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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The aggregate performance of the Q3FY25 earnings season was subdued, in line with expectations, but reflected marginal improvement on a QoQ basis, led by energy, auto, and cement sectors.</li><li>Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 5%/8% YoY and 5%/6% QoQ across the HSIE coverage (~234 stocks).</li><li>Earnings of mid/small-cap stocks grew slower at 3.8% in this quarter as compared to 8.7% registered by the large cap segment</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The aggregate performance of the Q3FY25 earnings season was subdued, in line with expectations, but reflected marginal improvement on a QoQ basis, led by energy, auto, and cement sectors.Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 5%/8% YoY and 5%/6% QoQ across the HSIE coverage (~234 stocks).Earnings of mid/small-cap stocks grew slower at 3.8% in this quarter as compared to 8.7% registered by the large cap segmentContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Quarterly Flipbook: Diminishing growth, downgrades intensify across sectors

<ul><li>TVS Motor: TVS Motors’ Q2 PAT at INR 6.6bn (+24% YoY/+12% QoQ) was marginally lower than our estimates</li><li>Higher investments in digital, brand building and R&amp;D led to higher other expenses YoY and higher depreciation</li><li>Q2 was a subdued quarter, in line with expectations</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

TVS Motor: TVS Motors’ Q2 PAT at INR 6.6bn (+24% YoY/+12% QoQ) was marginally lower than our estimatesHigher investments in digital, brand building and R&amp;D led to higher other expenses YoY and higher depreciationQ2 was a subdued quarter, in line with expectationsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: TVS Motor, IndusInd Bank, Dixon Technologies, Petronet LNG, Metro Brands

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Headline CPI inflation stayed near 3.6%YoY for the second consecutive month in Aug'24, and core inflation remained benign at 3.4%YoY. A 25bp rate cut remains certain at the Oct'24 MPC.</li>
<li>Although Sep-Oct'24 inflation is likely to average 5%YoY (because of base effects), the strong monsoon should deliver a bountiful kharif harvest, bringing headline inflation back down to 4%YoY in Jan-Mar'25. </li>
<li>We expect the policy rate to decline by 25bp at each of the next four MPC meetings, to 5.5% by Apr'25. Rate sensitive sectors like banks, property, auto-companies will benefit. </li>
</ul>


Headline CPI inflation stayed near 3.6%YoY for the second consecutive month in Aug'24, and core inflation remained benign at 3.4%YoY. A 25bp rate cut remains certain at the Oct'24 MPC.
Although Sep-Oct'24 inflation is likely to average 5%YoY (because of base effects), the strong monsoon should deliver a bountiful kharif harvest, bringing headline inflation back down to 4%YoY in Jan-Mar'25. 
We expect the policy rate to decline by 25bp at each of the next four MPC meetings, to 5.5% by Apr'25. Rate sensitive sectors like banks, property, auto-companies will benefit. 


India: CPI Inflation Below Target for 2nd Month Signals Rapid Rate Cuts Ahead

<ul><li>The aggregate performance of the Q1FY25 earnings season was largely on expected lines, with wide divergences across sectors and companies</li><li>Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 7%/0% YoY and -2%/-8% QoQ across the HSIE coverage (~229 stocks)</li><li>Overall earnings were adversely skewed by the weak performance of OMCs, hence ex-OMCs, revenue/PAT grew by 9%/13% YoY and -2%/-5% QoQ.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The aggregate performance of the Q1FY25 earnings season was largely on expected lines, with wide divergences across sectors and companiesAggregate revenue/PAT grew by 7%/0% YoY and -2%/-8% QoQ across the HSIE coverage (~229 stocks)Overall earnings were adversely skewed by the weak performance of OMCs, hence ex-OMCs, revenue/PAT grew by 9%/13% YoY and -2%/-5% QoQ.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Quarterly Flipbook: Earnings growth moderates, demand pick-up holds the key

<ul>
<li>CPI inflation receded to a 59-month low of 3.5%YoY in Jul'24, with food inflation abating to 5.1%YoY (from 8.4%YoY in Jun'24), as vegetable inflation fell to 6.8%YoY (from Jun'24's 29.3%YoY).</li>
<li>Whilst retaining its 6.5% policy rate on 8/8/24, RBI forecast 4.4%YoY inflation in Jul-Sep'24, and 4.7%YoY in Oct-Dec'24; we expect 4.2%YoY and 4.3%YoY respectively, amid 8-10% above-normal monsoon rainfall.</li>
<li>The policy repo rate will likely decline 50bp by Dec'24 and a further 50bp to 5.5% by Jun'25. Rate sensitives like banks, auto-companies, NBFCs and property stocks will benefit. </li>
</ul>


