Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

The Commodity Report

Data-Driven Commodity Research

A unique newsletter about commodities and macro analysis in a weekly format.

Commodities

<ul><li>President Trump triggered turmoil in the stock and bond markets, sent shockwaves through the global economy, and claimed the U.S. would eliminate the national debt using trillions supposedly generated from his tariffs.</li><li>Just earlier this week, he declared he wouldn’t make a zero-tariff deal with the EU — and now, without any real change in circumstances, he’s suddenly starting to back down.</li><li>Trump dropped his country-specific tariffs down to a universal 10% rate for all trade partners except China on Wednesday - for a limited time period of 90 days - presumably to have more time to make deals with each country.</li></ul>

President Trump triggered turmoil in the stock and bond markets, sent shockwaves through the global economy, and claimed the U.S. would eliminate the national debt using trillions supposedly generated from his tariffs.Just earlier this week, he declared he wouldn’t make a zero-tariff deal with the EU — and now, without any real change in circumstances, he’s suddenly starting to back down.Trump dropped his country-specific tariffs down to a universal 10% rate for all trade partners except China on Wednesday - for a limited time period of 90 days - presumably to have more time to make deals with each country.

How Commodities React To Trumps New Global Trade Plans

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>A volatile week for HSI, with sharp moves in price, volume, and implied volatility concentrated around Monday’s gap lower.</li>
<li>We discuss the shift in spot-vol dynamics and how it may influence short-term vol trading.</li>
<li>Changes in open interest and vol structure are examined in the context of ongoing global tensions.</li>
</ul>


A volatile week for HSI, with sharp moves in price, volume, and implied volatility concentrated around Monday’s gap lower.
We discuss the shift in spot-vol dynamics and how it may influence short-term vol trading.
Changes in open interest and vol structure are examined in the context of ongoing global tensions.


HSI Index Options Weekly (Apr 07–11): Vol Shifts and Early Signs of USD Toxicity

<ul>
<li>We revisit key cross-asset signals as traditional safe havens fail to respond in familiar ways.</li>
<li>The past 8 days have delivered a combination of asset moves with few, if any,  historical parallels.</li>
<li>With trust in U.S. safe haven assets under pressure, we explore emerging themes and ramifications.</li>
</ul>


We revisit key cross-asset signals as traditional safe havens fail to respond in familiar ways.
The past 8 days have delivered a combination of asset moves with few, if any,  historical parallels.
With trust in U.S. safe haven assets under pressure, we explore emerging themes and ramifications.


Global Markets: Why This Sell-Off Is Different. UPDATE

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22870:1" rel="noopener">Gold (GOLD COMDTY)</a> has been rallying up without stop for the past 13 weeks (only pause was a 1 week pullback at the end of February).</li>
<li>The commodity looks overbought WEEKLY according to our tactical model, there is a chance that it will pullback this week or the next (although it could rally for longer...).</li>
<li>Several players are buying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22870:1" rel="noopener">Gold (GOLD COMDTY)</a> and we do not see any sharp pullback on the horizon, obviously, any pullback is a BUY opportunity. We'll discuss where to buy.</li>
</ul>



Gold (GOLD COMDTY) has been rallying up without stop for the past 13 weeks (only pause was a 1 week pullback at the end of February).
The commodity looks overbought WEEKLY according to our tactical model, there is a chance that it will pullback this week or the next (although it could rally for longer...).
Several players are buying Gold (GOLD COMDTY) and we do not see any sharp pullback on the horizon, obviously, any pullback is a BUY opportunity. We'll discuss where to buy.


Gold's Tactical Outlook and Profit Targets: Currently Peaking, But Pullback Is a Buy Opportunity

Podcast of business and financial stories, Behind the Money

Behind the Money

Podcast of business and financial stories

From hostile takeovers to C-suite intrigue, Behind the Money takes you inside the business and financial stories of the moment with reporting from Financial Times journalists around the world.

<ul><li>Surging demand for gold is leading to unexpected consequences in Ghana</li><li>The gold industry is impacting cocoa production and causing environmental destruction</li><li>Some individuals are turning to illegal gold mining out of necessity due to economic pressures</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Surging demand for gold is leading to unexpected consequences in GhanaThe gold industry is impacting cocoa production and causing environmental destructionSome individuals are turning to illegal gold mining out of necessity due to economic pressuresThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

How high gold prices are fueling a chocolate shortage

United States

Gold is a chemical element with the symbol Au (from Latin: aurum) and the atomic number 79. In its purest form, it is a bright, slightly reddish yellow, dense, soft, malleable and ductile metal. Chemically, gold is a transition metal and a group 11 element. It is one of the least reactive chemical elements, and is solid under standard conditions. The metal therefore occurs often in free elemental (native) form, as nuggets or grains, in rocks, in veins and in alluvial deposits. It occurs in a solid solution series with the native element silver (as electrum) and also naturally alloyed with copper and palladium. Less commonly, it occurs in minerals as gold compounds, often with tellurium (gold tellurides).

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Gold (GOLD COMDTY)

How Commodities React To Trumps New Global Trade Plans

Just earlier this week, he declared he wouldn’t make a zero-tariff deal with the EU — and now, without any real change in circumstances, he’s...

The Commodity Report

HSI Index Options Weekly (Apr 07–11): Vol Shifts and Early Signs of USD Toxicity

This Insight analyzes the recent volatility in HSI and its impact on short-term vol trading, highlighting shifts in spot-vol dynamics and changes...

John Ley

Global Markets: Why This Sell-Off Is Different. UPDATE

Traditional safe havens are not responding as expected, leading to unprecedented asset moves and questioning trust in U.S. safe haven assets.

John Ley

Gold's Tactical Outlook and Profit Targets: Currently Peaking, But Pullback Is a Buy Opportunity

GOLD has been rallying relentless, but it may be (temporarily) peaking, according to our Gold quantitative tactical model. We see pullbacks to the...

Nico Rosti

How high gold prices are fueling a chocolate shortage

Investors driving up the price of gold in Ghana is leading to negative consequences such as environmental destruction, impacts on cocoa production,...

Behind the Money

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

How Commodities React To Trumps New Global Trade Plans

Just earlier this week, he declared he wouldn’t make a zero-tariff deal with the EU — and now, without any real change in circumstances, he’s...

The Commodity Report

HSI Index Options Weekly (Apr 07–11): Vol Shifts and Early Signs of USD Toxicity

​This Insight analyzes the recent volatility in HSI and its impact on short-term vol trading, highlighting shifts in spot-vol dynamics and changes...

John Ley

Global Markets: Why This Sell-Off Is Different. UPDATE

​Traditional safe havens are not responding as expected, leading to unprecedented asset moves and questioning trust in U.S. safe haven assets.

John Ley

Gold's Tactical Outlook and Profit Targets: Currently Peaking, But Pullback Is a Buy Opportunity

​GOLD has been rallying relentless, but it may be (temporarily) peaking, according to our Gold quantitative tactical model. We see pullbacks to the...

Nico Rosti

How high gold prices are fueling a chocolate shortage

Investors driving up the price of gold in Ghana is leading to negative consequences such as environmental destruction, impacts on cocoa production,...

Behind the Money

This Insight analyzes the recent volatility in HSI and its impact on short-term vol trading, highlighting shifts in spot-vol dynamics and changes...

Traditional safe havens are not responding as expected, leading to unprecedented asset moves and questioning trust in U.S. safe haven assets.

GOLD has been rallying relentless, but it may be (temporarily) peaking, according to our Gold quantitative tactical model. We see pullbacks to the...