External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Overseas hyperscalers (Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft, covered by our internet team) have all released their CY1Q25 earnings.</li><li>During the quarter, the aggregated capex of the Big Four held strong at US$73bn, up 63% YoY and flattish QoQ, after hitting a record of US$72.8bn in CY4Q24 (up 68% YoY / 22% QoQ).</li><li>The outlook for the rest of 2025 remains optimistic. Amazon, Google and Microsoft doubled down on their spending plans, while Meta revised up its capex target by 7%-11% from its previous plan. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Overseas hyperscalers (Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft, covered by our internet team) have all released their CY1Q25 earnings.During the quarter, the aggregated capex of the Big Four held strong at US$73bn, up 63% YoY and flattish QoQ, after hitting a record of US$72.8bn in CY4Q24 (up 68% YoY / 22% QoQ).The outlook for the rest of 2025 remains optimistic. Amazon, Google and Microsoft doubled down on their spending plans, while Meta revised up its capex target by 7%-11% from its previous plan. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends: Resilient 1Q25 Capex Among Hyperscalers

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,177/1,185 points and the support at 1,157/1,151 points (25-day/10-day EMA).</li><li>Regarding the MPC meeting, KTX expects the committee may choose to keep the policy rate unchanged at 2.0% to monitor the situation and preserve policy space for future use.</li><li>KTX expects MOSHI's sales to maintain growth momentum at a CAGR of 13% over the next three years (2024-27E), based on the assumption of +3% SSSG and average store expansion of 20%.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,177/1,185 points and the support at 1,157/1,151 points (25-day/10-day EMA).Regarding the MPC meeting, KTX expects the committee may choose to keep the policy rate unchanged at 2.0% to monitor the situation and preserve policy space for future use.KTX expects MOSHI's sales to maintain growth momentum at a CAGR of 13% over the next three years (2024-27E), based on the assumption of +3% SSSG and average store expansion of 20%.

MPC Meeting & 1Q25 GDP Growth for the EU and US

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

<ul>
<li>Despite the chip market's 19% overall 2024 Y/Y increase, the only real growth was in semiconductors for AI applications.  A turn in the AI business could cause a collapse.</li>
<li>Outside of AI, growth was significantly more modest at 4.8%, which is good compared to the industry's historical growth rate of 3.9%, but is nowhere near the 19% overall number.</li>
<li>The US' trade sanctions appear to be having some impact on chip shipments to China vs. the Americas, but this may be an illusion.</li>
</ul>


Despite the chip market's 19% overall 2024 Y/Y increase, the only real growth was in semiconductors for AI applications.  A turn in the AI business could cause a collapse.
Outside of AI, growth was significantly more modest at 4.8%, which is good compared to the industry's historical growth rate of 3.9%, but is nowhere near the 19% overall number.
The US' trade sanctions appear to be having some impact on chip shipments to China vs. the Americas, but this may be an illusion.


What Do Detailed 2024 Semi Stats Tell Us?

<ul><li>Alibaba released its 3QFY25 earnings (see our internet team report) with a significant step-up in capex plan for the next three years, the total of which is expected to surpass the company’s cumulative capex of the past decade, per mgmt., reaching as high as ~RMB120bn per year during CY2026-28E, according to our calculation.</li><li>We believe cloud service providers (CSPs) in China are trying to pick up the pace in capex in compute infrastructure to keep up with the relentless investment strides of overseas CSPs (Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Google).</li><li>We believe the ripple effects of Alibaba’s increased capex plan will benefit domestic AI infrastructure supply chain names, such as Innolight (300308 CH, BUY, TP: RMB186) and Shengyi Tech (600183 CH, BUY, TP: RMB34.5), which supply critical components (e.g., high-speed optical transceivers, ultra-low-loss CCL) for datacenter buildout.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba released its 3QFY25 earnings (see our internet team report) with a significant step-up in capex plan for the next three years, the total of which is expected to surpass the company’s cumulative capex of the past decade, per mgmt., reaching as high as ~RMB120bn per year during CY2026-28E, according to our calculation.We believe cloud service providers (CSPs) in China are trying to pick up the pace in capex in compute infrastructure to keep up with the relentless investment strides of overseas CSPs (Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Google).We believe the ripple effects of Alibaba’s increased capex plan will benefit domestic AI infrastructure supply chain names, such as Innolight (300308 CH, BUY, TP: RMB186) and Shengyi Tech (600183 CH, BUY, TP: RMB34.5), which supply critical components (e.g., high-speed optical transceivers, ultra-low-loss CCL) for datacenter buildout.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Despite <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deepseek" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44297:1" rel="noopener">DeepSeek (DPSK12 CH)</a>’s breakthrough with minimal chips, hyperscalers remain undeterred, planning $315 billion in FY25 capex to expand AI and cloud infrastructure.</li>
<li>This sustained high capex underlines tech giants' confidence in long-term AI growth, ensuring a competitive edge and reinforcing their market leadership.</li>
<li>Investors should see this aggressive capex commitment as a signal of robust future revenue potential, even amid disruptive cost-saving innovations.</li>
</ul>


