Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Comfort Systems USA reported a strong first quarter of 2026, marked by significant growth in revenue, gross margins, and earnings per share compared to the prior year.</li>
<li>The company’s same-store revenue increased by 51%, leading to total first quarter revenue of $2.9 billion, a 56% rise year-over-year.</li>
<li>This growth was driven by robust demand across both the Electrical and Mechanical segments, with respective revenue increases of 88% and 47%, supported notably by continued strength in the technology sector.</li>
</ul>


Comfort Systems USA reported a strong first quarter of 2026, marked by significant growth in revenue, gross margins, and earnings per share compared to the prior year.
The company’s same-store revenue increased by 51%, leading to total first quarter revenue of $2.9 billion, a 56% rise year-over-year.
This growth was driven by robust demand across both the Electrical and Mechanical segments, with respective revenue increases of 88% and 47%, supported notably by continued strength in the technology sector.


Comfort Systems USA: Revenue Up 56% And Supply Constrained Not Demand Constrained

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crh-plc-054117b2-cd70-470a-9efc-8f6fab2c83ec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28655:1" rel="noopener">CRH (CRH US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/comfort-systems-usa-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6730:1" rel="noopener">Comfort Systems USA (FIX US)</a> are the main candidates for addition due to consistently high eligibility scores.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pure-storage-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27421:1" rel="noopener">Pure Storage Inc (PSTG US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/solstice-advanced-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45953:1" rel="noopener">Solstice Advanced Materials (SOLS US)</a> face reduced conviction due to sector balance and turnover.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vertiv-holdings-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33140:1" rel="noopener">Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT US)</a> has a higher probability of inclusion following the acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kellogg-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16090:1" rel="noopener">Kellogg Co (K US)</a> which is still pending.</li>
</ul>



CRH (CRH US) and Comfort Systems USA (FIX US) are the main candidates for addition due to consistently high eligibility scores.

Pure Storage Inc (PSTG US) and Solstice Advanced Materials (SOLS US) face reduced conviction due to sector balance and turnover.

Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT US) has a higher probability of inclusion following the acquisition of Kellogg Co (K US) which is still pending.


S&P500 December 2025 Final Forecast: FIX & CRH Leading the Pack

<ul>
<li>Comfort Systems USA's third-quarter 2025 financial results provide a comprehensive picture of its current standing and future prospects.</li>
<li>Throughout this period, the company has shown remarkable operational and financial performance, with notable growth in revenue and profitability.</li>
<li>The company reported earnings of $8.25 per share, which signifies a twofold increase compared to the same quarter last year.</li>
</ul>


Comfort Systems USA's third-quarter 2025 financial results provide a comprehensive picture of its current standing and future prospects.
Throughout this period, the company has shown remarkable operational and financial performance, with notable growth in revenue and profitability.
The company reported earnings of $8.25 per share, which signifies a twofold increase compared to the same quarter last year.


Comfort Systems USA Accelerates Growth: $200 Million Revenue Boost from Smart Acquisitions!

Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term, Urbem (HK) Limited

Urbem Capital

Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy

Urbem (HK) Limited

<ul>
<li>From January 1, 2001 to September 29, 2026, Monster returned about 2,070×, topping a leaderboard of great compounders that includes Nvidia and Apple, all of them capital-light.</li>
<li>Its moat is a habit with no technology cycle to re-win, built through twice Red Bull's volume for the price, upgraded distribution and Coca-Cola's partnership.</li>
<li>Earnings did the work: after re-rating to about 34× by 2006, returns tracked per-share earnings; at roughly 38× today, owners need long, durable growth.</li>
</ul>


From January 1, 2001 to September 29, 2026, Monster returned about 2,070×, topping a leaderboard of great compounders that includes Nvidia and Apple, all of them capital-light.
Its moat is a habit with no technology cycle to re-win, built through twice Red Bull's volume for the price, upgraded distribution and Coca-Cola's partnership.
Earnings did the work: after re-rating to about 34× by 2006, returns tracked per-share earnings; at roughly 38× today, owners need long, durable growth.


Monster Eats Chips & Apples for Breakfast: Lessons From the Century's Top U.S. Large-Cap Stock

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and SPX is above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785 as it is highly unlikely to be tested).</li>
<li>Some will point to August seasonality as a reason to be cautious; we simply are not seeing any signs that suggest a meaningful pullback is imminent.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and SPX is above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785 as it is highly unlikely to be tested).
Some will point to August seasonality as a reason to be cautious; we simply are not seeing any signs that suggest a meaningful pullback is imminent.


Market Extended Entering Seasonally Weak August; Meaningful Pullback Imminent? Not Likely

United States

Comfort Systems USA, Inc. provides heating, ventilation, and air conditioning system installation, maintenance, repair, and replacement services. The Company's commercial and industrial markets include office buildings, retail centers, apartment complexes, hotels, manufacturing plants, and government facilities.

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Comfort Systems Usa (FIX US)

Comfort Systems USA: Revenue Up 56% And Supply Constrained Not Demand Constrained

Comfort Systems USA reported a strong first quarter of 2026, marked by significant growth in revenue, gross margins, and earnings per share...

Baptista Research

S&P500 December 2025 Final Forecast: FIX & CRH Leading the Pack

CRH and FIX are top candidates for addition in December 2025, while PSTG and SOLS face reduced conviction. VRT has a higher chance of inclusion...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Comfort Systems USA Accelerates Growth: $200 Million Revenue Boost from Smart Acquisitions!

Comfort Systems USA's third-quarter 2025 financial results provide a comprehensive picture of its current standing and future prospects.

Baptista Research

Monster Eats Chips & Apples for Breakfast: Lessons From the Century's Top U.S. Large-Cap Stock

An owner's view of how pricing power, rented distribution and patient capital allocation put an energy drink at the top of the century's...

Urbem Capital

Market Extended Entering Seasonally Weak August; Meaningful Pullback Imminent? Not Likely

Market Extended Entering Seasonally Weak August; Still Little Evidence that a Meaningful Pullback is Imminent. Still Bullish $SPX $QQQ since 4/22...

Vermilion Research

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Comfort Systems USA: Revenue Up 56% And Supply Constrained Not Demand Constrained

Comfort Systems USA reported a strong first quarter of 2026, marked by significant growth in revenue, gross margins, and earnings per share...

Baptista Research

S&P500 December 2025 Final Forecast: FIX & CRH Leading the Pack

​CRH and FIX are top candidates for addition in December 2025, while PSTG and SOLS face reduced conviction. VRT has a higher chance of inclusion...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Comfort Systems USA Accelerates Growth: $200 Million Revenue Boost from Smart Acquisitions!

Comfort Systems USA's third-quarter 2025 financial results provide a comprehensive picture of its current standing and future prospects.

Baptista Research

Monster Eats Chips & Apples for Breakfast: Lessons From the Century's Top U.S. Large-Cap Stock

An owner's view of how pricing power, rented distribution and patient capital allocation put an energy drink at the top of the century's...

Urbem Capital

Market Extended Entering Seasonally Weak August; Meaningful Pullback Imminent? Not Likely

Market Extended Entering Seasonally Weak August; Still Little Evidence that a Meaningful Pullback is Imminent. Still Bullish $SPX $QQQ since 4/22...

Vermilion Research

CRH and FIX are top candidates for addition in December 2025, while PSTG and SOLS face reduced conviction. VRT has a higher chance of inclusion...