Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index, 3 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and 16 adds/ 8 deletes for the S&amp;P/ASX300 Index.</li>
<li>The two big surprises are the inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guzman-y-gomez-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43656:1" rel="noopener">Guzman Y Gomez (GYG AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yancoal-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4145:1" rel="noopener">Yancoal Australia (YAL AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and S&amp;P/ASX300 Index.</li>
<li>The adds to the indices have outperformed the deletes over the last few months and there could be profit-taking in the next few days.</li>
</ul>


There are 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index, 3 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and 16 adds/ 8 deletes for the S&amp;P/ASX300 Index.
The two big surprises are the inclusion of Guzman Y Gomez (GYG AU) and Yancoal Australia (YAL AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and S&amp;P/ASX300 Index.
The adds to the indices have outperformed the deletes over the last few months and there could be profit-taking in the next few days.


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2024): Two Big Surprises; Positioning Is Mixed

<ul>
<li>With 2 trading days left in the review period, there could be 30 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in September.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> and S&amp;P/ASX 300.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have hugely outperformed the forecast deletes. Borrow recall on the deletes and increased borrow availability on the adds could result in underperformance following announcement of the changes.</li>
</ul>


With 2 trading days left in the review period, there could be 30 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in September.
Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and S&amp;P/ASX 300.
The forecast adds have hugely outperformed the forecast deletes. Borrow recall on the deletes and increased borrow availability on the adds could result in underperformance following announcement of the changes.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Done; Big Impact Changes

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the September 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We continue to expect one change for ASX 100 and two changes for ASX 200.</li>
<li>Separately, there could be 14 ADDs and 6 DELs for ASX 300.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the September 2024 index rebal event.
We continue to expect one change for ASX 100 and two changes for ASX 200.
Separately, there could be 14 ADDs and 6 DELs for ASX 300.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 24: Trade Delivers Strong Return Again; 3 Days Remaining for Base Date

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the September 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see one ASX 100 change and two ASX 200 changes but there are a couple of names lurking just outside the border which have to be monitored carefully.</li>
<li>For ASX 300, we see 13 ADDs and 6 DELs. Many of these expected ADDs and DELs could have more than 10 days of volume to trade.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the September 2024 index rebal event.
We see one ASX 100 change and two ASX 200 changes but there are a couple of names lurking just outside the border which have to be monitored carefully.
For ASX 300, we see 13 ADDs and 6 DELs. Many of these expected ADDs and DELs could have more than 10 days of volume to trade.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 24 Rebal: The Strong Returns of ASX 300 LONG-SHORT Trade Could Continue

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With all regulatory approvals received, the Scheme Meeting for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renesas-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15933:1" rel="noopener">Renesas Electronics (6723 JP)</a>' acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/altium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18626:1" rel="noopener">Altium Ltd (ALU AU)</a> will take place on 12 July.</li>
<li>If approved at the Scheme Meeting and at the Second Court Hearing, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/altium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18626:1" rel="noopener">Altium Ltd (ALU AU)</a> will stop trading from the close on 19 July.</li>
<li>The replacements for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/altium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18626:1" rel="noopener">Altium Ltd (ALU AU)</a> in the ASX100/200 indices could be announced late this week with implementation at the close on 19 July.</li>
</ul>


With all regulatory approvals received, the Scheme Meeting for Renesas Electronics (6723 JP)' acquisition of Altium Ltd (ALU AU) will take place on 12 July.
If approved at the Scheme Meeting and at the Second Court Hearing, Altium Ltd (ALU AU) will stop trading from the close on 19 July.
The replacements for Altium Ltd (ALU AU) in the ASX100/200 indices could be announced late this week with implementation at the close on 19 July.


S&P/ASX 100/200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Potential Replacements for Altium (ALU AU)

Australia

Codan Limited develops rugged and electronics solutions for international government, corporate, NGO and consumer markets. The company's line of business includes provision of radio communications, metal detection and tracking solutions.

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Codan (CDA AU)

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2024): Two Big Surprises; Positioning Is Mixed

The index rebalances at the close today. Stocks have moved a lot over the last couple of weeks since announcements and some positioning will be...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Done; Big Impact Changes

There could be 30 changes for the ASX indices in September with a lot to trade for passive trackers. The adds have outperformed the deletes and...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 24: Trade Delivers Strong Return Again; 3 Days Remaining for Base Date

The LONG ASX 200 & 300 Expected ADDs - SHORT ASX 200 & 300 Expected DELs trade has delivered a strong return of 11% since 23rd July (after...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 24 Rebal: The Strong Returns of ASX 300 LONG-SHORT Trade Could Continue

If the new shares issued by Westgold (WGX AU) for its acquisition of Karora (KRR CN) is added to its initial share count, Westgold will become the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX 100/200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Potential Replacements for Altium (ALU AU)

Passives will need to trade ZIP and TLX at the close today as part of the ad hoc rebalance triggered by Renesas acquiring Altium. ZIP and TLX have...

Brian Freitas

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Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2024): Two Big Surprises; Positioning Is Mixed

The index rebalances at the close today. Stocks have moved a lot over the last couple of weeks since announcements and some positioning will be...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Done; Big Impact Changes

There could be 30 changes for the ASX indices in September with a lot to trade for passive trackers. The adds have outperformed the deletes and...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 24: Trade Delivers Strong Return Again; 3 Days Remaining for Base Date

The LONG ASX 200 & 300 Expected ADDs - SHORT ASX 200 & 300 Expected DELs trade has delivered a strong return of 11% since 23rd July (after...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 24 Rebal: The Strong Returns of ASX 300 LONG-SHORT Trade Could Continue

If the new shares issued by Westgold (WGX AU) for its acquisition of Karora (KRR CN) is added to its initial share count, Westgold will become the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX 100/200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Potential Replacements for Altium (ALU AU)

Passives will need to trade ZIP and TLX at the close today as part of the ad hoc rebalance triggered by Renesas acquiring Altium. ZIP and TLX have...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2024): Two Big Surprises; Positioning Is Mixed

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Done; Big Impact Changes