Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

Over 50% of allocations are in the US with the bulk of the remainder split between Japan, China &amp; HK and the major European nations.  The EMEA overweight is comprised mainly of the UK, Netherlands, France and Germany, with active managers running underweights in the US, China &amp; HK, Australia and Japan.UK allocations hover around their lowest levels in history, though managers remain stubbornly overweight compared to the MSCI AC World index.  A total of 62% of managers are overweight the UK at an average +1.88% above benchmark.  Global Value investors are approaching their largest ever overweight in UK stocks of 3.64% above benchmark.Another month, another slump in Japan exposure.  Average weights in Japan stand at an all-time low of 5.06% with 85.5% of funds exposed (another low). <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:563:1" rel="noopener">Sony Corp (6758 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kddi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:639:1" rel="noopener">KDDI Corp (9433 JP)</a> are the most widely held stocks, with 23% and 21% of funds holding a position.Tech exposure is at record highs, though this is matched by a record underweight of -0.47%.  Indeed, the percentage of funds who are overweight technology has fallen to below 50% for the first time since the end of 2018, a sign that Global managers are tilting their portfolios away from Tech.German Industrials allocations have hit a 4-year high as more Global investors add exposure to the sector. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deutsche-post-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21608:1" rel="noopener">Deutsche Post AG (DPW GR)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siemens-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21713:1" rel="noopener">Siemens AG (SIE GR)</a> were the key stocks behind the move, with 4.2% and 2.4% of funds adding exposure over the last 6-months.Alibaba has seen closures by some of the larger holders in our analysis, led by American Funds Capital World Fund (-$1.1bn) and New Economy Fund (-$451m).  Though closures have dominated, selected funds have opened exposure during this period of volatility, including Invesco's Global Focus Fund and Liontrust's Global Income Fund.

Over 50% of allocations are in the US with the bulk of the remainder split between Japan, China &amp; HK and the major European nations.  The EMEA overweight is comprised mainly of the UK, Netherlands, France and Germany, with active managers running underweights in the US, China &amp; HK, Australia and Japan.UK allocations hover around their lowest levels in history, though managers remain stubbornly overweight compared to the MSCI AC World index.  A total of 62% of managers are overweight the UK at an average +1.88% above benchmark.  Global Value investors are approaching their largest ever overweight in UK stocks of 3.64% above benchmark.Another month, another slump in Japan exposure.  Average weights in Japan stand at an all-time low of 5.06% with 85.5% of funds exposed (another low). Sony Corp (6758 JP) and KDDI Corp (9433 JP) are the most widely held stocks, with 23% and 21% of funds holding a position.Tech exposure is at record highs, though this is matched by a record underweight of -0.47%.  Indeed, the percentage of funds who are overweight technology has fallen to below 50% for the first time since the end of 2018, a sign that Global managers are tilting their portfolios away from Tech.German Industrials allocations have hit a 4-year high as more Global investors add exposure to the sector. Deutsche Post AG (DPW GR) and Siemens AG (SIE GR) were the key stocks behind the move, with 4.2% and 2.4% of funds adding exposure over the last 6-months.Alibaba has seen closures by some of the larger holders in our analysis, led by American Funds Capital World Fund (-$1.1bn) and New Economy Fund (-$451m).  Though closures have dominated, selected funds have opened exposure during this period of volatility, including Invesco's Global Focus Fund and Liontrust's Global Income Fund.

Global Fund Positioning Update:  Japan Lows, US Highs, UK Value Rotation, Tencent & Alibaba Exit

Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • AkzoNobel | Russian subsidiaries placed under temporary external administration • KPN | ACM joins investigations into data breach at Odido • Shell | divests Sprng Energy to Aditya Birla Renewables for USD 1.8bn • Allegro | strong momentum continued in 2Q26</li></ul>

In this edition: • AkzoNobel | Russian subsidiaries placed under temporary external administration • KPN | ACM joins investigations into data breach at Odido • Shell | divests Sprng Energy to Aditya Birla Renewables for USD 1.8bn • Allegro | strong momentum continued in 2Q26

What's News in Amsterdam - 14 July (AkzoNobel | KPN | Shell | Allegro)

<ul><li>In this edition: • ASR Nederland | Ecolab pension fund buy out deal • Shell | divests South African downstream assets to Adnoc Distribution • Unilever | divestment strategy criticized by Terry Smith • Arcadis | selected by CGA to deliver professional services valued at GBP 250-300m in the UK • DHL Group | raises FY26 guidance on better than expected 2Q26 • Dutch household consumption | growth accelerates to 1.8% in May</li></ul>

In this edition: • ASR Nederland | Ecolab pension fund buy out deal • Shell | divests South African downstream assets to Adnoc Distribution • Unilever | divestment strategy criticized by Terry Smith • Arcadis | selected by CGA to deliver professional services valued at GBP 250-300m in the UK • DHL Group | raises FY26 guidance on better than expected 2Q26 • Dutch household consumption | growth accelerates to 1.8% in May

<ul><li>In this edition: • ASM Int’l / KPN | Mr. Chris Figee to succeed Mr. Paul Verhangen as CFO • ING | acquired a 40% stake in Singular Bank • Shell | faces allegations of misleading UK Courts regarding Niger Delta pollution litigation • E-com & Logistics | Canada Post and China’s Chunghwa Post suspend parcel deliveries to EU • Corporate agenda | week 28 - 32</li></ul>

In this edition: • ASM Int’l / KPN | Mr. Chris Figee to succeed Mr. Paul Verhangen as CFO • ING | acquired a 40% stake in Singular Bank • Shell | faces allegations of misleading UK Courts regarding Niger Delta pollution litigation • E-com & Logistics | Canada Post and China’s Chunghwa Post suspend parcel deliveries to EU • Corporate agenda | week 28 - 32

<ul><li>In this edition: • ASML Holding | Mistral in talks to raise at EUR 20bn valuation • ING Group | reduces its stake in TMBThanachart Bank • E-commerce & Logistics | Netherlands aligns EU-China parcel tax with Brussels approach</li></ul>

In this edition: • ASML Holding | Mistral in talks to raise at EUR 20bn valuation • ING Group | reduces its stake in TMBThanachart Bank • E-commerce & Logistics | Netherlands aligns EU-China parcel tax with Brussels approach

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 15 June (ASML Holding | ING Group | E-commerce & logistics)

Germany

Deutsche Post AG provides mail delivery and other services to the public and businesses. The Company offers domestic mail delivery, international parcel and mail delivery services, and freight delivery and logistics services.

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Deutsche Post (DHL GR)

Global Fund Positioning Update: Japan Lows, US Highs, UK Value Rotation, Tencent & Alibaba Exit

A detailed look at investor positioning among 380 active Global strategies, covering the major themes in country, sector and stock exposure.

Steven Holden

What's News in Amsterdam - 14 July (AkzoNobel | KPN | Shell | Allegro)

In this edition: • AkzoNobel | Russian subsidiaries placed under temporary external administration • KPN | ACM joins investigations into data...

The IDEA!

Arcadis NV - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • ASR Nederland | Ecolab pension fund buy out deal • Shell | divests South African downstream assets to Adnoc...

The IDEA!

Shell PLC - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • ASM Int’l / KPN | Mr. Chris Figee to succeed Mr. Paul Verhangen as CFO • ING | acquired a 40% stake in Singular Bank • Shell |...

The IDEA!

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 15 June (ASML Holding | ING Group | E-commerce & logistics)

In this edition: • ASML Holding | Mistral in talks to raise at EUR 20bn valuation • ING Group | reduces its stake in TMBThanachart Bank...

The IDEA!

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