primer: Codan (CDA AU) - Aug 2026

Codan is a diversified technology company with leading positions in niche global markets for communications and metal detection. Its...

αSK Primers

ASX200 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes Prior to the June Rebalance

Upcoming M&A activity will result in ad hoc inclusions to the ASX200 prior to the June rebal. There could be 2-3 adds in the first few weeks of...

Brian Freitas

Aussie Shorts [5th Oct 2026]: Wesfarmers , Northern Star Res., Pinnacle Investment, Alcoa, Lynas

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.7bn into "Metals & Mining"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.03bn out of...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 2nd): Northern Star Resources, Alcoa, Wesfarmers, Brambles, Suncorp

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Alcoa, Wesfarmers,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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