Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 20/Dec, U.S. crude inventories fell by 4.2m barrels, beating expectations of a 0.7m barrel decrease. Distillate stocks fell more than expected, while gasoline inventories unexpectedly rose.</li>
<li>U.S. natural gas inventories fell by 93 Bcf for the week ending 20/Dec, missing analyst expectations of a 98 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 4.9% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Chevron signed a 20-year deal with Energy Transfer for 2 million tonnes of LNG annually. Stifel lowered Schlumberger's 12-month price target while maintaining a Buy rating.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 20/Dec, U.S. crude inventories fell by 4.2m barrels, beating expectations of a 0.7m barrel decrease. Distillate stocks fell more than expected, while gasoline inventories unexpectedly rose.
U.S. natural gas inventories fell by 93 Bcf for the week ending 20/Dec, missing analyst expectations of a 98 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 4.9% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Chevron signed a 20-year deal with Energy Transfer for 2 million tonnes of LNG annually. Stifel lowered Schlumberger's 12-month price target while maintaining a Buy rating.


[ETP 2024/52] WTI Recovers on China’s Stimulus Plans, Henry Hub Falls on Volatile Weather Forecasts

<ul>
<li>Turbulent fundamentals, volatile weather, and uncertain geopolitics pushed US LNG implied volatility to a 12-month high of 99.47 on 20/Dec. US nat-gas prices have surged 38.2% since November 2024.</li>
<li>Midstream/MLP ETFs, with low energy price correlation, stood out in 2024 as the only energy ETFs to attract inflows, while producer and refiner-focused ETFs saw outflows.</li>
<li>The Alerian MLP ETF, has an AUM of USD 9.4 billion. Over the past year, it has attracted net inflows of USD 1.3 billion and offers a yield of 7.8%.</li>
</ul>


Turbulent fundamentals, volatile weather, and uncertain geopolitics pushed US LNG implied volatility to a 12-month high of 99.47 on 20/Dec. US nat-gas prices have surged 38.2% since November 2024.
Midstream/MLP ETFs, with low energy price correlation, stood out in 2024 as the only energy ETFs to attract inflows, while producer and refiner-focused ETFs saw outflows.
The Alerian MLP ETF, has an AUM of USD 9.4 billion. Over the past year, it has attracted net inflows of USD 1.3 billion and offers a yield of 7.8%.


Long MLP ETF & Short Micro Nat Gas Futures on Shifting Seasonality

Investing, Fraud and Fun with Language Models, Bedrock AI

Bedrock AI

Investing, Fraud and Fun with Language Models

Bedrock AI is a web-based equity research portal. Our software extracts red flags from SEC filings that are predictive of downside risk. Explore real-time analysis of annual and quarterly statements, 8-Ks, prospectuses, SEC comment letters and more for over 7,000 tickers. Analysis is served without human intervention. Quantamental investing is transforming the way investors see the world.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>William Companies $WMB believes more Republican control can resolve permitting issues, which would benefit the power industry and the energy infrastructure business.</li><li>A favorable tax outcome will also be “a very huge positive to [its] guidance in the immediate term”. </li><li>Energy Transfer $ET said the Trump administration will bring “a breath of fresh air.” Nov 06: Q3'24</li></ul>

William Companies $WMB believes more Republican control can resolve permitting issues, which would benefit the power industry and the energy infrastructure business.A favorable tax outcome will also be “a very huge positive to [its] guidance in the immediate term”. Energy Transfer $ET said the Trump administration will bring “a breath of fresh air.” Nov 06: Q3'24

Most executives upbeat after Trump election

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish following the S&amp;P 500's multi-month base breakout above 5670, alongside healthy market dynamics which have continued to improve.</li>
<li>Two weeks ago, our election day report (11/5/24) was titled "Buy the Pullback," and with the SPX/QQQ/IWM pulling back to their 20-day MAs, it's time to buy the pullback again.</li>
<li>We continue to expect significant upside into year-end and early 2025, and we expect support at the 20-day MAs on the aforementioned indexes (though support at 50-day MAs is possible).</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish following the S&amp;P 500's multi-month base breakout above 5670, alongside healthy market dynamics which have continued to improve.
Two weeks ago, our election day report (11/5/24) was titled "Buy the Pullback," and with the SPX/QQQ/IWM pulling back to their 20-day MAs, it's time to buy the pullback again.
We continue to expect significant upside into year-end and early 2025, and we expect support at the 20-day MAs on the aforementioned indexes (though support at 50-day MAs is possible).


