Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Our take is JD.com's expansion to O2O/Food Delivery is still measured and constrained. It mainly serves the premium members;</li>
<li>Meituan, PDD' and Beike posted results broadly both in-line/slightly exceed expectations. Meituan and Beike raised AI capex while PDD and JD.com didn't mention;</li>
<li>Game received first official recognition in government's 30 stimulative measures for consumption.  Our TOP PICK is NTES.</li>
</ul>


Our take is JD.com's expansion to O2O/Food Delivery is still measured and constrained. It mainly serves the premium members;
Meituan, PDD' and Beike posted results broadly both in-line/slightly exceed expectations. Meituan and Beike raised AI capex while PDD and JD.com didn't mention;
Game received first official recognition in government's 30 stimulative measures for consumption.  Our TOP PICK is NTES.


[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 12/52]: The Tug of War Between JD and Meituan Intensifies

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In 4Q24, Meituan’s revenue growth rate was 20% YoY with all businesses rising.</li>
<li>The operating margin improved to 8.8% in 4Q24 versus about zero in 4Q23.</li>
<li>We set an upside of 61% and a price target of HK$270. Buy.</li>
</ul>


In 4Q24, Meituan’s revenue growth rate was 20% YoY with all businesses rising.
The operating margin improved to 8.8% in 4Q24 versus about zero in 4Q23.
We set an upside of 61% and a price target of HK$270. Buy.


Meituan (3690 HK): 4Q24, High Growth and Higher Margin, 60% Upside

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>We reiterate our view of overweighting high quality names among Property &amp; PM sector given that 1) Shenzhen/Suzhou further relaxed home purchase policies which further proved regulators’ determination in upholding the market confidence in our view</li><li>2) we think there is ample room for fine-tuning in tier-1 cities (Figure 1)</li><li>3) property transaction data are robust </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We reiterate our view of overweighting high quality names among Property &amp; PM sector given that 1) Shenzhen/Suzhou further relaxed home purchase policies which further proved regulators’ determination in upholding the market confidence in our view2) we think there is ample room for fine-tuning in tier-1 cities (Figure 1)3) property transaction data are robust Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - City-Level Relaxation Came Earlier...

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

<ul>
<li>The just concluded Two Sessions contained little surprises but the market shrugged it off. Have animal spirits offset China's structural economic issues?</li>
<li>China's EV sector grew 38% YoY in the first two months of 2025, above our annual target of 30%. We stick to our bullish view. 2024 grew 41% YoY;</li>
<li>MINISO explored spin off of its toy chain business. We maintain SELL rating on deteriorating China business.</li>
</ul>


The just concluded Two Sessions contained little surprises but the market shrugged it off. Have animal spirits offset China's structural economic issues?
China's EV sector grew 38% YoY in the first two months of 2025, above our annual target of 30%. We stick to our bullish view. 2024 grew 41% YoY;
MINISO explored spin off of its toy chain business. We maintain SELL rating on deteriorating China business.


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 10/52] Smart Trump or Dumb Trump? Part II

<ul>
<li>Following existing home last week, new home sales also posted positive YoY growth. </li>
<li>LI is getting ready for its major battle of the year with BEV launch. It is focused, but we doubt it is enough;</li>
<li>MNSO guided down its C4Q24 and we believe it will miss 2025 as well. Offline grocery is under constant assault by O2O and online e-commerce. </li>
</ul>


Following existing home last week, new home sales also posted positive YoY growth. 
LI is getting ready for its major battle of the year with BEV launch. It is focused, but we doubt it is enough;
MNSO guided down its C4Q24 and we believe it will miss 2025 as well. Offline grocery is under constant assault by O2O and online e-commerce. 


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 9/52] New Home Sales Also Turned Positive YoY

China

KE Holdings Inc. operates as an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services. The Company offers existing and new home sales, home rentals, home renovation, real estate financial solutions, and other services. KE Holdings conducts businesses in China.

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KE Holdings (BEKE US)

[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 12/52]: The Tug of War Between JD and Meituan Intensifies

JD.com's measured expansion into O2O/Food Delivery targets premium members. Government recognition of gaming in consumption stimulus measures...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Meituan (3690 HK): 4Q24, High Growth and Higher Margin, 60% Upside

In 4Q24, Meituan’s revenue growth rate was 20% YoY with all businesses rising. The operating margin improved to 8.8% in 4Q24 versus about zero in...

Ming Lu

Property - City-Level Relaxation Came Earlier...

Shenzhen made another move on policy relaxation including 1) lowering CPF down payment ratio from 30% to 20% for 2nd home buyers

CMB International

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 10/52] Smart Trump or Dumb Trump? Part II

China's market shrugged off Two Sessions as the balance of events with US the main driver. EV sector opened 2025 with a bang while MINISO...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 9/52] New Home Sales Also Turned Positive YoY

Latest week saw positive YoY growth in new home sales, LI prepares for major battle with BEV launch, MNSO guidance down for C4Q24 and likely to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 12/52]: The Tug of War Between JD and Meituan Intensifies

​JD.com's measured expansion into O2O/Food Delivery targets premium members. Government recognition of gaming in consumption stimulus measures...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Meituan (3690 HK): 4Q24, High Growth and Higher Margin, 60% Upside

In 4Q24, Meituan’s revenue growth rate was 20% YoY with all businesses rising. The operating margin improved to 8.8% in 4Q24 versus about zero in...

Ming Lu

Property - City-Level Relaxation Came Earlier...

Shenzhen made another move on policy relaxation including 1) lowering CPF down payment ratio from 30% to 20% for 2nd home buyers

CMB International

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 10/52] Smart Trump or Dumb Trump? Part II

​China's market shrugged off Two Sessions as the balance of events with US the main driver. EV sector opened 2025 with a bang while MINISO...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 9/52] New Home Sales Also Turned Positive YoY

​Latest week saw positive YoY growth in new home sales, LI prepares for major battle with BEV launch, MNSO guidance down for C4Q24 and likely to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

JD.com's measured expansion into O2O/Food Delivery targets premium members. Government recognition of gaming in consumption stimulus measures...

China's market shrugged off Two Sessions as the balance of events with US the main driver. EV sector opened 2025 with a bang while MINISO...

Latest week saw positive YoY growth in new home sales, LI prepares for major battle with BEV launch, MNSO guidance down for C4Q24 and likely to...