Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115).</li>
<li>We are upgrading Korea(KOSPI) to overweight; we discussed May 30 several Financials and other stocks to buy. KOSPI has exploded higher since, and is now reversing its 2-year RS downtrend.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115).
We are upgrading Korea(KOSPI) to overweight; we discussed May 30 several Financials and other stocks to buy. KOSPI has exploded higher since, and is now reversing its 2-year RS downtrend.


Upgrading Korea to Overweight; MSCI ACWI and Emerging Market Breakouts

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and capping flows for HSCEI index rebal event in September 2025.</li>
<li>Based on the latest data, we see one ADD and one DEL.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and capping flows for HSCEI index rebal event in September 2025.
Based on the latest data, we see one ADD and one DEL.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Sep25: One Change Likely; US$245mn One-Way Flow

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Keymed Biosciences / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keymed-biosciences-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33011:1" rel="noopener">Keymed Biosciences (2162 HK)</a>, along with its controlling shareholder, is looking to raise around US$112m to fund its R&amp;D requirements.</li>
<li>Keymed Biosciences, a China-based biotech company which focuses on therapeutic areas of autoimmune and oncology</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Keymed Biosciences (2162 HK), along with its controlling shareholder, is looking to raise around US$112m to fund its R&amp;D requirements.
Keymed Biosciences, a China-based biotech company which focuses on therapeutic areas of autoimmune and oncology
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Keymed Bioscience Placement - Track Record Isn’t Great but Recent Performance Has Been Better

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xtalpi-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40369:1" rel="noopener">XtalPi Holdings (2228 HK)</a> was listed in Hong Kong on 13th Jun 2024 after raising US$126m. Its one-year lockup will expire soon.</li>
<li>QuantumPharm is a R&amp;D platform, utilizing quantum physics-based first-principles calculation, advanced AI, high-performance cloud computing, and scalable and standardized robotic automation to provide drug and material science R&amp;D solutions.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



XtalPi Holdings (2228 HK) was listed in Hong Kong on 13th Jun 2024 after raising US$126m. Its one-year lockup will expire soon.
QuantumPharm is a R&amp;D platform, utilizing quantum physics-based first-principles calculation, advanced AI, high-performance cloud computing, and scalable and standardized robotic automation to provide drug and material science R&amp;D solutions.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Xtalpi US$860m IPO Lockup Expiry - Last of the Lockup Release with Nearly All Shares in CCASS Now

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Kelun Bio announced US$250 million placement, making it the largest follow-on offering in the biopharma industry in HK market over the past 12 months, but HK$331.8/share Placing Price is expensive.</li>
<li>SKB264 has demonstrated the ability to compete head-to-head with the world's best therapies in TNBC and NSCLC. It is reasonable for Kelun Bio’s valuation to be higher than Akeso.</li>
<li>We recommend to buy when market value falls in the range of US$2.5-5.25 billion.If SKB264 fails to deliver good clinical data in future critical clinical trials, valuation would face pullback.</li>
</ul>


Kelun Bio announced US$250 million placement, making it the largest follow-on offering in the biopharma industry in HK market over the past 12 months, but HK$331.8/share Placing Price is expensive.
SKB264 has demonstrated the ability to compete head-to-head with the world's best therapies in TNBC and NSCLC. It is reasonable for Kelun Bio’s valuation to be higher than Akeso.
We recommend to buy when market value falls in the range of US$2.5-5.25 billion.If SKB264 fails to deliver good clinical data in future critical clinical trials, valuation would face pullback.


Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990.HK) Placement - Thoughts The Pipeline and Valuation Outlook

China

Innovent Biologics, Inc. operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops, manufactures, and distributes monoclonal antibody drug candidates for the treatment of oncology, ophthalmology, autoimmune, cardiovascular, and other diseases. Innovent Biologics serves customers in China.

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Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)

Upgrading Korea to Overweight; MSCI ACWI and Emerging Market Breakouts

MSCI $ACWI and Emerging Market $EEM Breakouts; Upgrading Korea $EWY to Overweight; Downgrading Broad Europe, but staying Overweight Germany,...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Sep25: One Change Likely; US$245mn One-Way Flow

Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK) could replace J&T Global Express (1519 HK) in the HSCEI index during the September 2025 index review.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Keymed Bioscience Placement - Track Record Isn’t Great but Recent Performance Has Been Better

Keymed Biosciences (2162 HK), along with its controlling shareholder, is looking to raise around US$112m to fund its R&D requirements.

Sumeet Singh

Xtalpi US$860m IPO Lockup Expiry - Last of the Lockup Release with Nearly All Shares in CCASS Now

XtalPi Holdings (2228 HK) was listed in Hong Kong on 13th Jun 2024 after raising US$126m. Its one-year lockup will expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990.HK) Placement - Thoughts The Pipeline and Valuation Outlook

Kelun Bio's HK$331.8/share Placing price is expensive.Valuation should be higher than Akeso.Buy when valuation falls in US$2.5-5.25 billion...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Upgrading Korea to Overweight; MSCI ACWI and Emerging Market Breakouts

MSCI $ACWI and Emerging Market $EEM Breakouts; Upgrading Korea $EWY to Overweight; Downgrading Broad Europe, but staying Overweight Germany,...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Sep25: One Change Likely; US$245mn One-Way Flow

Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK) could replace J&T Global Express (1519 HK) in the HSCEI index during the September 2025 index review.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Keymed Bioscience Placement - Track Record Isn’t Great but Recent Performance Has Been Better

Keymed Biosciences (2162 HK), along with its controlling shareholder, is looking to raise around US$112m to fund its R&D requirements.

Sumeet Singh

Xtalpi US$860m IPO Lockup Expiry - Last of the Lockup Release with Nearly All Shares in CCASS Now

XtalPi Holdings (2228 HK) was listed in Hong Kong on 13th Jun 2024 after raising US$126m. Its one-year lockup will expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990.HK) Placement - Thoughts The Pipeline and Valuation Outlook

​Kelun Bio's HK$331.8/share Placing price is expensive.Valuation should be higher than Akeso.Buy when valuation falls in US$2.5-5.25 billion...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Kelun Bio's HK$331.8/share Placing price is expensive.Valuation should be higher than Akeso.Buy when valuation falls in US$2.5-5.25 billion...