Buy the Pullback Again; S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000 Testing Confluence of Support

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Energy Transfer's third quarter of 2024 results reveal several positive developments alongside some challenges, reflecting a complex operating environment.</li><li>Financially, Energy Transfer generated an adjusted EBITDA of $3.96 billion compared to $3.54 billion in the same quarter of the previous year, indicating growth driven by record volumes across its pipelines and strong performance in crude and NGL exports.</li><li>Despite the improved EBITDA, distributable cash flow attributable to partners remained flat at $1.99 billion year-over-year.</li></ul>

Energy Transfer's third quarter of 2024 results reveal several positive developments alongside some challenges, reflecting a complex operating environment.Financially, Energy Transfer generated an adjusted EBITDA of $3.96 billion compared to $3.54 billion in the same quarter of the previous year, indicating growth driven by record volumes across its pipelines and strong performance in crude and NGL exports.Despite the improved EBITDA, distributable cash flow attributable to partners remained flat at $1.99 billion year-over-year.

Energy Transfer LP: Can Its Expansion of Infrastructure & Capacity Be A Potential Game Changer? - Major Drivers

United States

Energy Transfer LP owns and operates a portfolio of energy assets. The Company engages in the operations such as transportation, storage and terminalling, crude oil, NGLs, refined products, and liquid natural gas. Energy Transfer serves customers in the United States.

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Energy Transfer LP (ET US)

[ETP 2024/52] WTI Recovers on China’s Stimulus Plans, Henry Hub Falls on Volatile Weather Forecasts

US crude inventories beat expectations, while nat-gas inventories missed analyst expectations. Chevron signed a 20-year LNG deal with Energy...

Mint Finance

Long MLP ETF & Short Micro Nat Gas Futures on Shifting Seasonality

US LNG volatility hits 12-month high amid turbulent fundamentals, driving nat-gas prices up 38.2%. Midstream/MLP ETFs shine in 2024 with inflows,...

Mint Finance

Most executives upbeat after Trump election

William Companies $WMB believes more Republican control can resolve permitting issues, which would benefit the power industry and the energy...

Bedrock AI

Buy the Pullback Again; S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000 Testing Confluence of Support

Buy the Pullback Again, Same as Our Election Day Report; S&P 500 $SPX, Nasdaq 100 $QQQ, Russell 2000 $IWM Testing Confluence of Support at 20-day...

Vermilion Research

Energy Transfer LP: Can Its Expansion of Infrastructure & Capacity Be A Potential Game Changer? - Major Drivers

Energy Transfer's third quarter of 2024 results reveal several positive developments alongside some challenges, reflecting a complex operating...

Baptista Research

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[ETP 2024/52] WTI Recovers on China’s Stimulus Plans, Henry Hub Falls on Volatile Weather Forecasts

​US crude inventories beat expectations, while nat-gas inventories missed analyst expectations. Chevron signed a 20-year LNG deal with Energy...

Mint Finance

Long MLP ETF & Short Micro Nat Gas Futures on Shifting Seasonality

​US LNG volatility hits 12-month high amid turbulent fundamentals, driving nat-gas prices up 38.2%. Midstream/MLP ETFs shine in 2024 with inflows,...

Mint Finance

Most executives upbeat after Trump election

William Companies $WMB believes more Republican control can resolve permitting issues, which would benefit the power industry and the energy...

Bedrock AI

Buy the Pullback Again; S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000 Testing Confluence of Support

Buy the Pullback Again, Same as Our Election Day Report; S&P 500 $SPX, Nasdaq 100 $QQQ, Russell 2000 $IWM Testing Confluence of Support at 20-day...

Vermilion Research

Energy Transfer LP: Can Its Expansion of Infrastructure & Capacity Be A Potential Game Changer? - Major Drivers

Energy Transfer's third quarter of 2024 results reveal several positive developments alongside some challenges, reflecting a complex operating...

Baptista Research

US crude inventories beat expectations, while nat-gas inventories missed analyst expectations. Chevron signed a 20-year LNG deal with Energy...

US LNG volatility hits 12-month high amid turbulent fundamentals, driving nat-gas prices up 38.2%. Midstream/MLP ETFs shine in 2024 with inflows,...