APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ansell-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10777:1" rel="noopener">Ansell Ltd (ANN AU)</a> is looking to raise US$262m in its primary follow-on to partially fund its acquisition of KCPPE.</li>
<li>Despite the firm having been on an acquisition spree, it remains uncertain to us if the market has been factoring in such a large one. </li>
<li>The deal would be a large one to digest, representing 52.5 days of the stock’s three month ADV.</li>
</ul>



Ansell Ltd (ANN AU) is looking to raise US$262m in its primary follow-on to partially fund its acquisition of KCPPE.
Despite the firm having been on an acquisition spree, it remains uncertain to us if the market has been factoring in such a large one. 
The deal would be a large one to digest, representing 52.5 days of the stock’s three month ADV.


Ansell Placement - Undertaking a Large Acquisition as Sector Headwinds Remain

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

China Galaxy Securities / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of small cap stocks within Emerging Markets.</li>
<li>The October rebalance will result in a one-way turnover of ~45% and in a one-way trade of US$1.24bn. There are ~300 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.</li>
<li>With only 4 trading days to implementation, there could be large moves on stocks with large flows and impact over the next few days.</li>
</ul>


The WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of small cap stocks within Emerging Markets.
The October rebalance will result in a one-way turnover of ~45% and in a one-way trade of US$1.24bn. There are ~300 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.
With only 4 trading days to implementation, there could be large moves on stocks with large flows and impact over the next few days.


WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index Rebalance: 45% Turnover & US$2.5bn to Trade

Director | Exposing Creative Accounting, Bucephalus Research Partnership

Robert Medd

Director | Exposing Creative Accounting

Exposing Creative Accounting

Bucephalus Research Partnership

Bucephalus Research Partnership Limited. Exposing Creative Accounting.

At the Bucephalus Research Partnership (BRP) we analyse financial statements using our accountant's practical experience and our own quantitative algorithms for corporate governance, accounting risk and peer performance.

Our thematic research refines our unique algorithms while our single stock research focuses on examples where we discover a significant gap between published accounts and business reality.

​Bucephalus Research Partnership:
- Is an independent fee-based research service
- Does not take proprietary positions, long or short
- Does not solicit business or fees from the corporates we review

Forensic Accounting

Vinda International / Forensic Accounting

In 2017, Vinda introduced a new compensation scheme that specifically targets share price performance. This appears to be part of Essity’s plan to improve returns across the group. Historically, management prioritised growth over margins and the stock underperformed. Changing the incentives should change the outcomes.Their overall Governance, Accounting risk and Peer performance score, 104, is unexceptional. We worry about their payables, leverage and the fixed margin related party contracts…

In 2017, Vinda introduced a new compensation scheme that specifically targets share price performance. This appears to be part of Essity’s plan to improve returns across the group. Historically, management prioritised growth over margins and the stock underperformed. Changing the incentives should change the outcomes.Their overall Governance, Accounting risk and Peer performance score, 104, is unexceptional. We worry about their payables, leverage and the fixed margin related party contracts…

Buy Vinda (3331 HK): New Incentives, Leverage & Margins - Target HK$25.2 (Up 80%+)

Hengan International / Forensic Accounting

We are concerned that Hengan’s governance leaves minorities vulnerable, their accounts create false confidence in credit quality; and that business performance is unsustainable.The overall Governance, Accounting risk and Performance score of 119 is not very bad, but the aggregate hides extreme scores for debt churn, margins and leverage.With limited revenue growth, the stock’s premium valuation relies on its high margins. If they prove to be unsustainable, investors could be in for a shock.…

We are concerned that Hengan’s governance leaves minorities vulnerable, their accounts create false confidence in credit quality; and that business performance is unsustainable.The overall Governance, Accounting risk and Performance score of 119 is not very bad, but the aggregate hides extreme scores for debt churn, margins and leverage.With limited revenue growth, the stock’s premium valuation relies on its high margins. If they prove to be unsustainable, investors could be in for a shock.…

Sell Hengan (1044 HK): Relationships, Churn & Margin Pressure. Target HK$38 (Down 50%)

Mexico

Kimberly-Clark de Mexico, S.A.B. de C.V. manufactures, markets and distributes consumer, industrial, and institutional hygiene products. The Company produces feminine care items, diapers, toilet paper and facial tissues.

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Kimberly-Clark De Mexico-A (KIMBERA MM)

Ansell Placement - Undertaking a Large Acquisition as Sector Headwinds Remain

Ansell Ltd (ANN AU) is looking to raise US$262m in its primary follow-on to partially fund its acquisition of KCPPE. The deal would be a large one...

Clarence Chu

WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index Rebalance: 45% Turnover & US$2.5bn to Trade

There are 364 adds/325 deletes for the WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index. One-way turnover is 45% resulting in a one-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

Buy Vinda (3331 HK): New Incentives, Leverage & Margins - Target HK$25.2 (Up 80%+)

In 2017, Vinda introduced a new compensation scheme that specifically targets share price performance. This appears to be part of Essity’s plan to...

Bucephalus Research Partnership

Sell Hengan (1044 HK): Relationships, Churn & Margin Pressure. Target HK$38 (Down 50%)

We are concerned that Hengan’s governance leaves minorities vulnerable, their accounts create false confidence in credit quality; and that business...

Bucephalus Research Partnership

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