Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 6th. The aggregated short interest was USD24.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Cathay Financial, Ctbc Financial, Fubon Financial, Yang Ming Marine, Catcher Technology, Novatek Microelectronics, Gigabyte Technology, SCSB, Ase Industrial, Inventec.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 6th. The aggregated short interest was USD24.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Cathay Financial, Ctbc Financial, Fubon Financial, Yang Ming Marine, Catcher Technology, Novatek Microelectronics, Gigabyte Technology, SCSB, Ase Industrial, Inventec.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 6th): Cathay Financial, Ctbc Financial, Fubon Financial

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Yang Ming Marine Transport / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 5 adds and 5 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June with implementation starting on 20 June and ending on 26 June.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 17.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of TWD 158bn (US$5.3bn). There are 10 stocks with over 5 days of ADV to trade.</li>
<li>There are a few stocks that have same-way or opposing flows from other index trackers over the next couple of weeks and those stocks could outperform/underperform their peers.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 adds and 5 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June with implementation starting on 20 June and ending on 26 June.
Estimated one-way turnover is 17.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of TWD 158bn (US$5.3bn). There are 10 stocks with over 5 days of ADV to trade.
There are a few stocks that have same-way or opposing flows from other index trackers over the next couple of weeks and those stocks could outperform/underperform their peers.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Huge Turnover & Flow Overlap

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elite-material-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10247:1" rel="noopener">Elite Material (2383 TT)</a> will be added to the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in June and will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unimicron-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18778:1" rel="noopener">Unimicron Technology (3037 TT)</a>. </li>
<li>ETF AUM has now crossed US$20bn and passive trackers will need to buy 1x ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elite-material-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10247:1" rel="noopener">Elite Material (2383 TT)</a> and sell 1.2x ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unimicron-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18778:1" rel="noopener">Unimicron Technology (3037 TT)</a>.</li>
<li>Importantly, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elite-material-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10247:1" rel="noopener">Elite Material (2383 TT)</a>'s stock price rally results in a lower dividend yield and the stock will be deleted from another ETF where the passive selling is much larger. </li>
</ul>



Elite Material (2383 TT) will be added to the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in June and will replace Unimicron Technology (3037 TT). 
ETF AUM has now crossed US$20bn and passive trackers will need to buy 1x ADV in Elite Material (2383 TT) and sell 1.2x ADV in Unimicron Technology (3037 TT).
Importantly, Elite Material (2383 TT)'s stock price rally results in a lower dividend yield and the stock will be deleted from another ETF where the passive selling is much larger. 


Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Elite Materials Added (But Bigger Sell Flows Elsewhere)

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Taishin Financial Holding / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The index changes for the T50/100 index family and the TDIV index were confirmed after market close on Friday 6th June 2025.</li>
<li>There will be one ADD/DEL for T50, two ADDs/DELs for T100, and five ADDs/DELs for TDIV. </li>
<li>All of these are exactly in line with our final expectations.</li>
</ul>


The index changes for the T50/100 index family and the TDIV index were confirmed after market close on Friday 6th June 2025.
There will be one ADD/DEL for T50, two ADDs/DELs for T100, and five ADDs/DELs for TDIV. 
All of these are exactly in line with our final expectations.


Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Jun25 Results: 100% Hit Rate; Positioned for High-Impact Sector-Neutral Trades

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>2025 AI revenue ~US$19bn, up 55-60% YoY. Similar growth in 2026 or $~30bn. Mngt declined to update 2027 addressable market (SAM), previously stated at $60-90bn. That looks too high.</li>
<li>Risk of disappointment for 2027? No, Consensus is too low. Our estimate for 2026 revenue is $79bn versus consensus at $73bn, $95bn in ’27 vs Consensus $83.</li>
<li>Consensus for AI stocks is too low. But AVGO is expensive at 33x FY26 Consensus, most likely ~30x and ~25x 2027 if I’m correct. That’s more expensive than NVDA.</li>
</ul>


2025 AI revenue ~US$19bn, up 55-60% YoY. Similar growth in 2026 or $~30bn. Mngt declined to update 2027 addressable market (SAM), previously stated at $60-90bn. That looks too high.
Risk of disappointment for 2027? No, Consensus is too low. Our estimate for 2026 revenue is $79bn versus consensus at $73bn, $95bn in ’27 vs Consensus $83.
Consensus for AI stocks is too low. But AVGO is expensive at 33x FY26 Consensus, most likely ~30x and ~25x 2027 if I’m correct. That’s more expensive than NVDA.


AVGO Results Good. 55-60% AI Growth in 2025, Same in 26. Consensus Is ~10% Too Low, Stock Expensive

Taiwan

Elite Material Co., Ltd manufactures and markets prepared laminated cover claddings for double-sided and multi-layer printed circuit boards.

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Elite Material (2383 TT)

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 6th): Cathay Financial, Ctbc Financial, Fubon Financial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Cathay Financial (2882 TT), Ctbc Financial (2891...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Huge Turnover & Flow Overlap

There are 5 changes in June. One-way turnover is around 17.7% and round-trip trade is TWD US$5.3bn. 10 stocks have over 5x ADV to trade. Some...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Elite Materials Added (But Bigger Sell Flows Elsewhere)

Elite Material replaces Unimicron in the Top50 ETF. However, there will be bigger selling in Elite Material from another ETF. Top50 ETF AUM has...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Jun25 Results: 100% Hit Rate; Positioned for High-Impact Sector-Neutral Trades

We expect US$2.5bn one-way flows for the TDIV index in June 2025. The top flow names have 10x ADV or more to trade. There are opportunities for...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

AVGO Results Good. 55-60% AI Growth in 2025, Same in 26. Consensus Is ~10% Too Low, Stock Expensive

AI revenue projected to reach $19bn in 2025, $30bn in 2026. Consensus estimates for Broadcom revenues are too low, but AVGO is more expensive than...

Nicolas Baratte

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 6th): Cathay Financial, Ctbc Financial, Fubon Financial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Cathay Financial (2882 TT), Ctbc Financial (2891...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Huge Turnover & Flow Overlap

There are 5 changes in June. One-way turnover is around 17.7% and round-trip trade is TWD US$5.3bn. 10 stocks have over 5x ADV to trade. Some...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Elite Materials Added (But Bigger Sell Flows Elsewhere)

Elite Material replaces Unimicron in the Top50 ETF. However, there will be bigger selling in Elite Material from another ETF. Top50 ETF AUM has...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Jun25 Results: 100% Hit Rate; Positioned for High-Impact Sector-Neutral Trades

We expect US$2.5bn one-way flows for the TDIV index in June 2025. The top flow names have 10x ADV or more to trade. There are opportunities for...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

AVGO Results Good. 55-60% AI Growth in 2025, Same in 26. Consensus Is ~10% Too Low, Stock Expensive

​AI revenue projected to reach $19bn in 2025, $30bn in 2026. Consensus estimates for Broadcom revenues are too low, but AVGO is more expensive than...

Nicolas Baratte

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Huge Turnover & Flow Overlap

AI revenue projected to reach $19bn in 2025, $30bn in 2026. Consensus estimates for Broadcom revenues are too low, but AVGO is more expensive than...