New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm

We are proud to be a New Zealand owned firm, with 21 offices throughout the country and over 300 employees. We assist personal, institutional and corporate clients providing a full range of investment services.

Forsyth Barr is a foundation New Zealand Exchange firm (NZX) and accredited market participant. We have been confirmed by the Financial Markets Authority as a Qualifying Financial Entity (QFE).

Research is the cornerstone of our advice. We have one of New Zealand's leading teams of analysts. Our global affiliations ensure comprehensive research coverage of all major investment markets.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>NZ's listed technology sector outperformed the broader market by +9% in the December 2024 quarter and +32% during 2024.</li><li>Global technology markets also enjoyed a buoyant 2024, underpinned by investor optimism around the benefits of artificial intelligence (AI).</li><li>Looking ahead, we explore four significant themes poised to define the technology industry in 2025. </li></ul></div></div></div></div>

NZ's listed technology sector outperformed the broader market by +9% in the December 2024 quarter and +32% during 2024.Global technology markets also enjoyed a buoyant 2024, underpinned by investor optimism around the benefits of artificial intelligence (AI).Looking ahead, we explore four significant themes poised to define the technology industry in 2025. 

Forsyth Barr Technology Digest Edition 9 — Agentic, AGI and Quantum Worlds

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>There was plenty for the bulls to cheer about in Gentrack's (GTK) FY24 result.</li><li>Revenue growth beat expectations again, underlying margins and cash generation were solid, and a new contract in Southeast Asia was announced.</li><li>Management continues to express confidence in the international pipeline, and hinted that GTK's medium-term revenue guidance of +15% per year may be conservative, if it converts on potential contracts. </li></ul>

There was plenty for the bulls to cheer about in Gentrack's (GTK) FY24 result.Revenue growth beat expectations again, underlying margins and cash generation were solid, and a new contract in Southeast Asia was announced.Management continues to express confidence in the international pipeline, and hinted that GTK's medium-term revenue guidance of +15% per year may be conservative, if it converts on potential contracts. 

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index, 3 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and 16 adds/ 8 deletes for the S&amp;P/ASX300 Index.</li>
<li>The two big surprises are the inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guzman-y-gomez-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43656:1" rel="noopener">Guzman Y Gomez (GYG AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yancoal-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4145:1" rel="noopener">Yancoal Australia (YAL AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and S&amp;P/ASX300 Index.</li>
<li>The adds to the indices have outperformed the deletes over the last few months and there could be profit-taking in the next few days.</li>
</ul>


There are 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index, 3 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and 16 adds/ 8 deletes for the S&amp;P/ASX300 Index.
The two big surprises are the inclusion of Guzman Y Gomez (GYG AU) and Yancoal Australia (YAL AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and S&amp;P/ASX300 Index.
The adds to the indices have outperformed the deletes over the last few months and there could be profit-taking in the next few days.


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2024): Two Big Surprises; Positioning Is Mixed

<ul><li>Gentrack (GTK) is a software company that specialises in providing: (1) enterprise billing and customer management solutions for the utility (electricity, gas and water) industry, and (2) operational software via its Veovo brand to the airport industry.</li><li>GTK generates revenue from ~60 utility and ~130 airport customers worldwide, targeting medium-term revenue growth of &gt;+15% annually, with EBITDA margins recovering from suppressed levels, creating significant earnings growth potential.</li><li>The shifting market requirements for GTK's customers have created a significant global opportunity. </li></ul>

Gentrack (GTK) is a software company that specialises in providing: (1) enterprise billing and customer management solutions for the utility (electricity, gas and water) industry, and (2) operational software via its Veovo brand to the airport industry.GTK generates revenue from ~60 utility and ~130 airport customers worldwide, targeting medium-term revenue growth of &gt;+15% annually, with EBITDA margins recovering from suppressed levels, creating significant earnings growth potential.The shifting market requirements for GTK's customers have created a significant global opportunity. 

Gentrack - Energising Utilities & Optimising Airports

<ul>
<li>With 2 trading days left in the review period, there could be 30 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in September.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> and S&amp;P/ASX 300.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have hugely outperformed the forecast deletes. Borrow recall on the deletes and increased borrow availability on the adds could result in underperformance following announcement of the changes.</li>
</ul>


With 2 trading days left in the review period, there could be 30 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in September.
Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and S&amp;P/ASX 300.
The forecast adds have hugely outperformed the forecast deletes. Borrow recall on the deletes and increased borrow availability on the adds could result in underperformance following announcement of the changes.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Done; Big Impact Changes

New Zealand

Gentrack Group Limited is a computer consulting company. The Company provides software solutions to energy & water utilities and airports.

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Gentrack (GTK NZ)

Forsyth Barr Technology Digest Edition 9 — Agentic, AGI and Quantum Worlds

Global technology markets also enjoyed a buoyant 2024, underpinned by investor optimism around the benefits of artificial intelligence (AI).

Forsyth Barr

Gentrack - FY24 Result — Powering Up

There was plenty for the bulls to cheer about in Gentrack's (GTK) FY24 result. Revenue growth beat expectations again, underlying margins and cash...

Forsyth Barr

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2024): Two Big Surprises; Positioning Is Mixed

The index rebalances at the close today. Stocks have moved a lot over the last couple of weeks since announcements and some positioning will be...

Brian Freitas

Gentrack - Energising Utilities & Optimising Airports

Gentrack (GTK) is a software company that specialises in providing: (1) enterprise billing and customer management solutions for the utility...

Forsyth Barr

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Done; Big Impact Changes

There could be 30 changes for the ASX indices in September with a lot to trade for passive trackers. The adds have outperformed the deletes and...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Forsyth Barr Technology Digest Edition 9 — Agentic, AGI and Quantum Worlds

Global technology markets also enjoyed a buoyant 2024, underpinned by investor optimism around the benefits of artificial intelligence (AI).

Forsyth Barr

Gentrack - FY24 Result — Powering Up

There was plenty for the bulls to cheer about in Gentrack's (GTK) FY24 result. Revenue growth beat expectations again, underlying margins and cash...

Forsyth Barr

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2024): Two Big Surprises; Positioning Is Mixed

The index rebalances at the close today. Stocks have moved a lot over the last couple of weeks since announcements and some positioning will be...

Brian Freitas

Gentrack - Energising Utilities & Optimising Airports

Gentrack (GTK) is a software company that specialises in providing: (1) enterprise billing and customer management solutions for the utility...

Forsyth Barr

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Done; Big Impact Changes

There could be 30 changes for the ASX indices in September with a lot to trade for passive trackers. The adds have outperformed the deletes and...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2024): Two Big Surprises; Positioning Is Mixed

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Done; Big Impact Changes