External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>The aggregate USD short position narrowed a marginal $1.1bn in the week ended July 15, moderating to $17.5bn.</li><li>The position is sizeable however it has remained largely unchanged over the past few months, holding close to the bearish end of its range since 2023 but well shy of the extended levels reached in 2020/2021.</li><li>The largest w/w adjustments were observed in EUR and JPY, maintaining recent trends and delivering a continued build in the bullish EUR position alongside an extension of the softening JPY long.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The aggregate USD short position narrowed a marginal $1.1bn in the week ended July 15, moderating to $17.5bn.The position is sizeable however it has remained largely unchanged over the past few months, holding close to the bearish end of its range since 2023 but well shy of the extended levels reached in 2020/2021.The largest w/w adjustments were observed in EUR and JPY, maintaining recent trends and delivering a continued build in the bullish EUR position alongside an extension of the softening JPY long.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bullish EUR Position Extends Climb As JPY Long Continues To Fall

<ul><li>The USD’s July rebound has extended further than we expected.</li><li>The DXY rose every day in July through yesterday, an unusually persistent string of net gains which, if the July 4th is included, stretched to 11 sessions.</li><li>Typically, developed market currency moves rarely extend for more than 10-12 sessions (up or down) before a consolidation or reversal develops. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The USD’s July rebound has extended further than we expected.The DXY rose every day in July through yesterday, an unusually persistent string of net gains which, if the July 4th is included, stretched to 11 sessions.Typically, developed market currency moves rarely extend for more than 10-12 sessions (up or down) before a consolidation or reversal develops. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Snapshot - USD Rebound May Stall on Fed Chair Volatility

<ul><li>We’ve recently received a number of questions on the topic of stablecoins and attention has intensified with the kickoff of ‘Crypto Week’ in the US.</li><li>This week’s congressional legislative agenda includes a pair of stablecoin bills, the STABLE (Stablecoin Transparency and Accountability for a Better Ledger Economy) GENIUS (Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins) Acts of 2025.</li><li>Lawmakers are advancing these bills in the hopes of establishing a federal regulatory framework for digital assets, and specifically stablecoins. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We’ve recently received a number of questions on the topic of stablecoins and attention has intensified with the kickoff of ‘Crypto Week’ in the US.This week’s congressional legislative agenda includes a pair of stablecoin bills, the STABLE (Stablecoin Transparency and Accountability for a Better Ledger Economy) GENIUS (Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins) Acts of 2025.Lawmakers are advancing these bills in the hopes of establishing a federal regulatory framework for digital assets, and specifically stablecoins. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Snapshot - USD Implications Of US Stablecoin Legislation

<ul><li>The aggregate USD short position was largely unchanged in the week ended July 8, widening a marginal $0.3bn to $18.6bn.</li><li>The position is sizeable and remains close to the bearish end of the range since 2023, however it is still well shy of the extended levels reached in 2020/2021.</li><li>This week’s adjustments offered a continued divergence in EUR and JPY positioning as speculators added to their large bullish EUR positions while paring back their JPY longs. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The aggregate USD short position was largely unchanged in the week ended July 8, widening a marginal $0.3bn to $18.6bn.The position is sizeable and remains close to the bearish end of the range since 2023, however it is still well shy of the extended levels reached in 2020/2021.This week’s adjustments offered a continued divergence in EUR and JPY positioning as speculators added to their large bullish EUR positions while paring back their JPY longs. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - EUR Bulls Push Long To Fresh High

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

<ul><li>Discussion covers topics including dollar signals, $CNY fixes, tariffs, and observations on Swiss and sterling</li><li>Dollar remains bearish despite some systematic signals turning less bearish or even bullish</li><li>Client sentiment may be shifting tactically towards throwing in the towel on the bearish dollar trend due to technical patterns, but long-term view remains unchanged</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Discussion covers topics including dollar signals, $CNY fixes, tariffs, and observations on Swiss and sterlingDollar remains bearish despite some systematic signals turning less bearish or even bullishClient sentiment may be shifting tactically towards throwing in the towel on the bearish dollar trend due to technical patterns, but long-term view remains unchangedThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

United States

The euro is the official currency of the European Economic & Monetary Union.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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Bullish EUR Position Extends Climb As JPY Long Continues To Fall

The position is sizeable however it has remained largely unchanged over the past few months, holding close to the bearish end of its range since...

Scotiabank

FX Snapshot - USD Rebound May Stall on Fed Chair Volatility

The DXY rose every day in July through yesterday, an unusually persistent string of net gains which, if the July 4th is included, stretched to 11...

Scotiabank

FX Snapshot - USD Implications Of US Stablecoin Legislation

We’ve recently received a number of questions on the topic of stablecoins and attention has intensified with the kickoff of ‘Crypto Week’ in the US.

Scotiabank

CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - EUR Bulls Push Long To Fresh High

This week’s adjustments offered a continued divergence in EUR and JPY positioning as speculators added to their large bullish EUR positions while...

Scotiabank

Global FX: Keeping the bearish USD view

The survey support is needed for discussion topics surrounding the less bearish dollar signals, recent $CNY fixes impacting dollar weakness,...

At Any Rate

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