Despite DeepSeek (DPSK12 CH)’s breakthrough with minimal chips, hyperscalers remain undeterred, planning $315 billion in FY25 capex to expand AI and cloud infrastructure.
This sustained high capex underlines tech giants' confidence in long-term AI growth, ensuring a competitive edge and reinforcing their market leadership.
Investors should see this aggressive capex commitment as a signal of robust future revenue potential, even amid disruptive cost-saving innovations.


Despite DeepSeek’s Innovation, Hyperscalers Doubling Down on Capex

United States

Meta Platforms Inc. operates as a social technology company. The Company builds applications and technologies that help people connect, find communities, and grow businesses. meta Platform is also involved in advertisements, augmented and virtual reality.

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Meta (META US)

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends: Resilient 1Q25 Capex Among Hyperscalers

Bloomberg consensus projects the Big Four’s capex to increase by 48% YoY / 8% QoQ to ~US$78.6bn in CY2Q25E, and full-year capex to top US$319bn...

CMB International

MPC Meeting & 1Q25 GDP Growth for the EU and US

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,177/1,185 points and the support at 1,157/1,151 points...

Krungthai XSpring

What Do Detailed 2024 Semi Stats Tell Us?

The chip market saw 19% 2024 growth driven by AI semiconductors, but growth outside AI is modest. This is cause for concern. Meanwhile US trade...

Jim Handy

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends

We believe cloud service providers (CSPs) in China are trying to pick up the pace in capex in compute infrastructure to keep up with the relentless...

CMB International

Despite DeepSeek’s Innovation, Hyperscalers Doubling Down on Capex

Tech giants are investing $315 billion in AI and cloud infrastructure by FY25, showing confidence in long-term growth and market leadership.

Nimish Maheshwari

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends: Resilient 1Q25 Capex Among Hyperscalers

Bloomberg consensus projects the Big Four’s capex to increase by 48% YoY / 8% QoQ to ~US$78.6bn in CY2Q25E, and full-year capex to top US$319bn...

CMB International

MPC Meeting & 1Q25 GDP Growth for the EU and US

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,177/1,185 points and the support at 1,157/1,151 points...

Krungthai XSpring

What Do Detailed 2024 Semi Stats Tell Us?

​The chip market saw 19% 2024 growth driven by AI semiconductors, but growth outside AI is modest. This is cause for concern. Meanwhile US trade...

Jim Handy

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends

We believe cloud service providers (CSPs) in China are trying to pick up the pace in capex in compute infrastructure to keep up with the relentless...

CMB International

Despite DeepSeek’s Innovation, Hyperscalers Doubling Down on Capex

​Tech giants are investing $315 billion in AI and cloud infrastructure by FY25, showing confidence in long-term growth and market leadership.

Nimish Maheshwari

The chip market saw 19% 2024 growth driven by AI semiconductors, but growth outside AI is modest. This is cause for concern. Meanwhile US trade...

Tech giants are investing $315 billion in AI and cloud infrastructure by FY25, showing confidence in long-term growth and market leadership.