Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Uni President Enterprises / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There should be 5 changes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June. Most changes are due to missing dividend forecasts for constituent stocks.</li>
<li>Constituent changes along with capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 17.6% and in a round-trip trade of TWD 157bn (US$5.2bn).</li>
<li>There are multiple stocks that have same-way or opposite flow from trackers of other Taiwan dividend yield weighted indices and presents some interesting trading opportunities.</li>
</ul>


There should be 5 changes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June. Most changes are due to missing dividend forecasts for constituent stocks.
Constituent changes along with capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 17.6% and in a round-trip trade of TWD 157bn (US$5.2bn).
There are multiple stocks that have same-way or opposite flow from trackers of other Taiwan dividend yield weighted indices and presents some interesting trading opportunities.


Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Five Changes; US$5.2bn Trade; Other Index Flows

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Taishin Financial Holding / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.</li>
<li>Today is the base date for the final ranks and we see five ADDs and five DELs.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way flow to be around US$2.55bn with multiple expected ADDs having 10x ADV or more to trade.</li>
</ul>


The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
Today is the base date for the final ranks and we see five ADDs and five DELs.
We estimate one-way flow to be around US$2.55bn with multiple expected ADDs having 10x ADV or more to trade.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun25: Final Expectations; Trade Successful; New Sector-Neutral Idea

<ul>
<li>The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).</li>
<li>Today is the base date for the June 2025 index rebal event and the expected ADDs/DELs discussed in this insight are our final index change expectations.</li>
<li>We expect one change for T50 and two changes for T100 index for the June 2025 rebalance.</li>
</ul>


The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).
Today is the base date for the June 2025 index rebal event and the expected ADDs/DELs discussed in this insight are our final index change expectations.
We expect one change for T50 and two changes for T100 index for the June 2025 rebalance.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Jun25: Base Date Ranks; Final Expectations

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 23rd. The aggregated holding was USD1,015.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD826mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Bizlink, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Yang Ming Marine, Wistron, Mediatek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 23rd. The aggregated holding was USD1,015.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD826mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Bizlink, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Yang Ming Marine, Wistron, Mediatek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 23rd): Bizlink, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Yang Ming Marine, Wistron

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elite-material-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10247:1" rel="noopener">Elite Material (2383 TT)</a>'s stock price has soared recently and is forecast to be added to the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in June, replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unimicron-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18778:1" rel="noopener">Unimicron Technology (3037 TT)</a>. </li>
<li>Passive trackers will have 1 day of ADV to buy in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elite-material-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10247:1" rel="noopener">Elite Material (2383 TT)</a> and over 1 day of ADV to sell in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unimicron-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18778:1" rel="noopener">Unimicron Technology (3037 TT)</a>. </li>
<li>However, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elite-material-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10247:1" rel="noopener">Elite Material</a> is at risk of deletion from another ETF where the impact of passive selling is a lot bigger. Tricky interplay between the two ETFs.</li>
</ul>



Elite Material (2383 TT)'s stock price has soared recently and is forecast to be added to the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in June, replacing Unimicron Technology (3037 TT). 
Passive trackers will have 1 day of ADV to buy in Elite Material (2383 TT) and over 1 day of ADV to sell in Unimicron Technology (3037 TT). 
However, Elite Material is at risk of deletion from another ETF where the impact of passive selling is a lot bigger. Tricky interplay between the two ETFs.


Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Elite Material (2383 TT) Walking a Fine Line

Taiwan

Elite Material Co., Ltd manufactures and markets prepared laminated cover claddings for double-sided and multi-layer printed circuit boards.

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Elite Material (2383 TT)

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Five Changes; US$5.2bn Trade; Other Index Flows

There could be 5 changes in June with one-way turnover of 17.6% and a round-trip trade of US$5.2bn. Multiple stocks will have flows from other div...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun25: Final Expectations; Trade Successful; New Sector-Neutral Idea

There are a couple of changes to our expected ADDs list. Expected DELs remain unchanged. We see an interesting sector-neutral trade involving...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Jun25: Base Date Ranks; Final Expectations

All expected ADDs have strongly outperformed all expected DELs in the last 1-month period. However, the expected index flow impacts for most of...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 23rd): Bizlink, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Yang Ming Marine, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Bizlink, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Yang Ming Marine,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Elite Material (2383 TT) Walking a Fine Line

We currently forecast 1 change for the ETF in June. The normalisation of short selling today makes things interesting, as does the possibility of...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Five Changes; US$5.2bn Trade; Other Index Flows

There could be 5 changes in June with one-way turnover of 17.6% and a round-trip trade of US$5.2bn. Multiple stocks will have flows from other div...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun25: Final Expectations; Trade Successful; New Sector-Neutral Idea

There are a couple of changes to our expected ADDs list. Expected DELs remain unchanged. We see an interesting sector-neutral trade involving...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Jun25: Base Date Ranks; Final Expectations

All expected ADDs have strongly outperformed all expected DELs in the last 1-month period. However, the expected index flow impacts for most of...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 23rd): Bizlink, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Yang Ming Marine, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Bizlink, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Yang Ming Marine,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Elite Material (2383 TT) Walking a Fine Line

We currently forecast 1 change for the ETF in June. The normalisation of short selling today makes things interesting, as does the possibility of...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Jun25: Base Date Ranks; Final Expectations