CPI inflation receded to a 59-month low of 3.5%YoY in Jul'24, with food inflation abating to 5.1%YoY (from 8.4%YoY in Jun'24), as vegetable inflation fell to 6.8%YoY (from Jun'24's 29.3%YoY).
Whilst retaining its 6.5% policy rate on 8/8/24, RBI forecast 4.4%YoY inflation in Jul-Sep'24, and 4.7%YoY in Oct-Dec'24; we expect 4.2%YoY and 4.3%YoY respectively, amid 8-10% above-normal monsoon rainfall.
The policy repo rate will likely decline 50bp by Dec'24 and a further 50bp to 5.5% by Jun'25. Rate sensitives like banks, auto-companies, NBFCs and property stocks will benefit. 


India: Relief on Food Inflation Makes an Oct'24 Rate Cut Near-Certain

India

IndusInd Bank Limited is a Mumbai-based Indian new generation bank established in 1994. The Bank provides a range of banking and financial services including  wholesale banking, credit monitoring, risk management, tele-banking, investment banking and commercial lending. IndusInd Bank operates branches throughout India as well as an office in Dubai and London.

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Indusind Bank (IIB IN)

Quarterly Flipbook: Diminishing growth, downgrades intensify across sectors

The aggregate performance of the Q3FY25 earnings season was subdued, in line with expectations, but reflected marginal improvement on a QoQ basis,...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: TVS Motor, IndusInd Bank, Dixon Technologies, Petronet LNG, Metro Brands

TVS Motor: TVS Motors’ Q2 PAT at INR 6.6bn (+24% YoY/+12% QoQ) was marginally lower than our estimates. Higher investments in digital, brand...

HDFC Securities

India: CPI Inflation Below Target for 2nd Month Signals Rapid Rate Cuts Ahead

With headline and core inflation at 3.6% and 3.4%YoY respectively, a rate cut is certain in Oct'24. Bountiful harvest to keep inflation benign,...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Quarterly Flipbook: Earnings growth moderates, demand pick-up holds the key

The aggregate performance of the Q1FY25 earnings season was largely on expected lines, with wide divergences across sectors and companies

HDFC Securities

India: Relief on Food Inflation Makes an Oct'24 Rate Cut Near-Certain

CPI inflation at 59-month low 3.5%YoY in Jul'24. We expect CPI inflation to average 4.2%YoY in Jul-Dec'24, less in H1CY25, hence expect policy...

Prasenjit K. Basu

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Quarterly Flipbook: Diminishing growth, downgrades intensify across sectors

The aggregate performance of the Q3FY25 earnings season was subdued, in line with expectations, but reflected marginal improvement on a QoQ basis,...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: TVS Motor, IndusInd Bank, Dixon Technologies, Petronet LNG, Metro Brands

TVS Motor: TVS Motors’ Q2 PAT at INR 6.6bn (+24% YoY/+12% QoQ) was marginally lower than our estimates. Higher investments in digital, brand...

HDFC Securities

India: CPI Inflation Below Target for 2nd Month Signals Rapid Rate Cuts Ahead

​With headline and core inflation at 3.6% and 3.4%YoY respectively, a rate cut is certain in Oct'24. Bountiful harvest to keep inflation benign,...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Quarterly Flipbook: Earnings growth moderates, demand pick-up holds the key

The aggregate performance of the Q1FY25 earnings season was largely on expected lines, with wide divergences across sectors and companies

HDFC Securities

India: Relief on Food Inflation Makes an Oct'24 Rate Cut Near-Certain

​CPI inflation at 59-month low 3.5%YoY in Jul'24. We expect CPI inflation to average 4.2%YoY in Jul-Dec'24, less in H1CY25, hence expect policy...

Prasenjit K. Basu

With headline and core inflation at 3.6% and 3.4%YoY respectively, a rate cut is certain in Oct'24. Bountiful harvest to keep inflation benign,...

CPI inflation at 59-month low 3.5%YoY in Jul'24. We expect CPI inflation to average 4.2%YoY in Jul-Dec'24, less in H1CY25, hence expect policy...