IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Chery Automobile / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chery-automobile-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39918:1" rel="noopener">Chery Automobile (9973</a><a target="_blank">. HK)</a> priced its IPO at HK$30.75 per share to raise gross proceeds of approximately US$1.2 billion. The shares will begin trading on September 25.</li>
<li>The IPO was discussed in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/chery-automobile-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:200985" rel="noopener">Chery Automobile IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/chery-automobile-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:201049" rel="noopener">Chery Automobile IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/chery-automobile-ipo-9973-hk-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:202204" rel="noopener">Chery Automobile IPO (9973 HK): Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>The market sentiment of the peers has declined since the IPO launch. Chery Auto is fairly valued at the IPO price.</li>
</ul>



Chery Automobile (9973. HK) priced its IPO at HK$30.75 per share to raise gross proceeds of approximately US$1.2 billion. The shares will begin trading on September 25.
The IPO was discussed in Chery Automobile IPO: The Bull Case, Chery Automobile IPO: The Bear Case and Chery Automobile IPO (9973 HK): Valuation Insights. 
The market sentiment of the peers has declined since the IPO launch. Chery Auto is fairly valued at the IPO price.


Chery Automobile IPO (9973 HK) IPO: Trading Debut

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 57.0% as of Sep 19th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.8ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, energy, health care and offset by real estate, consumer staples, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Zmj, Yankuang Energy, Liaoning Port, Haier Smart Home, Qingdao Port, China Minsheng Banking.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 57.0% as of Sep 19th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.8ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, energy, health care and offset by real estate, consumer staples, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Zmj, Yankuang Energy, Liaoning Port, Haier Smart Home, Qingdao Port, China Minsheng Banking.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 19th): Zmj, Yankuang Energy, Liaoning Port, Haier Smart Home, Qingdao Port

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chery-automobile-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39918:1" rel="noopener">Chery Automobile (9973 HK)</a> is a Chinese automobile manufacturer. It has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$1.2 billion.</li>
<li>I previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/chery-automobile-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:200985" rel="noopener">Chery Automobile IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/chery-automobile-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:201049" rel="noopener">Chery Automobile IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, I present my forecasts and valuation. My analysis suggests that the IPO price range is reasonable.</li>
</ul>



Chery Automobile (9973 HK) is a Chinese automobile manufacturer. It has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$1.2 billion.
I previously discussed the IPO in Chery Automobile IPO: The Bull Case and Chery Automobile IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, I present my forecasts and valuation. My analysis suggests that the IPO price range is reasonable.


Chery Automobile IPO (9973 HK): Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 57.8% as of Sep 12th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.5ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, consumer staples, financials and offset by consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan Power, Fudan Microelectronics, Zijin Mining, CSSC O&amp;M Engineering, Baiyunshan Pharma, SMIC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 57.8% as of Sep 12th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.5ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, consumer staples, financials and offset by consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan Power, Fudan Microelectronics, Zijin Mining, CSSC O&amp;M Engineering, Baiyunshan Pharma, SMIC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 12th): China Longyuan Power, Fudan Microelectronics, Zijin Mining

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chery-automobile-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39918:1" rel="noopener">Chery Automobile (CH3456 CH)</a>, a Chinese automobile manufacturer, has secured HKEx listing approval for a US$1.5-2.0 billion IPO.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/chery-automobile-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:200985" rel="noopener">Chery Automobile IPO: The Bull Case</a>, I highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, I outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on weakening trends of the primary business, gross margin pressure, declining contract liabilities and factoring of receivables. </li>
</ul>



Chery Automobile (CH3456 CH), a Chinese automobile manufacturer, has secured HKEx listing approval for a US$1.5-2.0 billion IPO.
In Chery Automobile IPO: The Bull Case, I highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, I outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on weakening trends of the primary business, gross margin pressure, declining contract liabilities and factoring of receivables. 


China

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company, Ltd. manufactures, sells, and services automobiles. The Company is also involved in automobile parts and components, and auto finance and related services for both overseas and domestic markets.

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Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)

Chery Automobile IPO (9973 HK) IPO: Trading Debut

The IPO was priced at the top of the IPO range. The market sentiment of the peers has declined since the IPO launch. Chery Auto is fairly valued at...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 19th): Zmj, Yankuang Energy, Liaoning Port, Haier Smart Home, Qingdao Port

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Zmj, Yankuang Energy, Liaoning Port, Haier Smart Home,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Chery Automobile IPO (9973 HK): Valuation Insights

Chery Auto has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$1.2 billion. In this note, I present my forecasts and valuation. My analysis suggests that...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 12th): China Longyuan Power, Fudan Microelectronics, Zijin Mining

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Longyuan Power, Fudan Microelectronics, Zijin Mining,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Chery Automobile IPO: The Bear Case

Chery Automobile, a Chinese automobile manufacturer, has secured HKEx listing approval for a US$1.5-2.0 billion IPO. In this note, I outline the...

Arun George

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