Fundamental Analyses, Contrarian Cashflows

Contrarian Cashflows

Fundamental Analyses

The purpose of Contrarian Cashflows is to document my investment research and share it with everyone who is interested in value investing. My long term aspiration for Contrarian Cashflows is to become a platform for professional investors and serious amateurs where they can get inspiration and discuss investing-related topics.
I plan to publish one company deep dive per month that is guided by my investment approach. All information I use for my write-ups is publicly available and most of the time directly sourced from public filings issued by the respective companies. To guarantee maximum transparency, for every post I provide a list of all used sources in the resources section.
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If you want to reach out to me directly, the best way is via LinkedIn, Twitter or email. You can find the details at my homepage contrariancashflows.com

Equity Bottom-Up

Indian Energy Exchange / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>As one of the fastest-growing economies globally, India is projected to become the third-largest economy, trailing only China and the US, by 2027.</li><li>Amid macroeconomic challenges worldwide, investors are eager to tap into India’s robust economic growth.</li><li>However, economic growth does not always correlate with equity market growth, as seen in Spain and Italy during the 1980s and 1990s, and more recently in China.</li></ul>

As one of the fastest-growing economies globally, India is projected to become the third-largest economy, trailing only China and the US, by 2027.Amid macroeconomic challenges worldwide, investors are eager to tap into India’s robust economic growth.However, economic growth does not always correlate with equity market growth, as seen in Spain and Italy during the 1980s and 1990s, and more recently in China.

Indian Energy Exchange: Do You Want to Earn a Royalty on India’s Economic Growth?

Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Forensic Accounting

Indian Energy Exchange / Forensic Accounting

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-energy-exchange-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25946:1" rel="noopener">Indian Energy Exchange Ltd (IEX IN)</a>  is a market leader among power exchanges. However, the company’s market share might be delicate, especially with the developments of market coupling.</li>
<li>The company might be a market leader, however there are some aspects accounting wise that are unique to IEX as compared to other exchanges like MCX and BSE.</li>
<li>This includes settlement guarantee fund, accounting of software license, etc.</li>
</ul>



Indian Energy Exchange Ltd (IEX IN)  is a market leader among power exchanges. However, the company’s market share might be delicate, especially with the developments of market coupling.
The company might be a market leader, however there are some aspects accounting wise that are unique to IEX as compared to other exchanges like MCX and BSE.
This includes settlement guarantee fund, accounting of software license, etc.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Near the end of the review period, we see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 from LargeCap to MidCap, 8 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.</li>
<li>One spin-off should be added to the MidCap segment, while a bunch of recent listings will be added to the SmallCap segment.</li>
<li>Stock migrating upwards have outperformed stocks migrating downwards and we expect there could be some mean reversion from the middle of January.</li>
</ul>


Near the end of the review period, we see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 from LargeCap to MidCap, 8 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.
One spin-off should be added to the MidCap segment, while a bunch of recent listings will be added to the SmallCap segment.
Stock migrating upwards have outperformed stocks migrating downwards and we expect there could be some mean reversion from the middle of January.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2022): A Bunch of Migrations

Smartkarma Research Team, Smartkarma

Smartkarma Research

Smartkarma Research Team

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

<p>In the next webinar, we welcome Smartkarma Insight Provider <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/gauri-anand" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:39288" rel="noopener">Gauri Anand</a> , who will be sharing with us her Top indian Equity Picks and the investment philosophy behind each of her picks. Have any burning questions about companies like Indian Energy Exchange (IEX IN), VA Tech Wabag (VATW IN), or UPL Ltd (UPLL IN)? Get them answered in the live Q&amp;A that will conclude the session.</p>
<h3>The webinar will be hosted on Wednesday, 21 December 2022, 17:00 SGT/HKT.</h3>
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<h2><a href="https://share.hsforms.com/1H9pFZOB-RF2J00kbvMmxcw2c5gj?zoom_webinar_id=87055985031" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Register for the Webinar here</a></h2>
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<p>Gauri Anand is a mid-small cap specialist based in India. With a focus on equities, Gauri combs top down and bottom up approaches to identify themes and value stocks at its inflexion point. Sector agnostic with a value oriented - Inflexion approach, Gauri dives into bottom Up ideas with a biased towards Sustainability and ESG. </p>

In the next webinar, we welcome Smartkarma Insight Provider Gauri Anand , who will be sharing with us her Top indian Equity Picks and the investment philosophy behind each of her picks. Have any burning questions about companies like Indian Energy Exchange (IEX IN), VA Tech Wabag (VATW IN), or UPL Ltd (UPLL IN)? Get them answered in the live Q&amp;A that will conclude the session.
The webinar will be hosted on Wednesday, 21 December 2022, 17:00 SGT/HKT.








Register for the Webinar here








Gauri Anand is a mid-small cap specialist based in India. With a focus on equities, Gauri combs top down and bottom up approaches to identify themes and value stocks at its inflexion point. Sector agnostic with a value oriented - Inflexion approach, Gauri dives into bottom Up ideas with a biased towards Sustainability and ESG. 

Smartkarma Webinar | Top Indian Equity Picks

Mid-Small Cap specialist | Equities | India, Nurture Capital Advisory

Nurture Capital Advisory

Mid-Small Cap specialist | Equities | India

<ul>
<li>Q2FY23 Results weak on high base, H2FY23 to report single digit growth</li>
<li>FII selling, led to stock's underperformance in H1FY23, stock oversold</li>
<li>Weak base to support growth forward, low sentiment, steep selling, turning valuation attractive, besides long term opportunity is improving</li>
</ul>


Q2FY23 Results weak on high base, H2FY23 to report single digit growth
FII selling, led to stock's underperformance in H1FY23, stock oversold
Weak base to support growth forward, low sentiment, steep selling, turning valuation attractive, besides long term opportunity is improving


Indian Energy Exchange: Weak Base, Low Sentiment, Improving Valns

India

Indian Energy Exchange (IEX) is India's premier electronic trading platform for the physical delivery of electricity, renewable energy, and certificates. It facilitates efficient price discovery and provides a marketplace for various participants in the power market. IEX's products include Day-Ahead Market (DAM), Real-Time Market (RTM), Term-Ahead Market (TAM), Green Day-Ahead Market (G-DAM), Green Term-Ahead Market (G-TAM), Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs), and Energy Saving Certificates (ESCerts). The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Noida, Uttar Pradesh, India.

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Indian Energy Exchange (IEX IN)

Indian Energy Exchange: Do You Want to Earn a Royalty on India’s Economic Growth?

As one of the fastest-growing economies globally, India is projected to become the third-largest economy, trailing only China and the US, by...

Contrarian Cashflows

IEX Ltd- Facing the Tide

IEX faces a structural tide, as the developments of market coupling gain prominence. There are some aspects accounting wise that are unique to IEX...

Nitin Mangal

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2022): A Bunch of Migrations

Near the end of the review period, we see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 from LargeCap to MidCap, 8 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice...

Brian Freitas

Smartkarma Webinar | Top Indian Equity Picks

In this webinar, we have Smartkarma Insight Provider Gauri Anand, who will be sharing with us her Top indian Equity Picks and the investment...

Smartkarma Research

Indian Energy Exchange: Weak Base, Low Sentiment, Improving Valns

IEX - A digital play in energy transition and electricity reforms, suffering from high base, heavy fii selling, despite improving long term...

Nurture Capital Advisory

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)