Founder & CEO. Oil markets macro-analysis., Vanda Insights

Vandana Hari

Founder & CEO. Oil markets macro-analysis.

Vanda Insights

Vanda Insights is a Singapore-based boutique provider of intelligence on the global energy markets, launched in September 2016. The venture was born out of a desire to extract the signal from the noise in the complex and often volatile oil markets. Our succinct and clear macro analysis is relied upon by thousands of readers globally, including those doing business directly or indirectly in the physical commodity and derivatives markets; wealth managers; governments, regulatory bodies and think-tanks; as well as trade organizations and educational institutions.

Global Energy Markets

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Crude's supply-demand fundamentals are supportive but do not justify the price spike to 7-year highs, with Brent above $90.</li>
<li>The stand-off between the West and Russia over Ukraine has injected a progressively bigger fear premium in crude. </li>
<li>Our base case remains a de-escalation of the crisis, which could see Brent crude shedding at least 10% of its current value.</li>
</ul>


Crude's supply-demand fundamentals are supportive but do not justify the price spike to 7-year highs, with Brent above $90.
The stand-off between the West and Russia over Ukraine has injected a progressively bigger fear premium in crude. 
Our base case remains a de-escalation of the crisis, which could see Brent crude shedding at least 10% of its current value.


Oil Macros: Brent Could Shed 10% Fear Premium if Ukraine Crisis Defused

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Call for a capitulation SPX low near January 24/25 to set in motion a reaction rise in February. Risk of a final downside re test does exist in early Feb.</li>
<li>RSI key lows are compelling for a more bullish drive into early March. Wide range swings typically set up cycle troughs.</li>
<li>DJI displays the best base support with relative strength while the NDX faces yield headwinds and stall bull overhead sell pressure. <strong>US Macro is bearish in Q2.</strong>
</li>
</ul>


Call for a capitulation SPX low near January 24/25 to set in motion a reaction rise in February. Risk of a final downside re test does exist in early Feb.
RSI key lows are compelling for a more bullish drive into early March. Wide range swings typically set up cycle troughs.
DJI displays the best base support with relative strength while the NDX faces yield headwinds and stall bull overhead sell pressure. US Macro is bearish in Q2.



US Capitulation Low in Place with Re Test Risk near Feb 4-6

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Provide Comprehensive Analysis & Commentary

SAV Markets

SAV Markets aims to provide comprehensive analysis & commentary on foreign exchange and asset markets. The approach is multi asset as markets are typically interlinked. Cause and effect are always at work, even if those effects take time to manifest. As nothing is permanent we strive to get ahead of the curve in an ever changing world.

Dow Jones Industrial Average / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>This chart draws a fascinating historical comparison between the behaviour of the stock market today with that seen 100 years ago around the Spanish Influenza</li>
<li>It clearly shows that what we are seeing today has some sort of reflection of the past</li>
<li>We have fresh developments that indicate further weakness for Equities [relative to Gold]</li>
</ul>


This chart draws a fascinating historical comparison between the behaviour of the stock market today with that seen 100 years ago around the Spanish Influenza
It clearly shows that what we are seeing today has some sort of reflection of the past
We have fresh developments that indicate further weakness for Equities [relative to Gold]


<ul>
<li>This chart draws a fascinating historical comparison between the behaviour of the stock market today with that seen 100 years ago around the time of the Spanish Influenza</li>
<li>It clearly shows that what we are seeing today has some sort of reflection of the past</li>
<li>The picture should be taken as a warning sign that the weeks and possibly the months ahead are going to be difficult for the equity market.</li>
</ul>


This chart draws a fascinating historical comparison between the behaviour of the stock market today with that seen 100 years ago around the time of the Spanish Influenza
It clearly shows that what we are seeing today has some sort of reflection of the past
The picture should be taken as a warning sign that the weeks and possibly the months ahead are going to be difficult for the equity market.


<ul>
<li>Current rotational grind is part of our Dec 15-20 topping process after the SPX met our primary rally target at 4,735/47, bearish signal below the 4,712 inflection pivot.</li>
<li>DJI and NDX did not see new highs for a case of inter market bear divergence amid a very weak small caps showing. Breadth destruction is noteworthy/ugly.</li>
<li>Rising wedge structures are at real risk of breaking down in Q1 after a rotational grind terminates. Trendline/pattern support will see hard support breaks.</li>
</ul>


Current rotational grind is part of our Dec 15-20 topping process after the SPX met our primary rally target at 4,735/47, bearish signal below the 4,712 inflection pivot.
DJI and NDX did not see new highs for a case of inter market bear divergence amid a very weak small caps showing. Breadth destruction is noteworthy/ugly.
Rising wedge structures are at real risk of breaking down in Q1 after a rotational grind terminates. Trendline/pattern support will see hard support breaks.


United States

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted average of 30 blue-chip stocks that are generally the leaders in their industry. It has been a widely followed indicator of the stock market since October 1, 1928.

Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU INDEX)

Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU INDEX)

Oil Macros: Brent Could Shed 10% Fear Premium if Ukraine Crisis Defused

The Ukraine fear premium in crude is now substantial, with Brent hitting a 7-year peak above $90. Our base case remains a de-escalation of the...

Vandana Hari

US Capitulation Low in Place with Re Test Risk near Feb 4-6

Call for a capitulation SPX low near January 24/25 to set in motion a reaction rise in February. Risk of a final downside re test does exist in...

Thomas Schroeder

Dow Jones – Spooky Chart Update I

Fresh developments on the "Spooky Chart" (a proper Dow Comparison with the last pandemic 100 years ago) point to ongoing equity market weakness

Shyam Devani

Dow Jones - The Spooky Chart

An almost unimaginable similarity in the behaviour of markets with 100 years ago is being shown on this chart of the Dow Jones. It warn us to be...

Shyam Devani

The Grinch Is in the House

Current rotational grind is part of our Dec 15-20 topping process after the SPX met our primary rally target at 4,735/47, bearish signal below the...

Thomas Schroeder