Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Softbank set to gap and run with ARM +10.5% and OpenAI reaching a $850bn valuation.</li>
<li>Aehr Test +23% on a major new data center customer, a positive read for Advantest, Micronics and Teraprobe after heavy selling last week.</li>
<li>Upside for airlines on the prospect for lower oil and increased travel.</li>
</ul>


Softbank set to gap and run with ARM +10.5% and OpenAI reaching a $850bn valuation.
Aehr Test +23% on a major new data center customer, a positive read for Advantest, Micronics and Teraprobe after heavy selling last week.
Upside for airlines on the prospect for lower oil and increased travel.


Japan Morning Connection: Iran Heads to the Negotiating Table Sending Markets Sharply Higher

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>TurboQuant triggered the sell-off, but the market appears to have priced a uniform demand shock across memory, despite the impact being limited to inference efficiency.</li>
<li>Supply remains tight; HBM capacity largely locked into 2026; TrendForce revised DRAM and NAND pricing sharply higher after the TurboQuant announcement. </li>
<li>Relevant risks sit elsewhere: early signs of pricing resistance in commodity memory, emerging share gains from Chinese suppliers, and a shift toward more staggered hyperscaler spending</li>
</ul>


TurboQuant triggered the sell-off, but the market appears to have priced a uniform demand shock across memory, despite the impact being limited to inference efficiency.
Supply remains tight; HBM capacity largely locked into 2026; TrendForce revised DRAM and NAND pricing sharply higher after the TurboQuant announcement. 
Relevant risks sit elsewhere: early signs of pricing resistance in commodity memory, emerging share gains from Chinese suppliers, and a shift toward more staggered hyperscaler spending


Memory's TurboQuant Panic Misses Where Demand Actually Sits

<ul>
<li>Kioxia Holdings (285A JP) could have a long way to tumble only -18% from its recent highs with almost zero short interest.</li>
<li>Defense doesn’t seem to be reacting to the spectre of increased conflict in Iran with US names weak again setting a poor tone for Japanese names.</li>
<li>Nintendo launches its Super Mario galaxy movie tomorrow so may get a bit of a bid on expectations it does as well as the initial film.</li>
</ul>


Kioxia Holdings (285A JP) could have a long way to tumble only -18% from its recent highs with almost zero short interest.
Defense doesn’t seem to be reacting to the spectre of increased conflict in Iran with US names weak again setting a poor tone for Japanese names.
Nintendo launches its Super Mario galaxy movie tomorrow so may get a bit of a bid on expectations it does as well as the initial film.


Japan Morning Connection: Tech and AI Set for a Rough Open as Quarter End Profit Taking Hits Winners

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The TOPIX Index - Japan's premier domestic equity index - will undergo a sea change in methodology at the end of this month, with ~760 names affected. </li>
<li>There will be roughly 35 or so ADDs, about 700 DELETEs (phased out over 8 quarters), and 40+ Liquidity Factor Removals. There will also be hundreds of FFW changes. </li>
<li>The likely ADDs have handily outperformed their peers over the past year, but some of that has been tech and idiosyncratic circumstances. There may still be trades to do.</li>
</ul>


The TOPIX Index - Japan's premier domestic equity index - will undergo a sea change in methodology at the end of this month, with ~760 names affected. 
There will be roughly 35 or so ADDs, about 700 DELETEs (phased out over 8 quarters), and 40+ Liquidity Factor Removals. There will also be hundreds of FFW changes. 
The likely ADDs have handily outperformed their peers over the past year, but some of that has been tech and idiosyncratic circumstances. There may still be trades to do.


[Quiddity Index] The TOPIX Change in Oct26 - Part V (Final Prep)

<ul>
<li>Kioxia looks vulnerable as not far from its ATH's and +720% off its September lows with almost no short interest.</li>
<li>Sony and Nintendo may catch a bid if supply-demand imbalance shows signs of abating.</li>
<li>Fujitsu and NEC likely to do better as the market goes risk-off.</li>
</ul>


Kioxia looks vulnerable as not far from its ATH's and +720% off its September lows with almost no short interest.
Sony and Nintendo may catch a bid if supply-demand imbalance shows signs of abating.
Fujitsu and NEC likely to do better as the market goes risk-off.


Japan Morning Connection: Heavy Selling Expected for SPE as Uncertainty Builds

Japan

Kioxia Holdings Corporation manufactures semiconductor memory products. The Company develops, produces, and sells flash memory cards, solid state drives, secure digital memory cards, and other products. Kioxia Holdings also operates group management strategy formulation and management.

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Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Iran Heads to the Negotiating Table Sending Markets Sharply Higher

Japan set for a positive open as Iran deal hopes send oil lower and markets anticipate a return to normal travel and shipping through the Straits.

Andrew Jackson

Memory's TurboQuant Panic Misses Where Demand Actually Sits

TurboQuant sell-off triggers panic on inference efficiency. However, supply is tight, and pricing is revised higher. Risks seen in Chinese...

Mint Finance

Japan Morning Connection: Tech and AI Set for a Rough Open as Quarter End Profit Taking Hits Winners

Japan's AI names face a brutal open as quarter end selling accelerates. Kioxia an easy pole to slide down with almost no short interest and not far...

Andrew Jackson

[Quiddity Index] The TOPIX Change in Oct26 - Part V (Final Prep)

The TSE announcement for wholesale changes in the TOPIX Index is scheduled for Wednesday after the close. I expect 34-35 ADDs, ~700 DELETEs, and...

Travis Lundy

Japan Morning Connection: Heavy Selling Expected for SPE as Uncertainty Builds

SPE and optical names face a brutal open as tech melts down overnight. Sony and Nintendo may be the bright spots on easing NAND cost pressures.

Andrew Jackson

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Iran Heads to the Negotiating Table Sending Markets Sharply Higher

Japan set for a positive open as Iran deal hopes send oil lower and markets anticipate a return to normal travel and shipping through the Straits.

Andrew Jackson

Memory's TurboQuant Panic Misses Where Demand Actually Sits

​TurboQuant sell-off triggers panic on inference efficiency. However, supply is tight, and pricing is revised higher. Risks seen in Chinese...

Mint Finance

Japan Morning Connection: Tech and AI Set for a Rough Open as Quarter End Profit Taking Hits Winners

Japan's AI names face a brutal open as quarter end selling accelerates. Kioxia an easy pole to slide down with almost no short interest and not far...

Andrew Jackson

[Quiddity Index] The TOPIX Change in Oct26 - Part V (Final Prep)

The TSE announcement for wholesale changes in the TOPIX Index is scheduled for Wednesday after the close. I expect 34-35 ADDs, ~700 DELETEs, and...

Travis Lundy

Japan Morning Connection: Heavy Selling Expected for SPE as Uncertainty Builds

SPE and optical names face a brutal open as tech melts down overnight. Sony and Nintendo may be the bright spots on easing NAND cost pressures.

Andrew Jackson

TurboQuant sell-off triggers panic on inference efficiency. However, supply is tight, and pricing is revised higher. Risks seen in Chinese...