Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX -1.1% as Fed Hawks rhetoric ratches up; All 11 Sectors -ve as Beta Sold; ALPHABET-7.7% AI fails to impress; Disney +8% after-hours with earnings beat/job cuts. </li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs -0.8% vs Cash; USDJPY 131.41; Japan looking to ease restrictions for China Inbound;  EARNINGS: Pan Pac/SMM Strong vs weak Subaru which -ve production cut; Toyota out today. </li>
<li>DAILY NUGGETS. EPIC fail from Alphabet's "BARD". Aren't these events supposed to  be choreographed ????</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX -1.1% as Fed Hawks rhetoric ratches up; All 11 Sectors -ve as Beta Sold; ALPHABET-7.7% AI fails to impress; Disney +8% after-hours with earnings beat/job cuts. 
JAPAN.  NKY Futs -0.8% vs Cash; USDJPY 131.41; Japan looking to ease restrictions for China Inbound;  EARNINGS: Pan Pac/SMM Strong vs weak Subaru which -ve production cut; Toyota out today. 
DAILY NUGGETS. EPIC fail from Alphabet's "BARD". Aren't these events supposed to  be choreographed ????


Good Morning Japan |Hawks Re-Emerge + Epic "BARD" Fail Sinks Google; Pan Pac Beat/Subaru Miss

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments in ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us in Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India, and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments: <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/archion-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47577:1" rel="noopener">Archion (543A JP)</a></strong></em> placement; <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jio-platforms-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50269:1" rel="noopener">Jio Platforms Ltd (1797135D IN)</a></em></strong> and <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/manipal-health-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:48013:1" rel="noopener">Manipal Health Enterprises Ltd (1217834D IN)</a></strong></em> listings.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments: <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaku-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7408:1" rel="noopener">Kakaku.com Inc (2371 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shengmu-organic-milk-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12714:1" rel="noopener">China Shengmu Organic Milk (1432 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dida-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29701:1" rel="noopener">Dida (2559 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/accent-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14283:1" rel="noopener">Accent Group (AX1 AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steadfast-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8181:1" rel="noopener">Steadfast (SDF AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vault-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46317:1" rel="noopener">Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU)</a>. </em></strong>
</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments in ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us in Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India, and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments: Archion (543A JP) placement; Jio Platforms Ltd (1797135D IN) and Manipal Health Enterprises Ltd (1217834D IN) listings.
Event-Driven developments: Kakaku.com Inc (2371 JP), China Shengmu Organic Milk (1432 HK), Dida (2559 HK), Accent Group (AX1 AU), Steadfast (SDF AU), Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU). 



Weekly Deals Digest (12 Jul) - Archion, Kakaku, Dentsu, Shengmu, Dida, Accent, Steadfast, Vault

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 29 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>One new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: that <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dentsu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12434:1" rel="noopener">Dentsu Inc (4324 JP)</a></strong> had finalised plans to take its system integrator subsidiary <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dentsu-soken-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20535:1" rel="noopener">Dentsu Soken (4812 JP)</a></strong> private.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perpetual-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:599:1" rel="noopener">Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atlas-arteria-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14430:1" rel="noopener">Atlas Arteria (ALX AU)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qube-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:958:1" rel="noopener">Qube Holdings (QUB AU)</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-dry-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13528:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Dry Chemical (1909 JP)</a></strong>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 29 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
One new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: that Dentsu Inc (4324 JP) had finalised plans to take its system integrator subsidiary Dentsu Soken (4812 JP) private.
Key updates/news also took place on: Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU), Atlas Arteria (ALX AU), Qube Holdings (QUB AU), and Nippon Dry Chemical (1909 JP).


Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Info Services Intl Dentsu, Perpetual, Atlas Arteria, Qube, Nippon Dry Chem

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-garage-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13747:1" rel="noopener"><strong>Digital Garage (4819 JP)</strong></a> is probably too cheap. There is a fair bit of "easy" value there even assuming all the equity affiliate stakes are worth, well, nothing.</li>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-power-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5385:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Power (836 HK)</a></strong> (CRP)'s 81.81%-held <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-new-energy-holdings-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50306:1" rel="noopener">China Resources New Energy (001248 CH)</a></strong> xlosed up ~137% on debut, and worth ~350% of CRP's market cap. That's not sustainable.</li>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atlas-arteria-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14430:1" rel="noopener">Atlas Arteria (ALX AU)</a> </strong>sticks to its guns, urging shareholders to hold their stock, signalling IFM can pay more. But realistically, IFM has declared terms best &amp; final.</li>
</ul>



Digital Garage (4819 JP) is probably too cheap. There is a fair bit of "easy" value there even assuming all the equity affiliate stakes are worth, well, nothing.

