Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Volatility percentiles are flashing red, and we explore what recent price action could signal for the week ahead.</li>
<li>Implied vol rose meaningfully, approaching historical extremes, with more pressure likely as the week begins.</li>
<li>Options hedge adjustments are discussed following a strong move in both price and vol.</li>
</ul>


Volatility percentiles are flashing red, and we explore what recent price action could signal for the week ahead.
Implied vol rose meaningfully, approaching historical extremes, with more pressure likely as the week begins.
Options hedge adjustments are discussed following a strong move in both price and vol.


Kospi Index Options Weekly (Mar 31 – Apr 4): Rising Vol, Local and Global Political Undercurrents

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>Sentiment and positioning data continue to suggest a meaningful shift in broader market thinking on the outlook for the USD.</li><li>CFTC data for the week through to last Tuesday indicate a further move away from the USD.</li><li>Non-Commercial (speculative) accounts held a net USD short position (aggregated across the major currencies we monitor in this report) of USD1.7bn after initiating a minor net USD short in the prior week’s data. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sentiment and positioning data continue to suggest a meaningful shift in broader market thinking on the outlook for the USD.CFTC data for the week through to last Tuesday indicate a further move away from the USD.Non-Commercial (speculative) accounts held a net USD short position (aggregated across the major currencies we monitor in this report) of USD1.7bn after initiating a minor net USD short in the prior week’s data. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Speculative Sentiment Shifts Against the USD

<ul><li>CFTC data covering the March 11th week reflect the recent trend of fading USD bull sentiment.</li><li>Aggregate Non-Commercial (speculative) USD-bullish positioning dropped for the eighth week on the bounce, with these accounts halving net USD longs to USD4.9bn.</li><li>Recall that peak speculative USD bullishness was reached in mid -January when net USD longs reached USD35bn. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CFTC data covering the March 11th week reflect the recent trend of fading USD bull sentiment.Aggregate Non-Commercial (speculative) USD-bullish positioning dropped for the eighth week on the bounce, with these accounts halving net USD longs to USD4.9bn.Recall that peak speculative USD bullishness was reached in mid -January when net USD longs reached USD35bn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report – Speculative Traders Turn Bearish on the USD

HarmoniQ Insights

William Mann

Independent Insight Provider

At HarmoniQ Insights, we empower investors to enhance their investment strategies by integrating cutting-edge quantitative research processes and technologies. Our solutions provide access to leading quantitative data providers and services, tailored to align with each client’s unique goals. By bridging the gap between traditional investment approaches and advanced data-driven methods, we help clients gain a competitive edge through innovation in both process and technology.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Podcast delayed, markets rebounded last week, led by news of reduced impact of Trump's tariffs</li><li>Fed slowed pace of quantitative tightening, reducing pressure on treasury market liquidity</li><li>Bitcoin and gold prices fluctuate, Chinese stocks rebound, DAX up 20% year to date, US equities impacted by tariffs and job losses</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Podcast delayed, markets rebounded last week, led by news of reduced impact of Trump's tariffsFed slowed pace of quantitative tightening, reducing pressure on treasury market liquidityBitcoin and gold prices fluctuate, Chinese stocks rebound, DAX up 20% year to date, US equities impacted by tariffs and job lossesThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Tariffs, Tapering, and Tectonic Shifts: Markets Brace for April | The New Barbarians #013

Geopolitical Analyst, Steno Research, Steno Research

Mikkel Rosenvold

Geopolitical Analyst, Steno Research

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

<ul><li>Welcome to our weekly editorial on everything geopolitics- and commodities! We are approaching the “Liberation Day” on Apr 2 where we will (hopefully) get more clarity around the tariffs plans from Trump.</li><li>We have recently seen a semi-u-turn from the Trump administration on the severity and depth of the reciprocal tariffs announced next week, and the base-case is a softer stance with some negotiated exemptions for big partners.</li><li>This is also exactly what paves the way for a very decent comeback in US risk assets now, something that we expect to continue into April when the softened USD and slightly lower USD bond yields start feeding through via easier financial conditions.</li></ul>

Welcome to our weekly editorial on everything geopolitics- and commodities! We are approaching the “Liberation Day” on Apr 2 where we will (hopefully) get more clarity around the tariffs plans from Trump.We have recently seen a semi-u-turn from the Trump administration on the severity and depth of the reciprocal tariffs announced next week, and the base-case is a softer stance with some negotiated exemptions for big partners.This is also exactly what paves the way for a very decent comeback in US risk assets now, something that we expect to continue into April when the softened USD and slightly lower USD bond yields start feeding through via easier financial conditions.

The Drill: Approaching the End of the Tariff and Peace Trades?

United States

The euro is the official currency of the European Economic & Monetary Union.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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Kospi Index Options Weekly (Mar 31 – Apr 4): Rising Vol, Local and Global Political Undercurrents

We discuss how trading could unfold on Monday, the adjustment of a hedge recommendation and why recent price action hardens our conviction that...

John Ley

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Speculative Sentiment Shifts Against the USD

Sentiment and positioning data continue to suggest a meaningful shift in broader market thinking on the outlook for the USD.

Scotiabank

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report – Speculative Traders Turn Bearish on the USD

Aggregate Non-Commercial (speculative) USD-bullish positioning dropped for the eighth week on the bounce, with these accounts halving net USD longs...

Scotiabank

Tariffs, Tapering, and Tectonic Shifts: Markets Brace for April | The New Barbarians #013

Due to market volatility, the podcast will be delayed, with stocks rebounding last week and continuing to rise today, especially with the Dow up...

William Mann

The Drill: Approaching the End of the Tariff and Peace Trades?

Welcome to our weekly editorial on everything geopolitics- and commodities! We are approaching the “Liberation Day” on Apr 2 where we will...

Steno Research

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