Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Happy Monday and welcome to my weekly editorial on everything macro.</li><li>Everyone’s talking about the USD meltdown and whether it marks a seismic shift in the international system as we know it.</li><li>Markets are clearly responding to Trump’s list of “non-tariff barriers,” which notably placed FX manipulation at the very top.</li></ul>

Happy Monday and welcome to my weekly editorial on everything macro.Everyone’s talking about the USD meltdown and whether it marks a seismic shift in the international system as we know it.Markets are clearly responding to Trump’s list of “non-tariff barriers,” which notably placed FX manipulation at the very top.

Steno Signals #194 – A Mar-a-Lago Accord- or Meltdown?

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Nikkei rebounded and volatility eased meaningfully - implied vol giving back much of last week’s spike.</li>
<li>USD/JPY softened alongside a broader break in DXY, raising questions about the depth of demand for USD assets.</li>
<li>Option volumes dropped, and Put activity held steady with no clear directional tilt in flow.</li>
</ul>


Nikkei rebounded and volatility eased meaningfully - implied vol giving back much of last week’s spike.
USD/JPY softened alongside a broader break in DXY, raising questions about the depth of demand for USD assets.
Option volumes dropped, and Put activity held steady with no clear directional tilt in flow.


Nikkei Index Options Weekly (Apr 14 – 18):  Vol Unwinds, Nikkei Rebounds and USD Cracks

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook</li>
<li>Gold is now considered the most crowded trade. Should we be worried?</li>
<li>Who is going to buy US government bonds going forward?</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook
Gold is now considered the most crowded trade. Should we be worried?
Who is going to buy US government bonds going forward?


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>After a couple of weeks of indecisive positioning, CFTC data for the week through April 8 showed a more obvious shift in Non-Commercial (speculative) traders’ sentiment against the USD.</li><li>Aggregate net USD shorts increased USD5.5bn, taking the prior week’s small, speculative net USD long to the biggest bear punt on the USD in six months.</li><li>The change in sentiment was reflected in positioning among Real Money (institutional) and Leveraged (hedge fund) traders as well. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

After a couple of weeks of indecisive positioning, CFTC data for the week through April 8 showed a more obvious shift in Non-Commercial (speculative) traders’ sentiment against the USD.Aggregate net USD shorts increased USD5.5bn, taking the prior week’s small, speculative net USD long to the biggest bear punt on the USD in six months.The change in sentiment was reflected in positioning among Real Money (institutional) and Leveraged (hedge fund) traders as well. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - USD Sentiment Weakens, JPY Bullish Mood Builds

<ul><li>Morning from Copenhagen!It’s been a remarkable week—and weekend—in policy space.</li><li>On Friday, the White House released a list of exemptions from the reciprocal tariffs (including, for example, semiconductors).</li><li>Then, on Sunday, Trump “tweeted” that no exemptions were made, leaving Howard Lutnick once again to explain what was actually going on.</li></ul>

Morning from Copenhagen!It’s been a remarkable week—and weekend—in policy space.On Friday, the White House released a list of exemptions from the reciprocal tariffs (including, for example, semiconductors).Then, on Sunday, Trump “tweeted” that no exemptions were made, leaving Howard Lutnick once again to explain what was actually going on.

Steno Signals #193 – The USD Reset Is Underway

United States

The euro is the official currency of the European Economic & Monetary Union.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

EURO/US DOLLAR (EURUSD CURNCY)

Steno Signals #194 – A Mar-a-Lago Accord- or Meltdown?

Happy Monday and welcome to my weekly editorial on everything macro. Everyone’s talking about the USD meltdown and whether it marks a seismic...

Steno Research

Nikkei Index Options Weekly (Apr 14 – 18): Vol Unwinds, Nikkei Rebounds and USD Cracks

Nikkei rebounds, volatility eases as USD/JPY softens, raising questions about demand for USD assets. Option volumes drop with no clear directional...

John Ley

Overview #23 Gold, Bonds and the USD

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at recent investor sentiment towards gold, the USD, bonds and...

Rikki Malik

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - USD Sentiment Weakens, JPY Bullish Mood Builds

After a couple of weeks of indecisive positioning, CFTC data for the week through April 8 showed a more obvious shift in Non-Commercial...

Scotiabank

Steno Signals #193 – The USD Reset Is Underway

Morning from Copenhagen!It’s been a remarkable week—and weekend—in policy space. On Friday, the White House released a list of exemptions from the...

Steno Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Steno Signals #194 – A Mar-a-Lago Accord- or Meltdown?

Happy Monday and welcome to my weekly editorial on everything macro. Everyone’s talking about the USD meltdown and whether it marks a seismic...

Steno Research

Nikkei Index Options Weekly (Apr 14 – 18): Vol Unwinds, Nikkei Rebounds and USD Cracks

​Nikkei rebounds, volatility eases as USD/JPY softens, raising questions about demand for USD assets. Option volumes drop with no clear directional...

John Ley

Overview #23 Gold, Bonds and the USD

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at recent investor sentiment towards gold, the USD, bonds and...

Rikki Malik

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - USD Sentiment Weakens, JPY Bullish Mood Builds

After a couple of weeks of indecisive positioning, CFTC data for the week through April 8 showed a more obvious shift in Non-Commercial...

Scotiabank

Steno Signals #193 – The USD Reset Is Underway

Morning from Copenhagen!It’s been a remarkable week—and weekend—in policy space. On Friday, the White House released a list of exemptions from the...

Steno Research

Nikkei rebounds, volatility eases as USD/JPY softens, raising questions about demand for USD assets. Option volumes drop with no clear directional...