Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Assuming the Nikkei 225 March 2026 rebal goes as expected in our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-index-nikkei-225-mar26-rebal-2-adds-3rd-poss-2-dels-1-cap-another-close" target="_blank" rel="noopener">final expectations insight</a>, there are likely to be two automatic ADDs and one sector catch-up ADD.</li>
<li>Higher value traded in the last 6-12mos in the semis and semi-precious metals sectors has meant stocks leapt up the rankings.</li>
<li>Interestingly, the third choice is likely to be a Capital Goods stock. If the Toyota Fudosan TOB fails, there is a dark horse case for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Assuming the Nikkei 225 March 2026 rebal goes as expected in our final expectations insight, there are likely to be two automatic ADDs and one sector catch-up ADD.
Higher value traded in the last 6-12mos in the semis and semi-precious metals sectors has meant stocks leapt up the rankings.
Interestingly, the third choice is likely to be a Capital Goods stock. If the Toyota Fudosan TOB fails, there is a dark horse case for Toyota Industries (6201 JP).


[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep26 Rebal Early Preview - 2 Auto ADDs, 1 Extra Likely, 1 Cap

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Montage Technology   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28236:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology (688008 CH)</a> (MT), a provider of memory interface chips and interconnect chips, raised around US$1bn in its H-share listing</li>
<li>MT’s product portfolio, mainly comprises memory interface chips and interconnect chips, addresses interconnect bottlenecks while enhancing data rate/bandwidth, reliability, and power efficiency, as per the company.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Montage Technology (688008 CH) (MT), a provider of memory interface chips and interconnect chips, raised around US$1bn in its H-share listing
MT’s product portfolio, mainly comprises memory interface chips and interconnect chips, addresses interconnect bottlenecks while enhancing data rate/bandwidth, reliability, and power efficiency, as per the company.
We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Aequitas: Montage Technology A/H Trading - Highest Insti Coverage so Far

Pan Pacific International Holdings / Index Rebalance

Pan Pacific International Holdings (7532 JP)

<ul>
<li>The Nikkei 225 data observation period closed a week ago. The Nikkei announced a cap on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advantest-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18107:1" rel="noopener">Advantest Corp (6857 JP)</a>, as expected.</li>
<li>Quiddity expectations are unchanged. We see 1 clean ADD, 1 likely ADD (a third possible but unlikely). Against that, two DELetes.</li>
<li>As of now, there is $4bn a side to trade. Beware! The ADV counts are deceptive.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei 225 data observation period closed a week ago. The Nikkei announced a cap on Advantest Corp (6857 JP), as expected.
Quiddity expectations are unchanged. We see 1 clean ADD, 1 likely ADD (a third possible but unlikely). Against that, two DELetes.
As of now, there is $4bn a side to trade. Beware! The ADV counts are deceptive.


[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Mar26 Rebal - 2 ADDs (3rd Poss?), 2 DELs, 1 CAP

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jan 30th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD24,095m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, Advantest, Lasertec, Fujikura, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Nichirei, SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Kioxia, Advantest, Lasertec, Fujikura, Disco, Tokyo Electron.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jan 30th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD24,095m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, Advantest, Lasertec, Fujikura, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Nichirei, SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Kioxia, Advantest, Lasertec, Fujikura, Disco, Tokyo Electron.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 30th): Kioxia, Advantest, Lasertec, Fujikura, Disco, Tokyo Electron

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Japan in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Tokio Marine, Aeon, Itochu, Nippon Steel, Advantest, Rakuten, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Japan in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Tokio Marine, Aeon, Itochu, Nippon Steel, Advantest, Rakuten, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial.


MS-Japan Index Earning Revision (Jan): Tokio Marine, Aeon, Itochu, Nippon Steel, Advantest, Rakuten

Japan

Kioxia Holdings Corporation manufactures semiconductor memory products. The Company develops, produces, and sells flash memory cards, solid state drives, secure digital memory cards, and other products. Kioxia Holdings also operates group management strategy formulation and management.

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Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)

[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep26 Rebal Early Preview - 2 Auto ADDs, 1 Extra Likely, 1 Cap

A preview of teh Sep 2026 Nikkei 225 rebal assuming changes are as expected for the Mar26 rebal suggests 3 ADDs and 3 DELETEs and $4bn of Advantest...

Travis Lundy

Aequitas: Montage Technology A/H Trading - Highest Insti Coverage so Far

Montage Technology (688008 CH) (MT), a provider of memory interface chips and interconnect chips, raised around US$1bn in its H-share listing. In...

Sumeet Singh

[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Mar26 Rebal - 2 ADDs (3rd Poss?), 2 DELs, 1 CAP

The March 2026 Nikkei 225 rebal is "Ready to Go" as the data period ended a week ago (and I've been slow writing this). The only update since Jan...

Travis Lundy

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 30th): Kioxia, Advantest, Lasertec, Fujikura, Disco, Tokyo Electron

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Kioxia (285A JP), Advantest (6857 JP), Lasertec (6920 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MS-Japan Index Earning Revision (Jan): Tokio Marine, Aeon, Itochu, Nippon Steel, Advantest, Rakuten

We analyzed MS-Japan's consensus for Jan 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Tokio Marine, Aeon, Itochu, Nippon Steel, Advantest, Rakuten,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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