Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)</a> selling <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16063:1" rel="noopener">Seven Bank (8410 JP)</a> is obvious. It has been obvious. It is non-core. It's always been non-core. It was made  clear in previous Strategy announcements,</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pccw-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:873:1" rel="noopener">PCCW Ltd (8 HK)</a>'s premium to NAV is unjustified. However reversing the stub has not been going to plan of late, as the NAV premium continues to widen.</li>
<li>Mavcom HAS approved the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)</a> deal. But still welcomes public consultation. So, approved or not?</li>
</ul>



Seven &amp; I (3382 JP) selling Seven Bank (8410 JP) is obvious. It has been obvious. It is non-core. It's always been non-core. It was made  clear in previous Strategy announcements,

PCCW Ltd (8 HK)'s premium to NAV is unjustified. However reversing the stub has not been going to plan of late, as the NAV premium continues to widen.
Mavcom HAS approved the Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK) deal. But still welcomes public consultation. So, approved or not?


Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I/Seven Bank, PCCW, Malaysia Airports, I'rom Group

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services / Equity Bottom-Up

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services (ZIM US)

<ul>
<li>We are convinced container shipping price momentum is waning, medium-term</li>
<li>Not surprisingly, carrier ZIM's share performance correlates to price momentum</li>
<li>Shorting ZIM against Long position in terminal operator isolates sagging price</li>
</ul>


We are convinced container shipping price momentum is waning, medium-term
Not surprisingly, carrier ZIM's share performance correlates to price momentum
Shorting ZIM against Long position in terminal operator isolates sagging price


Short ZIM Against Long Position in China Merchants Port Hldgs | 2025 High Conviction

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>In May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kawasaki-kisen-kaisha-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3548:1" rel="noopener">Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP)</a> announced better revenue, mixed OP, and in-line NP. Then for this year they announced bte Revenue, slightly bte OP, and ever-so-slightly-better NP guidance.</li>
<li>Then they announced a big ¥100bn buyback, discussed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kline-9107-more-profit-more-shareholder-return-3mo-buyback-inbound" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>, doing ¥90.8bn quickly. Since then, ONE-derived dividends have been higher than people expected a year ago.  More cash. More shareholder returns</li>
<li>Now they have raised their capital return guidance for this MTMP, and upped to an additional ¥180bn beyond the existing increased guidance. That starts with ¥90bn of ToSTNeT-3 near-term.</li>
</ul>


In May, Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP) announced better revenue, mixed OP, and in-line NP. Then for this year they announced bte Revenue, slightly bte OP, and ever-so-slightly-better NP guidance.
Then they announced a big ¥100bn buyback, discussed here, doing ¥90.8bn quickly. Since then, ONE-derived dividends have been higher than people expected a year ago.  More cash. More shareholder returns
Now they have raised their capital return guidance for this MTMP, and upped to an additional ¥180bn beyond the existing increased guidance. That starts with ¥90bn of ToSTNeT-3 near-term.


Kline (9017) - Better Earnings, Another Buyback, Maybe Games, Maybe Market Impact

AP Moeller - Maersk A/S / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Maersk's Q324 results were strong, fueled almost purely by higher freight rates</li>
<li>The company's peers have been reporting similar results since early 2024</li>
<li>We continue to believe that price momentum has peaked; AVOID the carriers</li>
</ul>


Maersk's Q324 results were strong, fueled almost purely by higher freight rates
The company's peers have been reporting similar results since early 2024
We continue to believe that price momentum has peaked; AVOID the carriers


Maersk Q324 Results: Giant Dane Finally Joins the Party, But Read-Through for Industry Is Limited

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>TS Lines' January-April 2024 revenue &amp; margins showed little Y/Y change</li>
<li>Besides weak Y/Y growth, TS Lines' move to re-enter Transpacific is odd</li>
<li>TS Lines' filing offers few reasons to favor the company over listed peers</li>
</ul>


TS Lines' January-April 2024 revenue &amp; margins showed little Y/Y change
Besides weak Y/Y growth, TS Lines' move to re-enter Transpacific is odd
TS Lines' filing offers few reasons to favor the company over listed peers


TS Lines Pre-IPO: January-April Results Vs WHL, RCL H124 | Opportunistic Return to Transpacific?

Japan

Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd. operates marine cargo and passenger transportation around the world.  The Company provides ocean liner, bulk carrier, car carrier, unscheduled specialized carrier, and energy transportation services. The Company also offers insurance, warehousing, and land transportation services.  Items transported include automobile, grain, petroleum, coal, iron ore, and wood chip.

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Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I/Seven Bank, PCCW, Malaysia Airports, I'rom Group

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Short ZIM Against Long Position in China Merchants Port Hldgs | 2025 High Conviction

We believe container shipping price momentum is waning. Pairing a short position in carrier ZIM against a long position in terminal operator CMPH...

Tracking Traffic

Kline (9017) - Better Earnings, Another Buyback, Maybe Games, Maybe Market Impact

Last week, Mitsui OSK reported great earnings and revised guidance. And a buyback. Today KLINE did. Mitsui's goes a full year in-market. KLINE's is...

Travis Lundy

Maersk Q324 Results: Giant Dane Finally Joins the Party, But Read-Through for Industry Is Limited

Maersk reported a scary-good set of quarterly results on Halloween! But many of its peers have been enjoying similar price-driven improvements in...

Tracking Traffic

TS Lines Pre-IPO: January-April Results Vs WHL, RCL H124 | Opportunistic Return to Transpacific?

TS Lines in a recent filing reported mediocre January-April rates that pale compared to its comps' H124 numbers. We see few reasons to choose...

Tracking Traffic

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