China Resources Power (836 HK) (CRP)'s 81.81%-held China Resources New Energy (001248 CH) xlosed up ~137% on debut, and worth ~350% of CRP's market cap. That's not sustainable.

Atlas Arteria (ALX AU) sticks to its guns, urging shareholders to hold their stock, signalling IFM can pay more. But realistically, IFM has declared terms best &amp; final.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Digital Garage/Kakaku, Chine Resources Power, Atlas Arteria

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>• RESULTS &amp; REVISIONS SUMMARY - 15th FEBRUARY •</strong></p><div><p>Of Monday's 135 results announcements, 62% scored positively for earnings momentum despite trailing revenues falling by 6.3% on average and a 5.0 percentage point decline in operating margins. 26% of companies were in the red for the quarter.  60% of the 78 annual forecasts/revision announcements scored positively, and the average Forecast/Revision score was +5.5 points.</p></div><div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>• BEST &amp; WORST •</strong></p></div><div>
<p>Thursday's 'best' large-cap announcement was from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kubota-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12926:1" rel="noopener">Kubota (6326 JP)</a>; while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dentsu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12434:1" rel="noopener">Dentsu (4324 JP)</a> was the clear 'worst'. We would also not the uninspiring revision by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/recruit-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15070:1" rel="noopener">Recruit (6098 JP)</a>. </p>
<section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/188/841/original/2021-02-16_06-23-17.png?1613424209" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="188841"></figure></section><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/188/842/original/2021-02-16_06-27-02.png?1613424434" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="188842"></figure></section>
</div><div class="content-caption">  <section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/188/845/original/2021-02-16_06-31-09.png?1613424679" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="188845"></figure></section><p>   Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics</p>
</div>

• RESULTS &amp; REVISIONS SUMMARY - 15th FEBRUARY •Of Monday's 135 results announcements, 62% scored positively for earnings momentum despite trailing revenues falling by 6.3% on average and a 5.0 percentage point decline in operating margins. 26% of companies were in the red for the quarter.  60% of the 78 annual forecasts/revision announcements scored positively, and the average Forecast/Revision score was +5.5 points.• BEST &amp; WORST •
Thursday's 'best' large-cap announcement was from Kubota (6326 JP); while Dentsu (4324 JP) was the clear 'worst'. We would also not the uninspiring revision by Recruit (6098 JP). 

     Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics


🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 02/​15 - Kubota, Dentsu & Recruit

Japan

DENTSU INC. mainly provides comprehensive advertising services.  The Company also provides marketing and event planning & promotion services.  Dentsu has associated companies in the US, Europe, and Asia.

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Dentsu Inc (4324 JP)

Good Morning Japan |Hawks Re-Emerge + Epic "BARD" Fail Sinks Google; Pan Pac Beat/Subaru Miss

Fed Hawks rhetoric ratches up; ALHABET-7.7% AI fails to impress; . Japan looking to ease restrictions for China Inbound; JAPAN EARNINGS: Pan Pac...

Mark Chadwick

Weekly Deals Digest (12 Jul) - Archion, Kakaku, Dentsu, Shengmu, Dida, Accent, Steadfast, Vault

A weekly summary of key developments in ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us in Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia,...

Arun George

Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Info Services Intl Dentsu, Perpetual, Atlas Arteria, Qube, Nippon Dry Chem

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Digital Garage/Kakaku, Chine Resources Power, Atlas Arteria

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 02/15 - Kubota, Dentsu & Recruit

Of Monday's 135 results announcements, 62% scored positively for earnings momentum despite trailing revenues falling by 6.3% on average and a 5.0...

Campbell Gunn

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Good Morning Japan |Hawks Re-Emerge + Epic "BARD" Fail Sinks Google; Pan Pac Beat/Subaru Miss

Fed Hawks rhetoric ratches up; ALHABET-7.7% AI fails to impress; . Japan looking to ease restrictions for China Inbound; JAPAN EARNINGS: Pan Pac...

Mark Chadwick

Weekly Deals Digest (12 Jul) - Archion, Kakaku, Dentsu, Shengmu, Dida, Accent, Steadfast, Vault

A weekly summary of key developments in ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us in Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia,...

Arun George

Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Info Services Intl Dentsu, Perpetual, Atlas Arteria, Qube, Nippon Dry Chem

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Digital Garage/Kakaku, Chine Resources Power, Atlas Arteria

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 02/​15 - Kubota, Dentsu & Recruit

Of Monday's 135 results announcements, 62% scored positively for earnings momentum despite trailing revenues falling by 6.3% on average and a 5.0...

Campbell Gunn

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 02/15 - Kubota, Dentsu & Recruit