AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>SOXX rose 1.3% as AMD, Nvidia, and Broadcom rallied on China access and upgrades, while Micron and ASML lagged on memory and High-NA concerns.</li>
<li>ASML warned on 2026 as TSMC and Samsung delay High-NA EUV; newer designs instead boost demand for etch players over lithography.</li>
<li>$136M ETF outflows and a 25% drop in options activity show gains remain narrow, with investors waiting on tariffs and real tech catalysts.</li>
</ul>


SOXX rose 1.3% as AMD, Nvidia, and Broadcom rallied on China access and upgrades, while Micron and ASML lagged on memory and High-NA concerns.
ASML warned on 2026 as TSMC and Samsung delay High-NA EUV; newer designs instead boost demand for etch players over lithography.
$136M ETF outflows and a 25% drop in options activity show gains remain narrow, with investors waiting on tariffs and real tech catalysts.


[Wafer Watch] Top Chipmakers Drive the Index, Broader Market Stalls

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>We remain structurally bullish on AI infrastructure investment supported by sustained momentum in compute-intensive investments.</li><li>Major hyperscalers’ capex continue to grow, at 43% YoY for overseas Big Four (MSFT/AMZN/GOOG/META) and 44% YoY for domestic Big Three (Alibaba/Tencent/Baidu) in 2025, per Bloomberg consensus estimates.</li><li>Recent earnings results across the supply chain confirms AI-related spend. TSMC’s (TSMC US, NR) 1H25 revenue was NT$ 1,773bn, up 40% YoY. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We remain structurally bullish on AI infrastructure investment supported by sustained momentum in compute-intensive investments.Major hyperscalers’ capex continue to grow, at 43% YoY for overseas Big Four (MSFT/AMZN/GOOG/META) and 44% YoY for domestic Big Three (Alibaba/Tencent/Baidu) in 2025, per Bloomberg consensus estimates.Recent earnings results across the supply chain confirms AI-related spend. TSMC’s (TSMC US, NR) 1H25 revenue was NT$ 1,773bn, up 40% YoY. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends: 1H25 AI Demand Check

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We recommend taking profit on WUXI06 after its holding-period return reached 20.0%.</li><li>We also recommend opening positions in MICRON80, a memory-chip leader; ZAI23, a Chinese Al model developer, as the market rotates back into technology stocks; and GRAB80, a major Southeast Asian delivery platform.</li><li>Our KTX Tactical DR Port rose 1.62%, driven by gains in technology and Al stocks following META's development of the MUSE model.</li></ul>

We recommend taking profit on WUXI06 after its holding-period return reached 20.0%.We also recommend opening positions in MICRON80, a memory-chip leader; ZAI23, a Chinese Al model developer, as the market rotates back into technology stocks; and GRAB80, a major Southeast Asian delivery platform.Our KTX Tactical DR Port rose 1.62%, driven by gains in technology and Al stocks following META's development of the MUSE model.

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Contemporary Amperex Technology / Equity Derivatives

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL-SR SP)

<ul>
<li>WEEKLY tactical global macro recap/analysis for several markets and stocks we track, grouped by sector.</li>
<li>We apply our quantitative models to each instrument's trend, to determine which stocks/markets are just starting a trend, are in the middle of it, or are about to end it.</li>
<li>
Most overbought: Meta, Hitachi Ltd, SK Hynix  Most oversold: Meituan, ICICI Bank, HKEX and Clearing, Ping An Insurance, Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), Komatsu, Hanwha Solutions, Zijin Mining, Shin Etsu Chemical</li>
</ul>


WEEKLY tactical global macro recap/analysis for several markets and stocks we track, grouped by sector.
We apply our quantitative models to each instrument's trend, to determine which stocks/markets are just starting a trend, are in the middle of it, or are about to end it.

Most overbought: Meta, Hitachi Ltd, SK Hynix  Most oversold: Meituan, ICICI Bank, HKEX and Clearing, Ping An Insurance, Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), Komatsu, Hanwha Solutions, Zijin Mining, Shin Etsu Chemical


WEEKLY Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setup: SK Hynix, Meituan, ICICI, Ping An Insurance, CATL, Zijin M

Independent in-depth research from Finimize, Finimize

Finimize Research

Independent in-depth research from Finimize

Finimize

Finimize is the #1 information platform for modern investors. We empower people to become smarter investors with bitesize insights from world-class analysts. 1 million+ strong community, 250 partners.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Technical analysis can help you keep your zen as it cuts through the noise by providing a set of rules on when to buy, sell, or just sit tight.</li>
<li>There are many technical indicators, but using both the simple moving average and the moving average convergence divergence can tell you most of what you need to know</li>
<li>Here’s how the two indicators work, what makes them so effective when using them together, and a look at a few major stock ETFs,  gold, bitcoin, and the Mag 7.</li>
</ul>


Technical analysis can help you keep your zen as it cuts through the noise by providing a set of rules on when to buy, sell, or just sit tight.
There are many technical indicators, but using both the simple moving average and the moving average convergence divergence can tell you most of what you need to know
Here’s how the two indicators work, what makes them so effective when using them together, and a look at a few major stock ETFs,  gold, bitcoin, and the Mag 7.


Two Technical Indicators, And The Top Trades They’re Pointing To Now

United States

Meta Platforms Inc. operates as a social technology company. The Company builds applications and technologies that help people connect, find communities, and grow businesses. meta Platform is also involved in advertisements, augmented and virtual reality.

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Meta (META US)

[Wafer Watch] Top Chipmakers Drive the Index, Broader Market Stalls

AMD, Nvidia, and Broadcom lead the gains, but falling flows, cautious options bets, and structural shifts in chipmaking leave the rally on...

Mint Finance

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends: 1H25 AI Demand Check

We remain structurally bullish on AI infrastructure investment supported by sustained momentum in compute-intensive investments.

CMB International

Tactical Holdings

We recommend taking profit on WUXI06 after its holding-period return reached 20.0%. We also recommend opening positions in MICRON80, a memory-chip...

Krungthai XSpring

WEEKLY Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setup: SK Hynix, Meituan, ICICI, Ping An Insurance, CATL, Zijin M

Weekly Macro Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setups - Quantitative models tracking momentum extremes across Asian/Global equities and commodities to...

Nico Rosti

Two Technical Indicators, And The Top Trades They’re Pointing To Now

Technical analysis can help you keep your zen when markets are volatile and unpredictable. Here's an update on the main ETFs, bitcoin, gold, and...

Finimize Research

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